Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets Prediction & Picks - NBA

USA - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
1/3/26 20:30
Houston Rockets

Prediction:

 

The Mavs +8.0 points

-110
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 by Lou Aguila | in NBA Picks

The Houston Rockets gun for their fifth straight win in Saturday’s road assignment against the Dallas Mavericks.

The Rockets are -8.0 points favorites in this matchup; the Mavs are 5-1 against the spread in their last 6 home games.

Current Form:

The Rockets have won four in a row, but covered the spread in four of their last 10 games. Houston obliterated a -13.5-point handicap on New Year’s Day with a blowout win over the Brooklyn Nets, 120-96. The question now is can they continue their dominance against teams below .500 when they take on the Mavs? By the way, the Rockets are 1-5 ATS in their last 5 games at American Airlines Center.

The Mavericks have lost four consecutive games, including a disappointing performance against the Philadelphia 76ers, 123-108, on January 1. No Mav scored over 20 points in this game as leaders Anthony Davis and Cooper Flagg finished with 13 and 12 points, respectively. Max Christie led the Mavs with a team-high 18 points. It’s the first time in six games Dallas failed to beat the spread.

Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets Form

Table

Teams % P W L Series
8 Houston Rockets
0.634 82 52 30 1
23 Dallas Mavericks
0.317 82 26 56 1

Dallas Mavericks and Houston Rockets Latest Matches

Dallas Mavericks
Dallas Mavericks Latest matches
L W L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Jan 1, 2026 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
108 :  123
Philadelphia 76ers

Dec 29, 2025 - NBA

Portland Trail Blazers
125 :  122
Dallas Mavericks

Dec 27, 2025 - NBA

Sacramento Kings
113 :  107
Dallas Mavericks

Dec 25, 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
126 :  116
Dallas Mavericks

Dec 23, 2025 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
131 :  130
Denver Nuggets

Dec 22, 2025 - NBA

New Orleans Pelicans
119 :  113
Dallas Mavericks
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Jan 1, 2026 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
108 :  123
Philadelphia 76ers

Dec 23, 2025 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
131 :  130
Denver Nuggets

Dec 18, 2025 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
116 :  114
Detroit Pistons

Dec 12, 2025 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
119 :  111
Brooklyn Nets

Dec 6, 2025 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
122 :  109
Houston Rockets

Dec 3, 2025 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
118 :  108
Miami Heat
L L L L L L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

6/6 (100%)

Dec 29, 2025 - NBA

Portland Trail Blazers
125 :  122
Dallas Mavericks

Dec 27, 2025 - NBA

Sacramento Kings
113 :  107
Dallas Mavericks

Dec 25, 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
126 :  116
Dallas Mavericks

Dec 22, 2025 - NBA

New Orleans Pelicans
119 :  113
Dallas Mavericks

Dec 20, 2025 - NBA

Philadelphia 76ers
121 :  114
Dallas Mavericks

Dec 15, 2025 - NBA

Utah Jazz
140 :  133
Dallas Mavericks
Houston Rockets
Houston Rockets Latest matches
L L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jan 1, 2026 - NBA

Brooklyn Nets
96 :  120
Houston Rockets

Dec 29, 2025 - NBA

Houston Rockets
126 :  119
Indiana Pacers

Dec 27, 2025 - NBA

Houston Rockets
117 :  100
Cleveland Cavaliers

Dec 25, 2025 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
96 :  119
Houston Rockets

Dec 23, 2025 - NBA

LA Clippers
128 :  108
Houston Rockets

Dec 21, 2025 - NBA

Sacramento Kings
125 :  124
Houston Rockets
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Dec 29, 2025 - NBA

Houston Rockets
126 :  119
Indiana Pacers

Dec 27, 2025 - NBA

Houston Rockets
117 :  100
Cleveland Cavaliers

Dec 11, 2025 - NBA

Houston Rockets
115 :  113
LA Clippers

Dec 5, 2025 - NBA

Houston Rockets
117 :  98
Phoenix Suns

Dec 3, 2025 - NBA

Houston Rockets
121 :  95
Sacramento Kings

Nov 21, 2025 - NBA

Houston Rockets
109 :  112
Denver Nuggets
L W L L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jan 1, 2026 - NBA

Brooklyn Nets
96 :  120
Houston Rockets

Dec 25, 2025 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
96 :  119
Houston Rockets

Dec 23, 2025 - NBA

LA Clippers
128 :  108
Houston Rockets

Dec 21, 2025 - NBA

Sacramento Kings
125 :  124
Houston Rockets

Dec 20, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
101 :  115
Houston Rockets

Dec 18, 2025 - NBA

New Orleans Pelicans
133 :  128
Houston Rockets

Dallas Mavericks against Houston Rockets : Head to Head (H2H)

Dallas Mavericks

33 %

Houston Rockets

67 %

Dec 6, 2025 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
122 :  109
Houston Rockets

Nov 3, 2025 - NBA

Houston Rockets
110 :  102
Dallas Mavericks

Mar 14, 2025 - NBA

Houston Rockets
133 :  96
Dallas Mavericks

Feb 8, 2025 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
116 :  105
Houston Rockets

Jan 1, 2025 - NBA

Houston Rockets
110 :  99
Dallas Mavericks

Oct 31, 2024 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
102 :  108
Houston Rockets

Players list

Dallas Mavericks
Dallas Mavericks
D. Gafford A. Davis C. Flagg

M. Christie

P. Washington Jr.

Houston Rockets
Houston Rockets
A. Sengun

A. Thompson

T. Eason

J. Smith

K. Durant

Substitutes

Dallas Mavericks
Dallas Mavericks
D. Powell

R. Nembhard

B. Williams

J. Hardy

K. Thompson

D. Russell

N. Marshall

C. Martin

Houston Rockets
Houston Rockets
C. Capela

J. Davison

R. Sheppard

A. Holiday

J. Okogie

J. Green

D. Finney-Smith

J. Tate

Dallas Mavericks - Houston Rockets Key Points

  1. Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home.
  2. Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Houston.
  3. Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
  4. Houston is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games against Dallas.

Our Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets Prediction

Fearless Forecast: Dallas bounced back to secure an ATS win over the Rockets. This is a risky pick, but I really think the Mavs' 5-1 record in home games against the Rockets is no coincidence. Anthony Davis should like his matchup with Alperen Sengun, who doesn’t have the mobility to cover him in face-up situations. Also, don’t forget that the Mavs dismantled the Rockets 122-109 in their last meeting on December 6. Dallas may not win this one, yet their recent head-to-head success with the Rockets, particularly in the spread game, should enable them to compete with the visitors down the stretch.

Our betting prediction for the Houston Rockets vs. the Dallas Mavericks: The Mavs +8.0

Prediction:

 

The Mavs +8.0 points

-110
$350 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets Picks