ATP - ATP Italian Open
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by Lou Aguila in ATP Italian Open Picks
Carlos Alcaraz of Spain will face Jack Draper of the Great Britain on Wednesday with the winner progressing into the semifinal round of the 2025 Rome Masters.
Alcaraz survived a strong challenge from Karen Khachanov in their fourth-round match on Tuesday, topping the No.23 seed Russian 6-3 3-6 7-5. Alcaraz earned 45 points off his first serves and broke Khachanov 5 times, including the last one at match point. The Spaniard is playing for his second clay-court title this year after ruling the Monte Carlo Masters four week ago. He also finished runner-up at the 2025 Barcelona Open and skipped Madrid due to injury.
Draper captured his 8th win in 9 matches on Tuesday after ending Corentin Moutet’s Cinderella run 1-6 6-4 6-3. Down a set, Draper began to turn the table when he started applying pressure on Moutet in the second set. Great Britain’s No.1 showed poise under duress at the most crucial moments of the match. Draper collected 32 points off his first serves and converted 3 of 8 breakpoint chances.
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Jack Draper vs Carlos Alcaraz Form
Jack Draper and Carlos Alcaraz Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
May 13, 2025 - ATP Italian Open
May 11, 2025 - ATP Italian Open
May 9, 2025 - ATP Italian Open
May 4, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
May 2, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
May 1, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
May 13, 2025 - ATP Italian Open
May 11, 2025 - ATP Italian Open
May 9, 2025 - ATP Italian Open
Apr 20, 2025 - ATP Barcelona
Apr 19, 2025 - ATP Barcelona
Apr 18, 2025 - ATP Barcelona
Jack Draper against Carlos Alcaraz : Head to Head (H2H)
75 %
25 %
Mar 15, 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
Jan 19, 2025 - ATP Australian Open
Jun 20, 2024 - ATP Queen's Club Championships
Mar 14, 2023 - ATP Indian Wells
Jack Draper - Carlos Alcaraz Key Points
- Carlos Alcaraz defeated Karen Khachanov 6-3 3-6 7-5 in the fourth round of the 2025 Rome Masters.
- Carlos Alcaraz is 12-1 on clay this year.
- Jack Draper defeated Corentin Moutet 1-6, 6-4, 6-3 in the fourth round of the 2025 Rome Masters.
- Jack Draper has won 8 of his last 9 matches on clay.
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Our Jack Draper vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Jack Draper pushed Carlos Alcaraz to the limit in a classic quarterfinal match
Reasons to bet on Jack Draper to cover +2.5 Games: Jack Draper has taken a quantum leap in his development as a player this season. This year, he has produced consistent results in tournaments and shown his evolution as a top-notch clay-court player. Draper, 8-1 in his last 9 matches on clay, will give Alcaraz everything he can handle in this match because of his ability to match the Spaniard’s all-around brilliance. Entering Tuesday quarterfinals, Alcaraz still leads the head-to-head series with Draper 3-2, but the latter has beaten him 2 out of their last 3 meetings, which is an indication that the Brit is officially a major threat to Alcaraz in every tournament going forward.
Reasons Not to Bet Alcaraz to cover -2.5 Games: Alcaraz is 12-1 on clay this year, but inconsistencies and missed opportunities have rocked his clay-court campaign. In his win over Khachanov, Alcaraz needed to dig deep from his bag of tricks to overcome a serious upset bid from the Russian. The Spaniard cannot afford to commit the same mistakes against Draper because the Brit isn’t going to blow a lead.
Our betting prediction for Carlos Alcaraz vs. Jack Draper: Jack Draper +2.5 Games
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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