Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers Prediction & Picks - NBA
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by Matt Lowrimore | in NBA Picks
This is it! The NBA Finals and season will come to a conclusion on Sunday night with what is expected to be a thrilling Game 7 between the Oklahoma City Thunder and the Indiana Pacers. Let’s take a look at the match statistics and predictions for this Game 7 between the Thunder and Pacers to decide who will be crowned the NBA Champion.
Indiana enters this game with new life as they won Game 6 by a score of 108-91 to force Game 7. The Pacers again had a balanced scoring effort with six players scoring in double figures.
Most notably, Tyrese Haliburton bounced back from his worst playoff performance in Game 5 to score 14 points in Game 6 while playing through an injury.
As for Oklahoma City, they failed to close out the series in Game 6 but are back in familiar territory as they return home to try and win an NBA title in front of their home fans. The Thunder came out flat in Game 6 but still managed to have four players score in double figures. Of course, leading the scoring for the Thunder was still Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who scored a game-high 21 points.
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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers Form
Oklahoma City Thunder and Indiana Pacers Latest Matches
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Oklahoma City Thunder against Indiana Pacers : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
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Oklahoma City Thunder - Indiana Pacers: Form Analysis
Indiana has had their ups and downs in this series, and for the most part, they have played far worse on the road, which is where this game will be. Other than their shocking Game 1 win, the Pacers have lost the other two road games they played by an average margin of 13.5 points per game.
“The Pacers have eight players averaging 10 points or more in the NBA Finals.”
The same can be said for the Thunder, who have by far played their best basketball at home in this series.
The Thunder have scored an average of 117.7 points per game in their three home games, while they scored 103 points per game in three road games (two losses).
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Players list
L. Dort
A. Nembhard
T. Haliburton
P. Siakam
Substitutes
A. Mitchell
C. Wallace
I. Joe
A. Caruso
A. Wiggins
J. Williams
D. Jones
O. Dieng
B. Sheppard
B. Mathurin
T. McConnell
J. Furphy
J. Johnson
I. Jackson
J. Walker
O. Toppin
Oklahoma City Thunder & Indiana Pacers Squad Analysis
Indiana had a rough time in Game 5 as they were dealing with Haliburton missing parts of the game due to injury, and even when he did play, he was ineffective. Game 6 was a completely different story as they found their three-point shot (15 of 42 as a team) and had far fewer turnovers.
Game 7 must follow the Game 6 formula if they want to have any chance of winning the title. The biggest emphasis will be on avoiding turnovers, as this has led to a ton of easy points for the Thunder throughout the series.
“Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Jalen Williams combined for 38 points in Game 6.”
The biggest concern for the Thunder in Game 6 was their three-point shooting. As a team, the Thunder were 8 of 30 (26.7%).
Further, the Thunder will once again need Jalen Williams to have a huge Game 7, as he scored just 16 points in Game 6 after posting a 40-point Game 5.
Oklahoma City Thunder - Indiana Pacers Key Points
- The total has gone over 215 points in four of the six games
- The Thunder are averaging 117.7 points per game in the series at home
- The Pacers are averaging 21 turnovers per game on the road in this series
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 34.3 points per game at home in this series
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Our Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers Prediction
This series has gone back and forth since the start, with both teams winning close games and both teams winning in blowouts. Oklahoma City has been far better at home in this series and, as such, is favored in Game 7 as well.
However, instead of backing either team to cover the spread, we are going to target the over. Every game played in Oklahoma City has seen at least 220 total points scored. In fact, the three games in Oklahoma City have seen an average of 226.7 points scored per game.
With this being a Game 7 in the NBA Finals, there are sure to be some nerves, but it should also allow both offenses to be loose as both defenses may be rigid to start the game. For that reason, our Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers prediction is: Over 215 Total Points.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers - Other Interesting Picks
Aaron Nesmith Over 1.5 Made Threes
Aaron Nesmith has been the most reliable three-point shooter for the Pacers, not only in the NBA Finals but the entire postseason.
He has now made at least two three-pointers in five of the six games in this series and 16 of the Pacers’ 22 playoff games. If the Pacers are going to win an NBA Championship, Nesmith must provide his elite three-point shooting one more time; therefore, backing Nesmith to make at least two three-pointers will be our play.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
