Inter Milan vs AC Milan Prediction & Picks - Serie A
Italy - Serie A
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by Erik Gibbs | in Serie A Picks
Inter Milan and AC Milan square off on Sunday at the San Siro in another chapter of the iconic Derby della Madonnina. It's a matchup loaded with tradition, intensity, and high-stakes implications for Serie A positioning. Inter enters the derby as one of the league's most efficient and dangerous teams. Through their first 11 matches, they have collected 24 points and remain unbeaten in regulation, demonstrating consistency across all phases. Their attack is the best in the league, producing 26 goals—roughly 2.4 per game—while boasting a formidable +14 goal difference. Inter's strengths stem from coordinated pressing, fast combinations in the final third, and a midfield that excels in orchestrating possession and chance creation.
AC Milan, meanwhile, sits just behind with 22 points from 11 matches. Their campaign has been built on structure and discipline. With 22 goals scored and only 9 conceded, Milan brings a balanced profile: a team that rarely collapses, frequently draws tough matches, and grinds out narrow wins. Their defensive shape and ability to frustrate high-powered attacks make them a difficult opponent for any side, especially in derby settings. Both clubs enter the match well-positioned in the standings, heightening the stakes and emotional charge surrounding this storied rivalry.
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Inter Milan vs AC Milan Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
43 | 19 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 25 |
|
2
|
40 | 19 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 15 |
Inter Milan and AC Milan Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Nov 9, 2025 - Serie A
Nov 5, 2025 - Champions League
Nov 2, 2025 - Serie A
Oct 29, 2025 - Serie A
Oct 25, 2025 - Serie A
Oct 21, 2025 - Champions League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Nov 9, 2025 - Serie A
Nov 5, 2025 - Champions League
Oct 29, 2025 - Serie A
Oct 4, 2025 - Serie A
Sep 30, 2025 - Champions League
Sep 21, 2025 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Nov 2, 2025 - Serie A
Oct 25, 2025 - Serie A
Oct 21, 2025 - Champions League
Oct 18, 2025 - Serie A
Oct 10, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Sep 27, 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Nov 8, 2025 - Serie A
Nov 2, 2025 - Serie A
Oct 28, 2025 - Serie A
Oct 24, 2025 - Serie A
Oct 19, 2025 - Serie A
Oct 5, 2025 - Serie A
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Nov 2, 2025 - Serie A
Oct 24, 2025 - Serie A
Oct 19, 2025 - Serie A
Sep 28, 2025 - Serie A
Sep 23, 2025 - Coppa Italia
Sep 14, 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Nov 8, 2025 - Serie A
Oct 28, 2025 - Serie A
Oct 5, 2025 - Serie A
Sep 20, 2025 - Serie A
Aug 29, 2025 - Serie A
Aug 10, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Inter Milan against AC Milan : Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
33 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Apr 23, 2025 - Coppa Italia
Apr 2, 2025 - Coppa Italia
Feb 2, 2025 - Serie A
Jan 6, 2025 - Italian Super Cup
Sep 22, 2024 - Serie A
Apr 22, 2024 - Serie A
Inter Milan - AC Milan: Form Analysis
Inter Milan's recent form illustrates why they remain among the favorites to win the league. They have scored multiple goals in almost every outing, controlling most matches through pace, pressing, and a midfield group that consistently pushes the ball forward. Inter's defensive organization has also held strong, conceding only 12 goals so far, allowing them to maintain composure even in tighter contests. Their overall rhythm—fluid attacking sequences paired with timely defensive stops—has kept them near the top of the table. The fact that their occasional losses have come only via shootout scenarios rather than regulation play underscores their resilience.
AC Milan's recent results show a contrasting but effective style. Milan has been involved in numerous lower-scoring matches, many finishing under 2.5 goals and decided by a single score. With only one loss through 11 games, they've demonstrated remarkable stability. Their defensive unit has been compact, limiting quality chances and minimizing mistakes in pressure moments. Milan's attack hasn't matched Inter's volume, but they find ways to secure points through patience and opportunistic finishing. This combination has produced a steady flow of draws and narrow victories, signaling a team equipped to withstand long stretches of tight, tactical football.
