Italy vs Northern Ireland Prediction & Picks - World Cup

World - World Cup

Italy
3/26/26 15:45
Northern Ireland

Prediction:

 

Both Teams to Score

+140
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 by Bradley Gibbs | in World Cup Picks

One of the more interesting European World Cup Qualifiers to take place on Thursday sees Italy and Northern Ireland lock horns in Bergamo. Playing at the home ground of Serie A team Atalanta, the Italians will be hoping to get the job done in front of what will absolutely be an expectant home crowd. On paper this is a game that the hosts should emerge victorious from, but we've seen them buckle under the pressure in similar games in recent years, so don't be too surprised if the Northern Irish boys cause a few problems. 

After all, the visitors have shown their offensive quality away against some big teams in recent times, scoring on the road in Germany, Denmark and Sweden since the beginning of 2025. They have conceded in all of those games, which leads me to believe that both teams can easily score in this massive fixture. 

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Italy vs Northern Ireland Form

Italy and Northern Ireland Latest Matches

Italy
Italy Latest matches
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
3.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Nov 16, 2025 - World Cup

Italy
1 :  4
Norway

Nov 13, 2025 - World Cup

Moldova
0 :  2
Italy

Oct 14, 2025 - World Cup

Italy
3 :  0
Israel

Oct 11, 2025 - World Cup

Estonia
1 :  3
Italy

Sep 8, 2025 - World Cup

Israel
4 :  5
Italy

Sep 5, 2025 - World Cup

Italy
5 :  0
Estonia
L L W W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Nov 16, 2025 - World Cup

Italy
1 :  4
Norway

Oct 14, 2025 - World Cup

Italy
3 :  0
Israel

Sep 5, 2025 - World Cup

Italy
5 :  0
Estonia

Jun 9, 2025 - World Cup

Italy
2 :  0
Moldova

Mar 20, 2025 - UEFA Nations League

Italy
1 :  2
Germany

Nov 17, 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Italy
1 :  3
France
W D L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Nov 13, 2025 - World Cup

Moldova
0 :  2
Italy

Oct 11, 2025 - World Cup

Estonia
1 :  3
Italy

Sep 8, 2025 - World Cup

Israel
4 :  5
Italy

Jun 6, 2025 - World Cup

Norway
3 :  0
Italy

Mar 23, 2025 - UEFA Nations League

Germany
3 :  3
Italy

Nov 14, 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Belgium
0 :  1
Italy
Northern Ireland
Northern Ireland Latest matches
W L W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Nov 17, 2025 - World Cup

Northern Ireland
1 :  0
Luxembourg

Nov 14, 2025 - World Cup

Slovakia
1 :  0
Northern Ireland

Oct 13, 2025 - World Cup

Northern Ireland
0 :  1
Germany

Oct 10, 2025 - World Cup

Northern Ireland
2 :  0
Slovakia

Sep 7, 2025 - World Cup

Germany
3 :  1
Northern Ireland

Sep 4, 2025 - World Cup

Luxembourg
1 :  3
Northern Ireland
W D W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

Nov 17, 2025 - World Cup

Northern Ireland
1 :  0
Luxembourg

Oct 13, 2025 - World Cup

Northern Ireland
0 :  1
Germany

Oct 10, 2025 - World Cup

Northern Ireland
2 :  0
Slovakia

Jun 10, 2025 - International Friendlies

Northern Ireland
1 :  0
Iceland

Mar 21, 2025 - International Friendlies

Northern Ireland
1 :  1
Switzerland

Nov 15, 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Northern Ireland
2 :  0
Belarus
D L L W L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Nov 14, 2025 - World Cup

Slovakia
1 :  0
Northern Ireland

Sep 7, 2025 - World Cup

Germany
3 :  1
Northern Ireland

Sep 4, 2025 - World Cup

Luxembourg
1 :  3
Northern Ireland

Jun 7, 2025 - International Friendlies

Denmark
2 :  1
Northern Ireland

Mar 25, 2025 - International Friendlies

Sweden
5 :  1
Northern Ireland

Nov 18, 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Luxembourg
2 :  2
Northern Ireland

