Sweden vs Italy Prediction & Picks - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament

International - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament

Sweden
2/11/26 15:10
Italy

Prediction:

 

Sweden ML & Over 6.5 Goals

-130
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 by Edgar Jibran | in Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament Picks

The preliminary ice hockey rounds in the Olympic Games have ended, so the main group stage is ready to begin with its activities next Wednesday. With these goals in mind, all the qualified teams are expected to bring their best performances to increase their chances of directly getting into the quarterfinals, with Sweden being one of the favorites to compete for those spots in Group B.

With these expectations in mind, Sweden will play their first game against Italy, it not really being surprising that the Swedish squad is considered the absolute favorite to win this game. Most of this favoritism is based on their fantastic roster, as they count on Elias Lindholm, Filip Forsberg, Oliver Ekman-Larsson, and Rasmus Dahlin in their offense. Taking these projections into account, they should try to win their first game by a big margin, as they will compete with Finland for the first spot in Group B.

As for Italy, this competition is expected to be an opportunity for their young players to expose their skills, as none of them currently play in the NHL. Some of the Italian forwards to follow are Alessandro Segafredo and Marco Zanetti, youngsters who are expected to take advantage of this competition to increase their chances of being considered as prospects for the NHL or any other European leagues in the short term.

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Sweden vs Italy Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L GD
3 Sweden
6 3 2 1 +2
4 Italy
0 3 0 3 -15

Sweden and Italy Latest Matches

Sweden
Sweden Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Dec 14, 2025 - Rosno Cup

Czechia
0 :  5
Sweden

Dec 13, 2025 - Rosno Cup

Finland
2 :  4
Sweden

Dec 11, 2025 - Rosno Cup

Sweden
3 :  2
Switzerland

Nov 9, 2025 - Rosno Cup

Finland
2 :  4
Sweden

Nov 8, 2025 - Rosno Cup

Sweden
8 :  3
Switzerland

Nov 6, 2025 - Rosno Cup

Sweden
3 :  1
Czechia
L W L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Dec 11, 2025 - Rosno Cup

Sweden
3 :  2
Switzerland

Nov 8, 2025 - Rosno Cup

Sweden
8 :  3
Switzerland

Nov 6, 2025 - Rosno Cup

Sweden
3 :  1
Czechia

May 24, 2025 - IIHF World Championship

Sweden
2 :  6
USA

May 22, 2025 - IIHF World Championship

Sweden
5 :  2
Czechia

May 20, 2025 - IIHF World Championship

Sweden
3 :  5
Canada
W W W W
Victories

4/4 (100%)

Defeats

0/4 (0%)

Dec 14, 2025 - Rosno Cup

Czechia
0 :  5
Sweden

Dec 13, 2025 - Rosno Cup

Finland
2 :  4
Sweden

Nov 9, 2025 - Rosno Cup

Finland
2 :  4
Sweden

May 17, 2025 - IIHF World Championship

France
0 :  4
Sweden
Italy
Italy Latest matches
L
Victories

0/1 (0%)

Defeats

1/1 (100%)

Feb 4, 2026 - International Friendly Games

Italy
3 :  4
Germany
L
Victories

0/1 (0%)

Defeats

1/1 (100%)

Feb 4, 2026 - International Friendly Games

Italy
3 :  4
Germany

Players list

Sweden
Sweden

F. Gustavsson

J. Markstrom

R. Dahlin

P. Broberg

O. Ekman-Larsson

E. Karlsson

G. Forsling

R. Andersson

V. Hedman

P. Holmberg

E. Pettersson

L. Raymond

A. Wennberg

G. Landeskog

F. Forsberg

M. Zibanejad

E. Lindholm

J. Bratt

J. Eriksson Ek

A. Kempe

W. Nylander

R. Rakell

Italy
Italy

D. Clara

D. Fadani

G. Di Tomaso

L. Zanatta

D. Glira

J. Seed

P. Pietroniro

D. Di Perna

T. Larkin

A. Trivellato

D. Mantenuto

L. Frigo

A. Petan

M. Bradley

A. Segafredo

T. Purdeller

T. De Luca

D. Gazley

C. DiGiacinto

D. Kostner

M. Frycklund

G. Morini

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Sweden
CD Huachipato Italy
Top Goalscorer
Sweden M. Zibanejad (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Italy M. Bradley (2 Goals)
Best assists
Sweden L. Raymond (8 Assists)
Best assists
Italy T. Larkin (2 Assists)
Italy D. Gazley (2 Assists)
Italy P. Pietroniro (2 Assists)

Sweden - Italy Key Points

  1. Sweden has a seven-game winning streak, it being worth noting that they dominated the Swiss and the Finnish Ice Hockey Games.
  2. Italy has a three-game losing streak, so their chances of winning at least one game in the Olympics aren’t very significant.
  3. Sweden hasn’t faced Italy in the Winter Olympic Games since the 1994 edition, when they defeated them 4-1.
  4. Italy hasn’t scored more than one goal in meetings against Sweden since their 5-3 loss in April 1997.
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Our Sweden vs Italy Prediction

As can be seen, these teams have very opposite expectations in the current edition of the Winter Olympics; however, it will be interesting to see how Sweden will manage the pressure of literally playing on the road, as Italy is the host of the Games.

Summarizing, even though the fans will put big pressure on Sweden during the whole game, the Italian roster isn’t expected to have significant chances of winning this game. Therefore, the pick for Sweden – Italy is: Sweden ML & Over 6.5 Goals!

Prediction:

 

Sweden ML & Over 6.5 Goals

-130
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Sweden vs Italy Picks