Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction & Picks - NBA

USA - NBA

Houston Rockets
10/21/25 19:30
Oklahoma City Thunder

Prediction:

 

Rockets (+7.5) cover the spread

-110
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 by Paul Tamayo in NBA Picks

The Houston Rockets visit the Oklahoma City Thunder in an NBA 2025-26 game on October 21, Tuesday, at the Paycom Center. 

It's opening night of the NBA, and it's the much-awaited ring night for the Thunder. Fresh from winning the franchise's first championship, the Thunder are bringing back the entirety of its core from last year.  

This is still the same Thunder team that ranked 3rd in offensive rating (120.3) and 1st in defensive rating (107.5). Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, the reigning league MVP, averaged a league-best 32.7 points on top of 5.0 rebounds, 6.4 assists, and 1.7 steals. 

The challenge for the Thunder early in the season could be on Jalen Williams' wrist injury. The All-Star forward underwent surgery for his injured right wrist, and he's still listed day-to-day in the team's injury report. It's still uncertain if Williams will suit up on Tuesday's game against the Rockets.

Speaking of the Rockets, they'll be welcoming former MVP and champion Kevin Durant to their camp. It could be a perfect fit, as the defensive-minded Rockets only ranked 13th in offensive rating (115.3) last season.

However, the Rockets will be missing the services of starting guard Fred VanVleet, who suffered a Torn ACL injury during the summer.

Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Form

Houston Rockets and Oklahoma City Thunder Latest Matches

Houston Rockets
Houston Rockets Latest matches
L L L L L W
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Jul 19, 2025 - NBA Summer League

Houston Rockets
104 :  101
Minnesota Timberwolves

Jul 17, 2025 - NBA Summer League

Houston Rockets
83 :  102
Portland Trail Blazers

Jul 14, 2025 - NBA Summer League

Atlanta Hawks
111 :  108
Houston Rockets

Jul 13, 2025 - NBA Summer League

Detroit Pistons
98 :  83
Houston Rockets

Jul 11, 2025 - NBA Summer League

LA Clippers
95 :  92
Houston Rockets

May 4, 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
103 :  89
Houston Rockets
W W L L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jul 14, 2025 - NBA Summer League

Atlanta Hawks
111 :  108
Houston Rockets

Jul 13, 2025 - NBA Summer League

Detroit Pistons
98 :  83
Houston Rockets

Jul 11, 2025 - NBA Summer League

LA Clippers
95 :  92
Houston Rockets

May 4, 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
103 :  89
Houston Rockets

Apr 30, 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
116 :  131
Houston Rockets

Apr 23, 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
94 :  109
Houston Rockets
L L L W L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jul 19, 2025 - NBA Summer League

Houston Rockets
104 :  101
Minnesota Timberwolves

Jul 17, 2025 - NBA Summer League

Houston Rockets
83 :  102
Portland Trail Blazers

May 2, 2025 - NBA

Houston Rockets
115 :  107
Golden State Warriors

Apr 28, 2025 - NBA

Houston Rockets
106 :  109
Golden State Warriors

Apr 26, 2025 - NBA

Houston Rockets
93 :  104
Golden State Warriors

Apr 11, 2025 - NBA

Houston Rockets
109 :  140
Los Angeles Lakers
Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder Latest matches
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 19, 2025 - NBA Summer League

Charlotte Hornets
109 :  80
Oklahoma City Thunder

Jul 16, 2025 - NBA Summer League

New Orleans Pelicans
81 :  95
Oklahoma City Thunder

Jul 15, 2025 - NBA Summer League

Oklahoma City Thunder
92 :  75
Orlando Magic

Jul 12, 2025 - NBA Summer League

Indiana Pacers
85 :  104
Oklahoma City Thunder

Jul 10, 2025 - NBA Summer League

Oklahoma City Thunder
90 :  81
Brooklyn Nets

Jul 8, 2025 - NBA Summer League

Oklahoma City Thunder
82 :  86
Utah Jazz
W W L W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 19, 2025 - NBA Summer League

Charlotte Hornets
109 :  80
Oklahoma City Thunder

Jul 16, 2025 - NBA Summer League

New Orleans Pelicans
81 :  95
Oklahoma City Thunder

Jul 12, 2025 - NBA Summer League

Indiana Pacers
85 :  104
Oklahoma City Thunder

Jul 5, 2025 - NBA Summer League

Memphis Grizzlies
92 :  80
Oklahoma City Thunder

Jun 22, 2025 - NBA

Indiana Pacers
91 :  103
Oklahoma City Thunder

Jun 16, 2025 - NBA

Indiana Pacers
109 :  120
Oklahoma City Thunder
W L W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 15, 2025 - NBA Summer League

Oklahoma City Thunder
92 :  75
Orlando Magic

Jul 10, 2025 - NBA Summer League

Oklahoma City Thunder
90 :  81
Brooklyn Nets

Jul 8, 2025 - NBA Summer League

Oklahoma City Thunder
82 :  86
Utah Jazz

Jul 7, 2025 - NBA Summer League

Oklahoma City Thunder
89 :  78
Philadelphia 76ers

Jun 19, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
91 :  108
Indiana Pacers

Jun 13, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
111 :  104
Indiana Pacers

Houston Rockets against Oklahoma City Thunder : Head to Head (H2H)

Houston Rockets

50 %

Oklahoma City Thunder

50 %

Apr 4, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
111 :  125
Houston Rockets

Mar 3, 2025 - NBA

Houston Rockets
128 :  137
Oklahoma City Thunder

Dec 14, 2024 - NBA

Houston Rockets
96 :  111
Oklahoma City Thunder

Dec 1, 2024 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
116 :  119
Houston Rockets

Nov 8, 2024 - NBA

Houston Rockets
107 :  126
Oklahoma City Thunder

Mar 27, 2024 - NBA

Houston Rockets
132 :  126
Oklahoma City Thunder

Houston Rockets - Oklahoma City Thunder Key Points

  1. The Thunder ranked 3rd in offensive rating (120.3) and 1st in defensive rating (107.5) last season.
  2. The Rockets ranked 13th in offensive rating (115.3) and 4th in defensive rating (110.8) last season.
  3. The Thunder could miss the services of Jalen Williams (wrist).
  4. The Rockets will miss the services of Fred VanVleet (ACL).

Our Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction

It's ring night for the newly-crowned champions, but Kevin Durant and the Rockets could spoil the fun. Even with the injury to Fred VanVleet, this is still a stacked Rockets squad, especially with the emergence of Alperen Sengun and Amen Thompson.

Of course, the Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and the Thunder still own the advantage, but the Rockets have what it takes to keep this game close. Our prediction for the Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets match is: Rockets (+7.5) cover the spread.

Prediction:

 

Rockets (+7.5) cover the spread

-110
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Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Picks