Italy against Northern Ireland : Head to Head (H2H)

Italy

50 %

Draw

50 %

Northern Ireland

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1
Total goals
0%
BTTS
1
Goals scored
0
Goals conceded
0%
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5

Nov 15, 2021 - World Cup

Northern Ireland
0 :  0
Italy

Mar 25, 2021 - World Cup

Italy
2 :  0
Northern Ireland
Italy vs Northern Ireland Picks

Italy against Northern Ireland Lineups: Starting 11

Italy

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

1
G. Donnarumma
23
G. Mancini
21
A. Bastoni
13
R. Calafiori
7
M. Politano
18
N. Barella
5
M. Locatelli
8
S. Tonali
3
F. Dimarco
11
M. Kean
9
M. Retegui
10
J. Donley
14
I. Price
20
B. Spencer
15
J. Devenny
7
E. Gaibraith
19
S. Charles
2
T. Devlin
13
R. McConville
17
P. McNair
5
T. Hume
23
P. Charles

Formation : 3 - 5 - 1 - 1

Northern Ireland

Substitutes

Italy
Italy
Goalkeeper

M. Carnesecchi

A. Meret

Defender

A. Buongiorno

F. Gatti

A. Bastoni 63'

G. Scalvini

M. Palestra

M. Politano 83'

L. Spinazzola

Midfielder

D. Frattesi

N. Pisilli

S. Tonali 83'

B. Cristante

Forward

F. Esposito

M. Retegui 63'

G. Raspadori

M. Kean 88'

Northern Ireland
Northern Ireland
Goalkeeper

B. Peacock Farrell

C. Hazard

Defender

E. Toal

C. Brown

T. Atcheson

Midfielder

P. Smyth

T. Devlin 68'

P. Kelly

G. Saville

B. Lyons

Forward

J. Magennis

J. Donley 79'

C. Marshall

J. Reid

B. Spencer 79'

Missing players

Italy
Italy
Northern Ireland
Northern Ireland
Defender

C. Bradley

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Italy
CD Huachipato Northern Ireland
Top Goalscorer
Italy M. Kean (12 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Northern Ireland J. Reid (1 Goals) Northern Ireland S. Charles (1 Goals) Northern Ireland J. Devenny (1 Goals) Northern Ireland I. Price (1 Goals) Northern Ireland T. Hume (1 Goals) Northern Ireland J. Donley (1 Goals)
Best assists
Italy F. Dimarco (4 Assists)
Italy M. Retegui (4 Assists)
Italy S. Tonali (4 Assists)
Italy N. Barella (4 Assists)
Best assists
Northern Ireland J. Devenny (1 Assists)

Italy - Northern Ireland Key Points

  1. The Italians have scored in all of their home games since Euro 2024.
  2. The visitors have scored in five of their last six away games.
  3. Both teams have scored in five of Northern Ireland's last six away games.
  4. Northern Ireland have both scored and conceded away against the likes of Spain, Sweden, Denmark and Germany since 2024.
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Our Italy vs Northern Ireland Prediction

At odds of +140, I cannot look beyond 'Both Teams to Score' in the betting. Sure, the Italians are hotly fancied to come out on top, and they may well do that, but the hosts have been far from defensively reliable in big games in recent times, while the spirited visitors can score goals on the road, even against the big boys. 

Over the last year or so, we've seen Michael O'Neill's men score away against the likes of Germany, Denmark and Sweden, which tells me that they will be a threat in Bergamo. They've also conceded away to each of those nations, making a 'Both Teams to Score' bet seem a bit too generously priced. 

Our Italy vs Northern Ireland Pick: Both Teams to Score.

Prediction:

 

Both Teams to Score

+140
$250 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.