USA - Major League Soccer
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by Erik Gibbs in Major League Soccer Picks
The Houston Dynamo welcome St. Louis City to Shell Energy Stadium on Saturday for a Western Conference matchup between two struggling teams that are eager to salvage their seasons at the midway mark of the campaign. Houston enter this game on the back of a 1–0 defeat at Minnesota United on June 25.
That has seen them to 5 wins, 5 draws, and 9 defeats from 19 games, and they are mid-table in the Western Conference on 20 points. Houston has been up and down all season, mixing good form at home with poor performances on the road. Over the last few weeks, they've averaged slightly less than a goal per game, while defensive problems have also started to appear, particularly in transition.
St. Louis City are worse off, having lost 4–2 to Orlando City. Although they had gone 2–0 ahead in that match early, they allowed four unanswered goals and fell apart in the second half. This was their third consecutive match without a victory, and they now find themselves at the bottom of the conference with a 3–6–10 record and only 15 points.
Their defense especially has been exposed, leaking several goals in each of their previous four games. The failure to shut out games after establishing an early advantage is still costing them points.
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Houston Dynamo vs Saint Louis City SC Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11
|
20 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | -7 |
|
14
|
15 | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -11 |
Houston Dynamo and Saint Louis City SC Latest Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jun 25, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Jun 14, 2025 - Major League Soccer
May 31, 2025 - Major League Soccer
May 28, 2025 - Major League Soccer
May 24, 2025 - Major League Soccer
May 21, 2025 - US Open Cup
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jun 14, 2025 - Major League Soccer
May 31, 2025 - Major League Soccer
May 14, 2025 - Major League Soccer
May 10, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Apr 26, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Apr 19, 2025 - Major League Soccer
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jun 25, 2025 - Major League Soccer
May 28, 2025 - Major League Soccer
May 24, 2025 - Major League Soccer
May 21, 2025 - US Open Cup
May 17, 2025 - Major League Soccer
May 7, 2025 - US Open Cup
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jun 25, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Jun 14, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Jun 8, 2025 - Major League Soccer
May 31, 2025 - Major League Soccer
May 24, 2025 - Major League Soccer
May 21, 2025 - US Open Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jun 25, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Jun 14, 2025 - Major League Soccer
May 31, 2025 - Major League Soccer
May 14, 2025 - Major League Soccer
May 10, 2025 - Major League Soccer
May 7, 2025 - US Open Cup
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jun 8, 2025 - Major League Soccer
May 24, 2025 - Major League Soccer
May 21, 2025 - US Open Cup
May 17, 2025 - Major League Soccer
May 3, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Apr 27, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Houston Dynamo against Saint Louis City SC : Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
33 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Oct 5, 2024 - Major League Soccer
May 4, 2024 - Major League Soccer
Feb 27, 2024 - Concachampions
Feb 20, 2024 - Concachampions
Sep 16, 2023 - Major League Soccer
Jun 3, 2023 - Major League Soccer
Saint Louis City SC v Houston Dynamo last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
A. Tarbell
ForwardN. Quinones
J. McGlynn
J. Nilsson
H. Kessler
MidfielderR. Alm
C. Durkin
E. Lowen
T. Ostrak
Most goals and assists
Houston Dynamo
Saint Louis City SC
E. Ponce
(4 Goals)
J. Klauss
(5 Goals)
G. Dorsey
(4 Assists)
C. Pompeu
(2 Assists)
Houston Dynamo - Saint Louis City SC Key Points
- The Dynamo have scored 1+ goals in their last 15 MLS home games
- The Dynamo have scored 2.5+ goals in their last 5 MLS games
- Saint Louis City have 2 wins in their last 26 MLS away games
- Saint Louis City have allowed 1+ goals in their last 10 MLS away games
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Our Houston Dynamo vs Saint Louis City SC Prediction
The most dangerous Dynamo attacker is Ezequiel Ponce, with 9 goals this season. His finishing ability in small spaces and constant movement in the box presents a constant threat to defenders. Backing him up in the midfield, Jack McGlynn and Griffin Dorsey each have 5 assists, providing width and generating quality service to the front line.
Steve Clark has been steady in the goal when called upon, but Houston's backline continues to give up too many shots on net. For St. Louis City, João Klauss has been their biggest scoring threat with 5 goals on the year, highlighted by a hat trick in their most recent game against LA Galaxy.
He's threatening with his physicality and finishing, but the dearth of consistent support around him means he can be closed down in tighter games. Roman Bürki continues to put up individually impressive performances in goal, regularly facing high shot counts, but defensive breakdowns have undone his efforts.
Ponce's recent form, as well as St. Louis City's defensive woes, is in Houston's favor. St. Louis has the ability to score via Klauss, but Houston's better-balanced midfield and home advantage make them narrow favorites. Both teams should be able to score, with Houston securing a winner late. Our Houston Dynamo v St. Louis City: Dynamo to win.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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