Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers Prediction & Picks - NBA

USA - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
6/5/25 20:30
Indiana Pacers

Prediction:

 

Indiana Pacers Alternate Spread +10.5

-134
$200 offered for betting!

New customers only | Commercial content | 21+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Matt Lowrimore | in NBA Picks

After a long and grueling NBA playoffs, the NBA Finals are finally here! Game 1 of the NBA Finals between the Oklahoma City Thunder from the Western Conference and the Indiana Pacers from the Eastern Conference is set to take place on Thursday in Oklahoma City. Let's take a look at the match statistics and predictions to see who can land an early punch in this year's NBA Finals.

Indiana enters this game fresh on a series win over the New York Knicks, beating them over six games. In the close-out game, the Pacers were dominant, beating the Knicks by a score of 125-108. In this game, the Pacers had six players score in double figures, including all five of their starters. Leading the way for the Pacers was Pascal Siakam, who scored a game-high 31 points. 

As for Oklahoma City, they enter the NBA Finals off a dominant series win over the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Thunder beat the Timberwolves in the series four games to one, winning Game 5 by a score of 124-94 to advance to the NBA Finals. In this close-out game, the Thunder had five players score in double figures, including four of their five starters. Leading the way for the Thunder was no other than Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who scored a game-high 34 points.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers Form

Oklahoma City Thunder and Indiana Pacers Latest Matches

Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder Latest matches
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

May 28, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
124 :  94
Minnesota Timberwolves

May 26, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
126 :  128
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 24, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
143 :  101
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 22, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
118 :  103
Minnesota Timberwolves

May 20, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
114 :  88
Minnesota Timberwolves

May 18, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
125 :  93
Denver Nuggets
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

May 28, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
124 :  94
Minnesota Timberwolves

May 22, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
118 :  103
Minnesota Timberwolves

May 20, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
114 :  88
Minnesota Timberwolves

May 18, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
125 :  93
Denver Nuggets

May 13, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
112 :  105
Denver Nuggets

May 7, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
149 :  106
Denver Nuggets
W L W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

May 26, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
126 :  128
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 24, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
143 :  101
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 15, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
119 :  107
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 11, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
87 :  92
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 9, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
113 :  104
Oklahoma City Thunder

Apr 26, 2025 - NBA

Memphis Grizzlies
115 :  117
Oklahoma City Thunder
Indiana Pacers
Indiana Pacers Latest matches
W W L W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 31, 2025 - NBA

Indiana Pacers
125 :  108
New York Knicks

May 29, 2025 - NBA

New York Knicks
111 :  94
Indiana Pacers

May 27, 2025 - NBA

Indiana Pacers
130 :  121
New York Knicks

May 25, 2025 - NBA

Indiana Pacers
100 :  106
New York Knicks

May 23, 2025 - NBA

New York Knicks
109 :  114
Indiana Pacers

May 21, 2025 - NBA

New York Knicks
135 :  138
Indiana Pacers
W L W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 31, 2025 - NBA

Indiana Pacers
125 :  108
New York Knicks

May 27, 2025 - NBA

Indiana Pacers
130 :  121
New York Knicks

May 25, 2025 - NBA

Indiana Pacers
100 :  106
New York Knicks

May 11, 2025 - NBA

Indiana Pacers
129 :  109
Cleveland Cavaliers

May 9, 2025 - NBA

Indiana Pacers
104 :  126
Cleveland Cavaliers

Apr 29, 2025 - NBA

Indiana Pacers
119 :  118
Milwaukee Bucks
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

May 29, 2025 - NBA

New York Knicks
111 :  94
Indiana Pacers

May 23, 2025 - NBA

New York Knicks
109 :  114
Indiana Pacers

May 21, 2025 - NBA

New York Knicks
135 :  138
Indiana Pacers

May 13, 2025 - NBA

Cleveland Cavaliers
105 :  114
Indiana Pacers

May 6, 2025 - NBA

Cleveland Cavaliers
119 :  120
Indiana Pacers

May 4, 2025 - NBA

Cleveland Cavaliers
112 :  121
Indiana Pacers

Oklahoma City Thunder against Indiana Pacers : Head to Head (H2H)

