Italy vs Turkiye Prediction & Picks - UEFA Nations League

Europe - UEFA Nations League

Italy
10/5/26 14:45
Turkiye

Prediction:

 

Italy -1.5

+108
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 by Tyler Doty | in Soccer Picks

Matchday 4 is already underway in Group 1 of Nations League A. This one sees Italy take on Turkey this Monday at 2:45 PM ET at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara in Bologna. After an opening-match loss to Belgium (2-0), the Azzurri have bounced back in the best way possible. Along with a road win over Turkey (4-1), Italy also managed to grab a draw against France (1-1). Roberto Mancini's side are firmly back in the mix for a quarterfinal spot.

It's a different story entirely for Turkey. They're struggling badly in a tough group. The Turkish side still haven't picked up a single point through their first 3 matches. Vincenzo Montella's team enter this one on the back of two lopsided losses to Italy (4-1) and Belgium (3-0). Turning things around won't be easy with Italy up next to open the week.

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Italy vs Turkiye Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3 Italy
4 3 1 1 1 +1
4 Turkiye
0 3 0 0 3 -7

Italy and Turkiye Latest Matches

Italy
Italy Latest matches
D W W L W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Oct 2, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

France
1 :  1
Italy

Sep 28, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Turkiye
1 :  4
Italy

Sep 25, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Italy
0 :  2
Belgium

Jun 7, 2026 - International Friendlies

Greece
0 :  1
Italy

Jun 3, 2026 - International Friendlies

Luxembourg
0 :  1
Italy

Mar 31, 2026 - World Cup

Bosnia Herzegovina
1 :  1
Italy
W W W L W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
17% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Sep 25, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Italy
0 :  2
Belgium

Mar 26, 2026 - World Cup

Italy
2 :  0
Northern Ireland

Nov 16, 2025 - World Cup

Italy
1 :  4
Norway

Oct 14, 2025 - World Cup

Italy
3 :  0
Israel

Sep 5, 2025 - World Cup

Italy
5 :  0
Estonia

Jun 9, 2025 - World Cup

Italy
2 :  0
Moldova
W D W W W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Oct 2, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

France
1 :  1
Italy

Sep 28, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Turkiye
1 :  4
Italy

Jun 7, 2026 - International Friendlies

Greece
0 :  1
Italy

Jun 3, 2026 - International Friendlies

Luxembourg
0 :  1
Italy

Mar 31, 2026 - World Cup

Bosnia Herzegovina
1 :  1
Italy

Nov 13, 2025 - World Cup

Moldova
0 :  2
Italy
Turkiye
Turkiye Latest matches
L L W L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Oct 2, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Belgium
3 :  0
Turkiye

Sep 28, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Turkiye
1 :  4
Italy

Sep 25, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Turkiye
0 :  1
France

Jun 25, 2026 - World Cup

Turkiye
3 :  2
USA

Jun 19, 2026 - World Cup

Turkiye
0 :  1
Paraguay

Jun 14, 2026 - World Cup

Australia
2 :  0
Turkiye
W W L W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Sep 28, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Turkiye
1 :  4
Italy

Sep 25, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Turkiye
0 :  1
France

Jun 25, 2026 - World Cup

Turkiye
3 :  2
USA

Jun 19, 2026 - World Cup

Turkiye
0 :  1
Paraguay

Jun 1, 2026 - International Friendlies

Turkiye
4 :  0
North Macedonia

Mar 26, 2026 - World Cup

Turkiye
1 :  0
Romania
W D W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Oct 2, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Belgium
3 :  0
Turkiye

Jun 14, 2026 - World Cup

Australia
2 :  0
Turkiye

Jun 6, 2026 - International Friendlies

Venezuela
1 :  2
Turkiye

Mar 31, 2026 - World Cup

Kosovo
0 :  1
Turkiye

Nov 18, 2025 - World Cup

Spain
2 :  2
Turkiye

Oct 11, 2025 - World Cup

Bulgaria
1 :  6
Turkiye

Italy against Turkiye : Head to Head (H2H)

Italy

75 %

Draw

25 %

Turkiye

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.25
Total goals
50%
BTTS
2.5
Goals scored
0.75
Goals conceded
75%
Over 2.5
25%
Under 2.5

Sep 28, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Turkiye
1 :  4
Italy

Jun 4, 2024 - International Friendlies

Italy
0 :  0
Turkiye

Mar 29, 2022 - International Friendlies

Turkiye
2 :  3
Italy

Jun 11, 2021 - Euro

Turkiye
0 :  3
Italy
Italy vs Turkiye Picks

Turkiye v Italy last Lineups

Italy

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
G. Donnarumma
2
M. Kayode
19
G. Scalvini
6
A. Bastoni
5
R. Calafiori
16
D. Frattesi
8
S. Tonali
10
N. Fagioli
9
M. Kean
7
F. Esposito
20
S. Esposito
10
A. Guler
21
B. Yilmaz
18
O. Aydin
16
I. Yuksek
6
B. Elmaz
7
K. Akturkoglu
20
F. Kadioglu
2
Z. Celik
3
M. Demiral
14
A. Bardakci
1
U. Cakir

Formation : 3 - 4 - 3

Turkiye

Substitutes

Italy
Italy
Goalkeeper

M. Carnesecchi

G. Vicario

Defender

M. Ruggeri

G. Di Lorenzo

G. Mancini

Midfielder

S. Ricci

A. Vergara

N. Barella

I. Doumbia

Forward

G. Scamacca

M. Zoma

D. Maldini

Turkiye
Turkiye
Goalkeeper

A. Bayindir

M. Sengezer

Defender

E. Elmali

E. Topcu

O. Kabak

Midfielder

S. Ozcan

D. Tiknaz

I. Fakili

M. Eskihellac

Forward

D. Gul

Y. Akgun

I. Kahveci

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Italy
CD Huachipato Turkiye
Top Goalscorer
Italy A. Bastoni (2 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Turkey B. Yilmaz (1 Goals)
Best assists
Italy F. Esposito (1 Assists)
Best assists
Turkey O. Aydin (1 Assists)

Italy and Turkiye Stats in UEFA Nations League

Italy
Italy
Turkiye
Turkiye
33%
Wins
0%
33%
Losses
100%
33%
Draws
0%
3
Average goals per match
3
1.67
Goals scored per match
0.33
1.33
Goals conceded per match
2.67
67%
Under 2.5 goals
33%
33%
Over 2.5 goals
67%
0%
No goals conceded
0%
67%
Both score
33%

Italy - Turkiye Key Points

  1. Italy just picked up a road draw against France (1-1).
  2. A win here would be a big step forward for Italy in the race for a quarterfinal spot.
  3. In the reverse fixture, Italy cruised to a 4-1 road win over Turkey.
  4. Turkey are on a 2-game skid, losing both by at least 3 goals.
  5. Turkey still haven't picked up a single point through 3 Nations League matches, and have scored just 1 goal.
Up to $350 to bet on Italy - Turkiye! 

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Our Italy vs Turkiye Prediction

In the reverse fixture, Italy gave Turkey no chance on the road, winning 4-1. The Azzurri followed that up with a hard-fought draw on the road against France (1-1). Don't expect them to ease up in this next matchup against Turkey, this time at home, especially with France and Belgium facing off at the same time. Roberto Mancini's side looks well positioned for a comfortable win here, putting themselves right back in the mix for a quarterfinal spot.

Our Italy vs. Turkey prediction: Italy to cover -1.5

Prediction:

 

Italy -1.5

+108
$350 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.