Italy vs Greece Prediction & Picks - EuroBasket

Europe - EuroBasket

Italy
8/28/25 14:30
Greece

Prediction:

 

Greece (-5.5) cover the spread

-110
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 by Paul Tamayo in EuroBasket Picks

Greece takes on Italy on Friday, August 29, at the Spyros Kyprianou Arena in Cyprus. 

Italy lost their last two preparation games but they still finished their preparations with an impressive 4-2 record. They did lose to Greece in one of those games, but the real match starts on Friday.

After all, this is a formidable Italian roster. Sweet-shooting forward Simone Fontecchio is ready for a starring role. He had a bit of a down year in the NBA last season, but the 29-year-old sharpshooter is tasked to lead the Italians.

Veteran forward Danilo Gallinari is back for another tour of duty, along with former NBA big man Nicolo Melli. 

Still, they'll be hard pressed to have a perfect game against the Greek. Greece won four of their seven preparation games heading into EuroBasket. And of course, they have the Greek Freak in their camp.

Giannis Antetokounmpo returns with guns ablaze and a hunger to give Greece its first EuroBasket medal since 2009. He is coming off another 30-point average season with the Milwaukee Bucks, and his mid-range jumper is better than ever.

Other Greek players with NBA experience include his brothers, Kostas and Thanasis Antetokounmpo, Kostas Papanikolaou, and Tyler Dorsey.

Up to $300 to bet on Italy - Greece! 

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Italy vs Greece Form

Italy and Greece Latest Matches

Italy
Italy Latest matches
L W W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 22, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Italy
74 :  76
Greece

Aug 21, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Italy
68 :  83
Latvia

Aug 14, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Argentina
72 :  84
Italy

Aug 9, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Latvia
75 :  91
Italy

Aug 2, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Iceland
61 :  87
Italy

Feb 23, 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Hungary
71 :  67
Italy
W L L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 14, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Argentina
72 :  84
Italy

Aug 9, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Latvia
75 :  91
Italy

Aug 2, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Iceland
61 :  87
Italy

Feb 23, 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Hungary
71 :  67
Italy

Nov 25, 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Iceland
81 :  74
Italy

Feb 22, 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Turkiye
80 :  87
Italy
W W W W L L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 22, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Italy
74 :  76
Greece

Aug 21, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Italy
68 :  83
Latvia

Feb 20, 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Italy
80 :  67
Turkiye

Nov 22, 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Italy
95 :  71
Iceland

Sep 1, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Italy
78 :  76
Serbia

Aug 29, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Italy
90 :  83
Philippines
Greece
Greece Latest matches
L L W W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 24, 2025 - International Friendly Games

France
92 :  77
Greece

Aug 22, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Italy
74 :  76
Greece

Aug 20, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Latvia
86 :  104
Greece

Aug 14, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Montenegro
61 :  69
Greece

Aug 10, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Israel
75 :  58
Greece

Aug 9, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Serbia
76 :  66
Greece
L L W W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 24, 2025 - International Friendly Games

France
92 :  77
Greece

Aug 22, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Italy
74 :  76
Greece

Aug 20, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Latvia
86 :  104
Greece

Aug 14, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Montenegro
61 :  69
Greece

Aug 10, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Israel
75 :  58
Greece

Aug 9, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Serbia
76 :  66
Greece
L L W L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Feb 21, 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Greece
93 :  89
Czechia

Nov 21, 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Greece
72 :  73
Great Britain

Aug 6, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Greece
63 :  76
Germany

Aug 2, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Greece
77 :  71
Australia

Jul 30, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Greece
77 :  84
Spain

Sep 1, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Greece
67 :  92
Lithuania

Italy against Greece : Head to Head (H2H)

Italy

0 %

Greece

100 %

Aug 22, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Italy
74 :  76
Greece

Sep 3, 2022 - EuroBasket

Italy
81 :  85
Greece

Italy - Greece Key Points

  1. Greece beat Italy in their preparation game.
  2. Greek players with NBA experience include Tyler Dorsey, Kostas Papanikolaou, Giannis, Kostas, and Thanasis Antetokounmpo.
  3. Italian players with NBA experience include Simone Fontecchio, Danilo Gallinari, and Nicolo Melli.
  4. Greece won four of their seven preparation games.
Up to $300 to bet on Italy - Greece! 

Limited Offer. Currently at FanDuel

Our Italy vs Greece Prediction

With Simone Fontecchio, Danilo Gallinari, and Nicolo Melli leading the way, Italy is pegged as a darkhorse in this year's EuroBasket. But they'll be going up against the Greek national team, a perennial contender in their first game.

Giannis Antetokounmpo is back for national duty, and he is hungrier than ever. His two brothers are also playing, along with ex-NBA players Kostas Papanikolaou and Tyler Dorsey. Our prediction for the Greece vs Italy match is: Greece (-5.5) cover the spread.

Prediction:

 

Greece (-5.5) cover the spread

-110
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Italy vs Greece Picks
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