Finland vs Italy Prediction & Picks - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament

International - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament

Finland
2/14/26 10:40
Italy

Prediction:

 

Finland to Cover -1.5 Puck Line in the 1st Period

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 by Edgar Jibran | in Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament Picks

Next Saturday will bring the last round in the ice hockey Olympic group stage, and it’s undeniable that Group B has brought the most intriguing results so far. For this last matchday, Finland will have a fantastic opportunity to look for a victory over Italy that would almost grant them the first spot in the standings.

In this regard, it should be noted that winning the first spot for Finland won’t be easy, as they will need a specific scenario to accomplish it. The first thing they need to happen is defeating Italy by a big margin, and the second one will be Sweden defeating Slovakia. With this goal in mind, players like Sebastian Aho, Mikko Rantanen, and Mikael Granlund are expected to increase their offensive participation to provide their country with the direct qualification for the quarterfinals.

Meanwhile, Italy has met the expectations after not being able to secure a single point during their first two games; however, they did a good defensive job during their most recent 3-2 loss to Slovakia. Thus, the Italian squad is expected to put all its efforts into increasing their defensive consistency for the upcoming challenges in the first round of the playoffs.

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Finland vs Italy Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L GD
2 Finland
6 3 2 1 +11
4 Italy
0 3 0 3 -15

Finland and Italy Latest Matches

Finland
Finland Latest matches
L L L W L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Feb 13, 2026 - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament

Finland
4 :  1
Sweden

Feb 11, 2026 - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament

Slovakia
4 :  1
Finland

Dec 14, 2025 - Rosno Cup

Switzerland
3 :  4
Finland

Dec 13, 2025 - Rosno Cup

Finland
2 :  4
Sweden

Dec 11, 2025 - Rosno Cup

Czechia
3 :  1
Finland

Nov 9, 2025 - Rosno Cup

Finland
2 :  4
Sweden
W L L W
Victories

2/4 (50%)

Defeats

2/4 (50%)

Feb 13, 2026 - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament

Finland
4 :  1
Sweden

Dec 13, 2025 - Rosno Cup

Finland
2 :  4
Sweden

Nov 9, 2025 - Rosno Cup

Finland
2 :  4
Sweden

Nov 8, 2025 - Rosno Cup

Finland
4 :  2
Czechia
W L L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Feb 11, 2026 - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament

Slovakia
4 :  1
Finland

Dec 14, 2025 - Rosno Cup

Switzerland
3 :  4
Finland

Dec 11, 2025 - Rosno Cup

Czechia
3 :  1
Finland

Nov 6, 2025 - Rosno Cup

Switzerland
3 :  1
Finland

May 22, 2025 - IIHF World Championship

USA
5 :  2
Finland

May 19, 2025 - IIHF World Championship

Canada
1 :  2
Finland
Italy
Italy Latest matches
L L L
Victories

0/3 (0%)

Defeats

3/3 (100%)

Feb 13, 2026 - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament

Italy
2 :  3
Slovakia

Feb 11, 2026 - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament

Sweden
5 :  2
Italy

Feb 4, 2026 - International Friendly Games

Italy
3 :  4
Germany
L L
Victories

0/2 (0%)

Defeats

2/2 (100%)

Feb 13, 2026 - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament

Italy
2 :  3
Slovakia

Feb 4, 2026 - International Friendly Games

Italy
3 :  4
Germany
L
Victories

0/1 (0%)

Defeats

1/1 (100%)

Feb 11, 2026 - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament

Sweden
5 :  2
Italy
Finland vs Italy Picks

Players list

Finland
Finland

J. Saros

J. Korpisalo

H. Jokiharju

M. Heiskanen

N. Matinpalo

E. Lindell

R. Ristolainen

M. Lehtonen

N. Mikkola

O. Maatta

E. Tolvanen

E. Luostarinen

K. Kakko

M. Rantanen

A. Lehkonen

T. Teravainen

J. Armia

J. Kiviranta

S. Aho

E. Haula

R. Hintz

M. Granlund

Italy
Italy

D. Clara

D. Fadani

G. Di Tomaso

L. Zanatta

D. Glira

J. Seed

P. Pietroniro

D. Di Perna

T. Larkin

A. Trivellato

D. Mantenuto

L. Frigo

N. Saracino

M. Bradley

T. Purdeller

T. De Luca

M. Zanetti

A. Petan

D. Gazley

D. Kostner

M. Frycklund

G. Morini

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Finland
CD Huachipato Italy
Top Goalscorer
Finland S. Aho (4 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Italy M. Bradley (2 Goals)
Best assists
Finland J. Armia (5 Assists)
Best assists
Italy T. Larkin (2 Assists)
Italy D. Gazley (2 Assists)
Italy P. Pietroniro (2 Assists)

Finland - Italy Key Points

  1. Finland ended a five-game winless streak with their most recent 4-1 victory over Sweden, a game in which they weren’t favorites to win according to the bookies’ odds.
  2. Italy is currently on a five-game losing streak, and it is worth noting that they conceded three or more goals in four of those games.
  3. Finland was able to dominate Italy the last time they faced each other in the Olympic Games, which occurred in 2006 (6-0).
  4. Italy hasn’t scored any goals during their last four meetings with Finland, but they conceded three or more goals per game.
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Our Finland vs Italy Prediction

As can be noted, the recent meetings between these teams have delivered dominant performances from Finland, so it makes sense that the bookies’ odds are supporting the Finnish roster to get a victory in the last matchday of the group stage.

To sum up, the dominance that Finland has established over Italy is expected to continue in this new meeting due to the context surrounding the Finnish qualification for the quarterfinals. Therefore, the pick for Finland – Italy is: Finland to Cover -1.5 Puck Line in the 1st Period!

Prediction:

 

Finland to Cover -1.5 Puck Line in the 1st Period

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.