Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers Prediction & Picks - NBA
USA - NBA
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by Stephen Abiola | in NBA Picks
Miami Heat (1-4) will try to get their first home win this season when they host Indiana Pacers (2-3) at the Kaseya Center in the Emirates NBA Cup group stage. The Heat have won only once this season, which was against the Hawks on Wednesday night on the road. It was a relieving win for them as it ended their five-game losing streak. But despite their recent struggles, bookmakers have listed them as the warm -304 betting favorites tonight.
Indiana Pacers, meanwhile, are the +235 betting underdogs in this Group B clash in the Eastern Conference. The Pacers come into this contest sitting tenth in the conference with a .400 win percentage. Indiana Pacers failed to build on their impressive 109-136 win over the Nets after losing to the Bucks and the 76ers. However, they looked very competitive in both defeats, covering the spread against the 76ers.
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Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
17
|
0.4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | |
|
24
|
0.2 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
Miami Heat and Indiana Pacers Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Oct 28, 2026 - NBA
Oct 26, 2026 - NBA
Oct 24, 2026 - NBA
Oct 23, 2026 - NBA
Oct 21, 2026 - NBA
Jul 17, 2026 - NBA Summer League
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Oct 26, 2026 - NBA
Oct 23, 2026 - NBA
Oct 21, 2026 - NBA
Jul 17, 2026 - NBA Summer League
Jul 16, 2026 - NBA Summer League
Jul 10, 2026 - NBA Summer League
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Oct 28, 2026 - NBA
Oct 24, 2026 - NBA
Jul 13, 2026 - NBA Summer League
Jul 11, 2026 - NBA Summer League
Jul 6, 2026 - NBA Summer League
Jul 5, 2026 - NBA Summer League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Oct 28, 2026 - NBA
Oct 26, 2026 - NBA
Oct 25, 2026 - NBA
Oct 23, 2026 - NBA
Oct 21, 2026 - NBA
Jul 18, 2026 - NBA Summer League
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Oct 28, 2026 - NBA
Oct 23, 2026 - NBA
Jul 13, 2026 - NBA Summer League
Jul 10, 2026 - NBA Summer League
Apr 12, 2026 - NBA
Apr 10, 2026 - NBA
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Oct 26, 2026 - NBA
Oct 25, 2026 - NBA
Oct 21, 2026 - NBA
Jul 18, 2026 - NBA Summer League
Jul 15, 2026 - NBA Summer League
Jul 11, 2026 - NBA Summer League
Miami Heat against Indiana Pacers : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
Mar 29, 2026 - NBA
Jan 10, 2026 - NBA
Dec 27, 2025 - NBA
Feb 28, 2025 - NBA
Jan 2, 2025 - NBA
Nov 17, 2024 - NBA
Players list
K. Thompson
D. Mitchell
G. Antetokounmpo
A. Wiggins
A. Nembhard
P. Siakam
Substitutes
R. Conwell
D. Smith
P. Larsson
T. Donaldson
B. Portis
S. Fontecchio
K. Johnson
M. Gardner
N. Jovic
T. McConnell
T. Haliburton
B. Sheppard
Q. Jackson
B. Smith
J. Furphy
O. Toppin
J. Slawson
K. Brown
J. Walker
Miami Heat - Indiana Pacers Key Points
- The Pacers won against the +10.5 spread in five of their last six meetings with Miami.
- The Heat are 1-5 ATS in their last six matches all-time.
- The Pacers are 8-1 against the +10.5 spread in their last nine matches all-time.
- The Heat covered the -10.5 spread only once in their last six matches all-time.
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Our Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers Prediction
The moneyline odds in this contest can be surprising, given Miami’s struggles this season. The Heat haven’t been playing well so far, with their offense giving up far too many points. For this reason, we think the Pacers can pile the pressure on the hosts and cover the +10.5 spread. Indiana Pacers have gone 2-1 on the road so far while scoring an average of 120.3 points per contest. But we believe the Heat can end their wait for a home win tonight because the Pacers are dealing with a pile of injuries. They have seven players on the injury list, including Ivica Zubac, Aaron Nesmith, and Andrew Nembhard. Both Nesmith and Nembhard are listed as “questionable” for tonight’s contest.
Our prediction for Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers: Indiana Pacers to cover the +10.5 spread.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