Oklahoma City Thunder

50 %

Indiana Pacers

50 %

Mar 29, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
132 :  111
Indiana Pacers

Dec 26, 2024 - NBA

Indiana Pacers
114 :  120
Oklahoma City Thunder

Apr 5, 2024 - NBA

Indiana Pacers
126 :  112
Oklahoma City Thunder

Mar 12, 2024 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
111 :  121
Indiana Pacers

Mar 31, 2023 - NBA

Indiana Pacers
121 :  117
Oklahoma City Thunder

Jan 18, 2023 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
126 :  106
Indiana Pacers

Oklahoma City Thunder - Indiana Pacers: Form Analysis

The Pacers have by far been the surprise team in this year's playoffs. They beat the Milwaukee Bucks four games to one in the first round, the Cleveland Cavaliers four games to one in the second round, and the New York Knicks four games to two in the Eastern Conference Finals.

“The Pacers are making their first NBA Finals appearance since the 1999-2000 season.”

The Thunder have been the heavy favorite to win the NBA Finals since the playoffs began and as such, advanced to the NBA Finals without too much trouble. Oklahoma City crushed the Memphis Grizzlies four games to none in the first round, beat the Denver Nuggets four games to three in the second round, and dominated the Minnesota Timberwolves four games to one in the Western Conference Finals.

Players list

Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder
J. Williams C. Holmgren S. Gilgeous-Alexander

C. Wallace

L. Dort

Indiana Pacers
Indiana Pacers
A. Nesmith M. Turner

A. Nembhard

T. Haliburton

P. Siakam

Substitutes

Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder
I. Hartenstein K. Williams

A. Mitchell

I. Joe

A. Caruso

A. Wiggins

J. Williams

D. Jones

O. Dieng

Indiana Pacers
Indiana Pacers
T. Bradley T. Bryant

B. Sheppard

B. Mathurin

T. McConnell

J. Furphy

J. Johnson

I. Jackson

J. Walker

O. Toppin

Oklahoma City Thunder & Indiana Pacers Squad Analysis

As the playoffs have gone on, both teams have several players who have established themselves as the best on the team. For Indiana, that is Pascal Siakam and Tyrese Haliburton. Siakam is averaging 21.1 points per game in the playoffs, while Haliburton is averaging 18.8 points per game. They both have had games this postseason where they completely took over, and as such, will be a constant threat in the NBA Finals.

“Both teams enter the NBA Finals with no significant injury concerns.”

For the Thunder, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been by far the best player on the team. Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 29.4 points per game in the postseason, followed by Jalen Williams, who is averaging 20.4 points per game, and Chet Holmgren, who is averaging 16.4 points per game.

Oklahoma City Thunder - Indiana Pacers Key Points

  1. The Thunder are 8-1 SU at home this postseason
  2. The Thunder are 2-1 ATS in Game 1’s this postseason
  3. The Pacers are 6-2 ATS on the road this postseason
  4. The Pacers are 3-0 SU in Game 1’s this postseason

Our Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers Prediction

The Thunder are heavy favorites in the NBA Finals and in Game 1 as well. That said, they have not played in over a week, seeing that they closed out their series with the Minnesota Timberwolves last Wednesday. While this should not affect them too much, it is worth pointing out, as they could be a little rusty.

As for Indiana, they have been brilliant in Game 1's during the postseason, going a perfect 3-0, which includes road wins against the Cleveland Cavaliers and New York Knicks. The Pacers will not have had as much rest as the Thunder, but could be sharper for the start of the NBA Finals. 

Given Indiana's success in Game 1's during the postseason, our Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers prediction is: Indiana Pacers Alternate Spread +10.5.

Prediction:

 

Indiana Pacers Alternate Spread +10.5

-134
$200 offered for betting!

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers - Other Interesting Picks

Pascal Siakam Over 19.5 Points

Odds -120

Our second prediction for this game will target Pascal Siakam to score at least 20 points. Siakam has consistently been Indiana's best player in the postseason, and as such, he is averaging 21.1 points per game. 

He has scored at least 20 points in eight of the Pacers' 16 playoff games, including three times in the Eastern Conference Finals.
$200 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers Picks