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Players list
Y. Sommer
DefenderM. Akanji
A. Diouf
A. Bastoni
C. Augusto
F. Dimarco
MidfielderF. Esposito
P. Zielinski
P. Sucic
ForwardA. Bonny
M. Thuram
M. Maignan
DefenderF. Tomori
M. Gabbia
S. Pavlovic
D. Bartesaghi
MidfielderA. Saelemaekers
S. Ricci
L. Modric
A. Rabiot
ForwardC. Nkunku
R. Loftus-Cheek
Substitutes
J. Martinez
A. Calligaris
DefenderM. Cocchi
C. Alexiou
Y. Bisseck
S. De Vrij
MidfielderA. Diouf
P. Zielinski
D. Frattesi
ForwardLuis Henrique
F. Esposito
A. Bonny
P. Terracciano
M. Pittarella
DefenderD. Odogu
P. Estupinan
K. De Winter
MidfielderS. Ricci
A. Jashari
R. Loftus-Cheek
C. Nkunku
Missing players
R. Di Gennaro
DefenderT. Palacios
D. Dumfries
MidfielderH. Mkhitaryan
C. Balentien
S. Gimenez
Inter Milan & AC Milan Squad Analysis
Inter's standout performer has been midfielder Hakan Çalhanoğlu, whose five goals make him the team's leading scorer. His ability to produce from distance, convert set pieces, and influence tempo has been crucial to Inter's attacking rhythm. The front line led by Lautaro Martínez and A. Bonny—each contributing four goals—adds consistent pressure, especially in transition where Inter's speed often overwhelms defenses. The backline, supported by goalkeeper Andre Onana, has been dependable, keeping Inter's goals-against relatively low and giving the attack freedom to push numbers forward.
For AC Milan, Rafael Leão and Christian Pulisic have both registered four goals, offering pace, creativity, and direct scoring threats from the wings. Leão remains Milan's most explosive player; when he finds space to run, he can alter matches single-handedly. Pulisic has offered balance from the opposite flank, finishing efficiently and contributing to Milan's improved chance creation. Toni Kroos's arrival has brought stability to the midfield, providing control and composure even if his statistical output is modest. Support from veterans like Ante Rebić and Saša Kalajdžić adds depth and occasional scoring boosts. Collectively, Milan's players have remained steady but less prolific than Inter's offensive core.
Most goals and assists
Inter Milan
AC Milan
L. Martinez
(14 Goals)
C. Pulisic
(8 Goals)
F. Dimarco
(7 Assists)
A. Rabiot
(3 Assists)
Inter Milan - AC Milan Key Points
- Inter are 3-2 ATS in their last 5 games
- AC Milan are 3-2 ATS in their last 5 games
- The Over is 3-2 in Inter's last 5 games
- The Over is 3-2 in AC Milan's last 5 games
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Our Inter Milan vs AC Milan Prediction
This derby shapes up as a clash between Inter's high-powered attack and Milan's disciplined, calculated structure. Inter will look to impose tempo early, relying on quick ball movement and aggressive forward runs to unsettle Milan's compact defensive lines. If Çalhanoğlu controls midfield possession and Martínez gets space between the center backs, Inter should generate several scoring chances. Their confidence from recent high-scoring performances—and past derby successes, including recent Cup wins—adds momentum heading into this encounter.
Milan's hopes hinge on slowing the game, winning duels in midfield, and preventing Inter from creating overloads in wide areas. If Kroos can dictate rhythm and Leão finds transition opportunities, Milan has a pathway to disrupt Inter's flow. Their ability to drag matches into tight, cagey battles is well established. However, when weighing overall form, consistency, and scoring reliability, Inter holds the clearer advantage. Their attack has been more efficient, their defensive unit has been sturdy, and their league results have shown greater stability.
Milan can certainly make this competitive—as derbies often defy logic—but Inter's recent performances and slight edge in squad sharpness suggest they are better positioned to claim the victory. Our prediction for Inter Milan vs. AC Milan is: Under 2.5 goals.
Inter Milan vs AC Milan - Other Interesting Picks
Adrien Rabiot to have over 0.5 assists
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