Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers Prediction & Picks - NBA

USA - NBA

Miami Heat
12/27/25 20:00
Indiana Pacers

Prediction:

 

The Pacers +8.5 points

-106
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 by Lou Aguila | in NBA Picks

The Miami Heat will try to stay above .500 as they take on the slumping Indiana Pacers on Saturday at Kaseya Center.

The Heat, who are 1-6 against the spread in their last seven games at home, are pegged at -8.5 points on the spreadline.

Current Form:

Miami ended its three-game slump with a 126-111 win over the Atlanta Hawks on December 26. Norman Powell (25 points) and Pelle Larson (21 points) scored at least 20 points each and Kel’el Ware dominated in the paint with 16 points and 13 rebounds. Jaime Jaquez Jr. provided some scoring punch off the bench with 16 markers. The Heat stayed above .500 at 16-15.

Meanwhile, the Pacers have lost their last seven games, including a blowout loss to the Boston Celtics, 122-140, on Friday. Andrew Nembhard led the way with 18 points and 8 assists, while three bench players scored in double figures. Despite their balanced offense, the Pacers could not stop the torrid hot offense from the Celtics, who made 57 percent of their field goal attempts. At 6-25, the Pacers are now the worst team in the East, which is a sharp turnaround after reaching the finals last June.

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Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers Form

Table

Teams % P W L Series
17 Miami Heat
0.524 82 43 39 2
29 Indiana Pacers
0.232 82 19 63

Miami Heat and Indiana Pacers Latest Matches

Miami Heat
Miami Heat Latest matches
L W L L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Dec 26, 2025 - NBA

Atlanta Hawks
111 :  126
Miami Heat

Dec 23, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
91 :  112
Toronto Raptors

Dec 21, 2025 - NBA

New York Knicks
132 :  125
Miami Heat

Dec 19, 2025 - NBA

Boston Celtics
129 :  116
Miami Heat

Dec 18, 2025 - NBA

Brooklyn Nets
95 :  106
Miami Heat

Dec 15, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
96 :  106
Toronto Raptors
W L W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Dec 23, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
91 :  112
Toronto Raptors

Dec 15, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
96 :  106
Toronto Raptors

Dec 6, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
111 :  127
Sacramento Kings

Dec 1, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
140 :  123
LA Clippers

Nov 29, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
135 :  138
Detroit Pistons

Nov 26, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
106 :  103
Milwaukee Bucks
L L W L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Dec 26, 2025 - NBA

Atlanta Hawks
111 :  126
Miami Heat

Dec 21, 2025 - NBA

New York Knicks
132 :  125
Miami Heat

Dec 19, 2025 - NBA

Boston Celtics
129 :  116
Miami Heat

Dec 18, 2025 - NBA

Brooklyn Nets
95 :  106
Miami Heat

Dec 9, 2025 - NBA

Orlando Magic
117 :  108
Miami Heat

Dec 5, 2025 - NBA

Orlando Magic
106 :  105
Miami Heat
Indiana Pacers
Indiana Pacers Latest matches
L L L L L L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

6/6 (100%)

Dec 26, 2025 - NBA

Indiana Pacers
122 :  140
Boston Celtics

Dec 23, 2025 - NBA

Indiana Pacers
94 :  111
Milwaukee Bucks

Dec 22, 2025 - NBA

Boston Celtics
103 :  95
Indiana Pacers

Dec 20, 2025 - NBA

New Orleans Pelicans
128 :  109
Indiana Pacers

Dec 18, 2025 - NBA

Indiana Pacers
113 :  114
New York Knicks

Dec 14, 2025 - NBA

Indiana Pacers
89 :  108
Washington Wizards
L W L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Dec 26, 2025 - NBA

Indiana Pacers
122 :  140
Boston Celtics

Dec 23, 2025 - NBA

Indiana Pacers
94 :  111
Milwaukee Bucks

Dec 18, 2025 - NBA

Indiana Pacers
113 :  114
New York Knicks

Dec 14, 2025 - NBA

Indiana Pacers
89 :  108
Washington Wizards

Dec 8, 2025 - NBA

Indiana Pacers
116 :  105
Sacramento Kings

Dec 3, 2025 - NBA

Indiana Pacers
120 :  135
Denver Nuggets
L L W L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Dec 22, 2025 - NBA

Boston Celtics
103 :  95
Indiana Pacers

Dec 20, 2025 - NBA

New Orleans Pelicans
128 :  109
Indiana Pacers

Dec 12, 2025 - NBA

Philadelphia 76ers
115 :  105
Indiana Pacers

Dec 5, 2025 - NBA

Chicago Bulls
105 :  120
Indiana Pacers

Nov 26, 2025 - NBA

Toronto Raptors
97 :  95
Indiana Pacers

Nov 21, 2025 - NBA

Cleveland Cavaliers
120 :  109
Indiana Pacers

Miami Heat against Indiana Pacers : Head to Head (H2H)

Miami Heat

33 %

Indiana Pacers

67 %

Feb 28, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
125 :  120
Indiana Pacers

Jan 2, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
115 :  128
Indiana Pacers

Nov 17, 2024 - NBA

Indiana Pacers
119 :  110
Miami Heat

Nov 15, 2024 - NBA

Indiana Pacers
111 :  124
Miami Heat

Apr 7, 2024 - NBA

Indiana Pacers
117 :  115
Miami Heat

Dec 2, 2023 - NBA

Miami Heat
129 :  144
Indiana Pacers
Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers Picks

Players list

Miami Heat
Miami Heat
K. Ware

P. Larsson

N. Powell

D. Mitchell

A. Wiggins

Indiana Pacers
Indiana Pacers
J. Huff

B. Mathurin

A. Nembhard

J. Furphy

P. Siakam

Substitutes

Miami Heat
Miami Heat
B. Adebayo

K. Jakucionis

D. Smith

T. Herro

J. Jaquez Jr.

M. Gardner

N. Jovic

K. Johnson

S. Fontecchio

Indiana Pacers
Indiana Pacers
A. Nesmith T. Bradley

Q. Jackson

T. Peter

K. Jones

E. Thompson

J. Walker

M. Potter

Miami Heat - Indiana Pacers Key Points

  1. Indiana is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games.
  2. Indiana is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games against Miami.
  3. Miami is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home.
  4. Miami is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games.
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Our Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers Prediction

Fearless Forecast: The Pacers are my wildcard pick to cover the spread against the Heat. Miami hasn’t been a reliable pick against the spread as of late, going 1-6 ATS in its last seven games at home. The Heat are also sorely missing the service of their double-double machine, Bam Adebayo (back), and scorer Tyler Herro (toe), making things hard for Miami to pull away from struggling teams like the Pacers. Remember, Indiana is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games against Miami. While the chance of an upset win is slim, I feel the Pacers can provide a tough fight against the home team.

Our betting prediction for the Indiana Pacers vs. the Miami Heat: The Pacers +8.5 points

Prediction:

 

The Pacers +8.5 points

-106
$1000 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.