ATP - Stockholm Open
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by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks
Jacob Fearnley of Great Britain will take on hometown bet Elias Ymer of Sweden on Thursday in the second round of the 2025 Nordic Open in Stockholm, Sweden.
As expected, Fearnley is a -550 favorite on the moneyline and also listed as high as +1100 to cover +8.5 games against Ymer, who ranks 243rd in the world.
Current Form:
Fearnley dispatched the No.5 seed and world’s No.27 Tallon Griekspoor 6-3, 6-7, 7-6 in a grueling three-set tussle in the first round. Fearnley, who decided to skip the Asian swing of the ATP Tour, looked revitalized in his first match on the ATP Tour circuit since losing to Alexander Zverev in three sets in the second round of the 2025 US Open. The Brit captured 78 percent of his first serves and broke Griekspoor three times. He also demonstrated poise under pressure in the third-set tiebreaker, where he managed to fend off a last-gasp attack from the Dutch.
Ymer advanced to the second round of the 2025 ATP Nordic Open with a 6-2, 7-6 win over his brother Mikael Ymer. The win snapped Elias Ymer’s 8-match losing streak. Ranked 243rd in the world, Ymer has a career 87-76 record in indoor hard-court matches or a 53 percent win rate.
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Jacob Fearnley vs Elias Ymer Form
Jacob Fearnley and Elias Ymer Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Oct 13, 2025 - Stockholm Open
Oct 8, 2025 - Roanne, France
Oct 7, 2025 - Roanne, France
Aug 28, 2025 - ATP US Open
Aug 26, 2025 - ATP US Open
Aug 19, 2025 - ATP Winston-Salem Open
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Oct 14, 2025 - Stockholm Open
Sep 29, 2025 - Braga, Portugal, Qualifying
Sep 23, 2025 - Lisbon, Portugal, Qualifying
Sep 15, 2025 - ATP Challenger Bad Waltersdorf, Austria Men Single
Sep 8, 2025 - Szczecin, Poland
Sep 1, 2025 - Seville, Spain
Jacob Fearnley - Elias Ymer Key Points
- Elias Ymer defeated Mikael Ymer 6-2, 7-6 in the first round of the 2025 Nordic Open.
- Elias Ymer is 87-76 in indoor matches.
- Jacob Fearnley defeated Tallon Griekspoor 6-3, 6-7, 7-6 in the first round of the 2025 Nordic Open.
- Jacob Fearnley is 17-7 against players outside the ATP 100 this year.
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Our Jacob Fearnley vs Elias Ymer Prediction
Jacob Fearnley started his indoor campaign on the right footing after beating an in-form Tallon Griekspoor in the first round. Fearnley is 5-3 in indoor matches in 2025 and has an 81 percent win rate in this type of playing condition. Meanwhile, Ymer has a 34-88 record against the ATP top-100.
Fearless Forecast: Jacob Fearnley will demolish Elias Ymer 6-3, 6-3, beating --5.5-game spread (+130). Fearnley might be in the midst of a challenging year, but he has a career 81 percent win rate in indoor matches. Meanwhile, Ymer is only 2-3 against the ATP top-100 players and 5-5 in second-round matches this year.
Our betting prediction for Elias Ymer vs. Jacob Fearnley: Jacob Fearnley -5.5 Games
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
