Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets Prediction & Picks - NBA

USA - NBA

Miami Heat
2/28/26 15:30
Houston Rockets

Prediction:

 

The Rockets -3.5 points

-112
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 by Lou Aguila | in NBA Picks

The Houston Rockets look to push their winning streak to four games as they visit the Miami Heat, who will play without their leading scorer Norman Powell (groin injury, on Saturday.

Hot Pick: The Rockets -3.5 points

Potential Payout: $212 on a $112 Bet (-112 on FanDuel)

Current Form:

The Houston Rockets will try to extend their winning streak to four games in Saturday’s matchup with the Miami Heat. Kevin Durant scored a season-high 40 points to power the Rockets to a 108-113 win over the Orlando Magic. Reed Sheppard also chipped in 20 points off the bench for the Rockets, who shot 52 percent from the field and 38 percent from beyond the arc. At 37-21, Houston trails the San Antonio Spurs (43-16) by 5.5 games in the Southwest Division standings,

The Miami Heat have dropped back-to-back games to the Milwaukee Bucks (117-128) and the Philadelphia 76ers (117-124), drawing them closer to .500 at 31-29. Norman Powell, who leads the team in scoring with 22.5 points per game, only played 10 minutes against Philadelphia before he exited with a groin injury. Powell has already been listed as unavailable for Saturday’s ballgame vs. the Rockets.

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Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets Form

Table

Teams % P W L Series
8 Houston Rockets
0.634 82 52 30 1
17 Miami Heat
0.524 82 43 39 2

Miami Heat and Houston Rockets Latest Matches

Miami Heat
Miami Heat Latest matches
L W W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Feb 26, 2026 - NBA

Philadelphia 76ers
124 :  117
Miami Heat

Feb 24, 2026 - NBA

Milwaukee Bucks
128 :  117
Miami Heat

Feb 21, 2026 - NBA

Miami Heat
136 :  120
Memphis Grizzlies

Feb 20, 2026 - NBA

Atlanta Hawks
97 :  128
Miami Heat

Feb 11, 2026 - NBA

New Orleans Pelicans
111 :  123
Miami Heat

Feb 9, 2026 - NBA

Miami Heat
111 :  115
Utah Jazz
L L W L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Feb 21, 2026 - NBA

Miami Heat
136 :  120
Memphis Grizzlies

Feb 9, 2026 - NBA

Miami Heat
111 :  115
Utah Jazz

Feb 3, 2026 - NBA

Miami Heat
115 :  127
Atlanta Hawks

Feb 1, 2026 - NBA

Miami Heat
134 :  91
Chicago Bulls

Jan 31, 2026 - NBA

Miami Heat
118 :  125
Chicago Bulls

Jan 28, 2026 - NBA

Miami Heat
124 :  133
Orlando Magic
L W W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Feb 26, 2026 - NBA

Philadelphia 76ers
124 :  117
Miami Heat

Feb 24, 2026 - NBA

Milwaukee Bucks
128 :  117
Miami Heat

Feb 20, 2026 - NBA

Atlanta Hawks
97 :  128
Miami Heat

Feb 11, 2026 - NBA

New Orleans Pelicans
111 :  123
Miami Heat

Feb 8, 2026 - NBA

Washington Wizards
101 :  132
Miami Heat

Feb 6, 2026 - NBA

Boston Celtics
98 :  96
Miami Heat
Houston Rockets
Houston Rockets Latest matches
L W L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Feb 26, 2026 - NBA

Orlando Magic
108 :  113
Houston Rockets

Feb 25, 2026 - NBA

Houston Rockets
128 :  97
Sacramento Kings

Feb 23, 2026 - NBA

Houston Rockets
125 :  105
Utah Jazz

Feb 21, 2026 - NBA

New York Knicks
108 :  106
Houston Rockets

Feb 19, 2026 - NBA

Charlotte Hornets
101 :  105
Houston Rockets

Feb 11, 2026 - NBA

Houston Rockets
102 :  105
LA Clippers
L L W L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Feb 25, 2026 - NBA

Houston Rockets
128 :  97
Sacramento Kings

Feb 23, 2026 - NBA

Houston Rockets
125 :  105
Utah Jazz

Feb 11, 2026 - NBA

Houston Rockets
102 :  105
LA Clippers

Feb 10, 2026 - NBA

Houston Rockets
102 :  95
LA Clippers

Feb 5, 2026 - NBA

Houston Rockets
99 :  109
Charlotte Hornets

Feb 4, 2026 - NBA

Houston Rockets
93 :  114
Boston Celtics
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Feb 26, 2026 - NBA

Orlando Magic
108 :  113
Houston Rockets

Feb 21, 2026 - NBA

New York Knicks
108 :  106
Houston Rockets

Feb 19, 2026 - NBA

Charlotte Hornets
101 :  105
Houston Rockets

Feb 7, 2026 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
106 :  112
Houston Rockets

Feb 2, 2026 - NBA

Indiana Pacers
114 :  118
Houston Rockets

Jan 29, 2026 - NBA

Atlanta Hawks
86 :  104
Houston Rockets

Miami Heat against Houston Rockets : Head to Head (H2H)

Miami Heat

83 %

Houston Rockets

17 %

Mar 21, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
98 :  102
Houston Rockets

Dec 29, 2024 - NBA

Houston Rockets
100 :  104
Miami Heat

Apr 5, 2024 - NBA

Houston Rockets
104 :  119
Miami Heat

Jan 8, 2024 - NBA

Miami Heat
120 :  113
Houston Rockets

Dec 15, 2022 - NBA

Houston Rockets
108 :  111
Miami Heat

Mar 7, 2022 - NBA

Miami Heat
123 :  106
Houston Rockets
Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets Picks

Players list

Miami Heat
Miami Heat
B. Adebayo

P. Larsson

D. Mitchell

T. Herro

A. Wiggins

Houston Rockets
Houston Rockets
A. Sengun

A. Thompson

R. Sheppard

T. Eason

K. Durant

Substitutes

Miami Heat
Miami Heat
V. Goldin K. Ware

K. Jakucionis

J. Young

D. Smith

M. Gardner

N. Jovic

J. Jaquez Jr.

K. Johnson

S. Fontecchio

Houston Rockets
Houston Rockets
C. Capela

A. Holiday

J. Okogie

J. Green

I. Crawford

J. Smith Jr.

D. Finney-Smith

Miami Heat - Houston Rockets Key Points

  1. Houston is 1-8-1 ATS in its last 10 games against Miami.
  2. Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
  3. Miami is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Houston.
  4. Miami is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games played in February.
Up to $250 to bet on Miami Heat - Houston Rockets! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Caesars Sportsbook

Our Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets Prediction

Fearless Forecast: The Rockets cool down the Heat 117-103

The Heat will be missing their 20-point-per-game scorer, Norman Powell, when they clash with the Rockets. Miami is a well-coached team with a next man up attitude, but playing without their leadings scorer won’t be easy especially against the high-powered Rockets.

Houston is 1-8-1 ATS in its last 10 games against Miami, but it is 4-1 ATS in their last five games. Miami also wants to push the ball and score as many buckets as possible. But again, this team will need other role players to step up to cover Powell’s point production. Things will only get tougher as they are facing the Rockets’ defense, which has been elite all season long.

Our betting prediction for the Houston Rockets vs. the Miami Heat: The Rockets -3.5 points

Prediction:

 

The Rockets -3.5 points

-112
$250 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.