James Madison Dukes vs Texas State Bobcats Prediction & Picks - NCAA
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by Travis Pulver in NCAA Picks
The James Madison Dukes will take their undefeated conference record to the Lone Star State for a game against the Texas State Bobcats at UFCU Stadium in San Marcos, TX. Kickoff for this Sun Belt Conference battle is scheduled for 8 p.m. EST and the game will be broadcast on ESPN2.
JMU’s lone loss came early in the season against a Power 4 team, a solid Louisville program, 28-14. Since then, they have won five in a row and are coming off a dominant 63-27 performance against Old Dominion. The running game (seventh in the nation, 243.7 yards per game) has been the driving force behind the offense (35th). But their defense has had opponents on lockdown all season. It’s ranked No. 4 in total defense, No. 2 vs. the run, No. 13 vs. the pass, and No. 11 in scoring. As for Texas State, the offense is certainly capable, averaging close to 500 yards per game (230.7 rushing and 257.1 passing) and 36 points. But they are 3-4 largely due to their defense, which can’t stop anyone (101st in total defense, 97th against the run, and 98th against the pass). It gives up 400+ yards per game and 31.3 points.
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James Madison Dukes vs Texas State Bobcats Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | D | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
|
9
|
0.375 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 |
James Madison Dukes and Texas State Bobcats Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Oct 18, 2025 - NCAA
Oct 11, 2025 - NCAA
Oct 4, 2025 - NCAA
Sep 27, 2025 - NCAA
Sep 20, 2025 - NCAA
Sep 5, 2025 - NCAA
4/4 (100%)
0/4 (0%)
0/4 (0%)
Oct 18, 2025 - NCAA
Oct 11, 2025 - NCAA
Sep 27, 2025 - NCAA
Aug 30, 2025 - NCAA
2/3 (67%)
0/3 (0%)
1/3 (33%)
Oct 4, 2025 - NCAA
Sep 20, 2025 - NCAA
Sep 5, 2025 - NCAA
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Oct 18, 2025 - NCAA
Oct 11, 2025 - NCAA
Oct 4, 2025 - NCAA
Sep 20, 2025 - NCAA
Sep 13, 2025 - NCAA
Sep 6, 2025 - NCAA
3/4 (75%)
0/4 (0%)
1/4 (25%)
Oct 11, 2025 - NCAA
Sep 20, 2025 - NCAA
Aug 30, 2025 - NCAA
Jan 3, 2025 - NCAA Division I, FBS, Playoffs
1/4 (25%)
0/4 (0%)
3/4 (75%)
Oct 18, 2025 - NCAA
Oct 4, 2025 - NCAA
Sep 13, 2025 - NCAA
Sep 6, 2025 - NCAA
James Madison Dukes - Texas State Bobcats Key Points
- James Madison and Texas State have played on one other occasion, Oct. 1, 2022. JMU won 40-13.
- James Madison is 6-1 SU but 5-2 ATS; Texas State is 3-4 SU and 2-5 ATS.
- The OVER is 4-3 for Texas State but only 1-6 for James Madison.
- Betting Public: 28% of TOTAL tickets and 60% of the handle are on the OVER.
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Our James Madison Dukes vs Texas State Bobcats Prediction
Here we have two capable offenses that have been averaging 32 and 36 points per game this season. But one has a top-five defense (JMU) while the other struggles to slow anyone down (Texas State). So, take the Dukes to win, right? If I thought that was the best bet— sure. But I think JMU’s defensive stats are misleading; most of the offenses they've faced haven't been very good. Texas State has a solid offense. They’ll give James Madison a run for its money, which means we’ll get a nice, high score.
Our James Madison vs. Texas State Pick: OVER 57
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
