Iva Jovic vs Paula Badosa Prediction & Picks - WTA Miami

WTA - WTA Miami

WTA 17 USA
Iva Jovic
3/21/26 11:00
WTA 140 Spain
Paula Badosa

Prediction:

 

Paula Badosa +3.5 Games

-170
$350 offered for betting!

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 by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks

4-1 in her last four matches, Paula Badosa will attempt to pull off a signature win over Iva Jovic in the second round of the 2026 Miami Open. Badosa is a tempting underdog pick at +134, but taking her at +3.5 games (-170) in the alternative spread market appears to be a much safer option.

Current Form:

Iva Jovic will get an opportunity to test her might against the former world No.2 Paula Badosa in their second-round clash on Saturday.

Jovic is listed at -162 value to win her match against Badosa straight-up, but the Spaniard is gradually rounding into form after winning four of her last five matches, including a straightforward win over Aliaksandra Sasnovich 7-5, 6-4 in the first round at the Miami Open.

After reaching the fourth round of the 2026 Dubai Tennis Championship, Jovic crashed out early in both Austin and Indian Wells. The No. 17-ranked defeated Anna Blinkova in straight sets but lost to Ajla Tomljanovic 6-4, 4-6, 4-6 in three sets at the ATX Open. Jovic also absorbed a three-set setback to Camila Osorio 6-4, 6-7, 3-6 in the second round of the 2026 Indian Wells Open.

Up to $350 to bet on Iva Jovic - Paula Badosa! 

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Iva Jovic vs Paula Badosa Form

Iva Jovic and Paula Badosa Latest Matches

Iva Jovic Latest matches
W W L W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Mar 6, 2026 - WTA Indian Wells

Iva Jovic
1 :  2
Camila Osorio

Feb 26, 2026 - ATX Open

Ajla Tomljanovic
2 :  1
Iva Jovic

Feb 24, 2026 - ATX Open

Anna Blinkova
0 :  2
Iva Jovic

Feb 18, 2026 - WTA Dubai Tennis Championships

Iva Jovic
0 :  2
Jessica Pegula

Feb 17, 2026 - WTA Dubai Tennis Championships

Iva Jovic
2 :  1
Diana Shnaider

Feb 16, 2026 - WTA Dubai Tennis Championships

Iva Jovic
2 :  1
Kamilla Rakhimova
Paula Badosa Latest matches
W L L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Mar 19, 2026 - WTA Miami

Paula Badosa
2 :  0
Aliaksandra Sasnovich

Mar 4, 2026 - WTA Indian Wells

Yulia Putintseva
2 :  0
Paula Badosa

Feb 16, 2026 - WTA Dubai Tennis Championships

Katerina Siniakova
0 :  2
Paula Badosa

Feb 2, 2026 - Abu Dhabi Open

Paula Badosa
1 :  2
Aliaksandra Sasnovich

Jan 21, 2026 - WTA Australian Open

Oksana Selekhmeteva
2 :  0
Paula Badosa

Jan 19, 2026 - WTA Australian Open

Zarina Diyas
0 :  2
Paula Badosa

Iva Jovic - Paula Badosa Key Points

  1. Iva Jovic is 1-2 in her last three matches.
  2. Iva Jovic is 4-0 vs. players outside the top-100.
  3. Paula Badosa has won four of her last five matches.
  4. Paula Badosa has a 30-42 record against the WTA top-20 in her career.
Up to $350 to bet on Iva Jovic - Paula Badosa! 

Limited Offer. Currently at FanDuel

Our Iva Jovic vs Paula Badosa Prediction

Iva Jovic at -162 moneyline already offers a nice payout. However, Badosa’s improving form lately has made her a fascinating pick in the set market ahead of her first duel with the American teenager.

Will Badosa steal a set from Jovic in this match?

Given the way she’s striking the ball in her recent matches, Badosa can really pull off a surprise in Miami. Badosa, who fired 11 aces and won 70 percent of her first balls while breaking Aliaksandra Sasnovich four times in the first-round win, could present Jovic a myriad of problems if she continues to produce similar numbers.

Badosa might be injury-prone, but she’s a formidable foe to play against when she’s healthy. Right now, the Spaniard has never looked this healthy in months. I have Badosa to steal a set and cover the spread at +3.5 games.

Our betting prediction for Paula Badosa vs. Iva Jovic: Paula Badosa +3.5 Games

Prediction:

 

Paula Badosa +3.5 Games

-170
$350 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Iva Jovic vs Paula Badosa Picks