Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Lou Aguila | in MLB Picks
Momentum:
The Houston Astros (24-31) have won their last four games, including a 9-0 victory to open the series with the Texas Rangers on Monday.
On the contrary, the Rangers (24-29) have absorbed four consecutive losses and dropped five games below .500. Texas is one full-game ahead of the Astros and 2.5-games behind the current AL West leaders, the Athletics (27-27).
The Matchup:
The Astros have won 6 of their last 7 meetings with the Rangers. Over their last three faceoffs, Houston has produced 4.33 runs per game and limited the Rangers to 3.00 runs per contest.
Surprisingly, Caesars Sportsbooks places the Astros as the underdog (+115) for Game 2. The Rangers are coming into the match as -135 favorites and +158 to cover -1.5 runs.
The Astros will start Jason Alexander (1-0, 7.30 ERA) for the second time this season. After surrendering five earned runs against Baltimore on April 30 and again versus the LA Dodgers on May 6, Alexander delivered six scoreless innings in a 2-1 win over Minnesota on May 20.
Rangers RHP Jack Leiter (1-4, 4.61 ERA) sports better pitching numbers than Alexander, but his last start against the Colorado Rockies saw him coughing up four earned runs over 5.0 innings in a 5-4 win on May 20.
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Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
16
|
0.494 | 83 | 41 | 42 |
|
18
|
0.482 | 85 | 41 | 44 |
Texas Rangers and Houston Astros Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
May 25, 2026 - MLB
May 24, 2026 - MLB
May 23, 2026 - MLB
May 22, 2026 - MLB
May 20, 2026 - MLB
May 19, 2026 - MLB
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
May 25, 2026 - MLB
May 13, 2026 - MLB
May 12, 2026 - MLB
May 11, 2026 - MLB
May 10, 2026 - MLB
May 9, 2026 - MLB
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
May 24, 2026 - MLB
May 23, 2026 - MLB
May 22, 2026 - MLB
May 20, 2026 - MLB
May 19, 2026 - MLB
May 18, 2026 - MLB
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
May 25, 2026 - MLB
May 24, 2026 - MLB
May 23, 2026 - MLB
May 22, 2026 - MLB
May 20, 2026 - MLB
May 19, 2026 - MLB
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
May 17, 2026 - MLB
May 16, 2026 - MLB
May 15, 2026 - MLB
May 14, 2026 - MLB
May 13, 2026 - MLB
May 12, 2026 - MLB
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
May 25, 2026 - MLB
May 24, 2026 - MLB
May 23, 2026 - MLB
May 22, 2026 - MLB
May 20, 2026 - MLB
May 19, 2026 - MLB
Texas Rangers against Houston Astros : Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
83 %
May 25, 2026 - MLB
May 17, 2026 - MLB
May 16, 2026 - MLB
May 15, 2026 - MLB
Sep 17, 2025 - MLB
Sep 16, 2025 - MLB
Texas Rangers - Houston Astros Key Points
- Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
- Houston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games against Texas.
- Texas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
- Texas is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games against an opponent in the American League.
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Our Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros Prediction
The Astros have owned the Rangers’ numbers in their recent head-to-head battles. Again, Houston has won 6 of the last 7 meetings with Texas and 7 of their last 10 meetings. They won most of these games by outpitching the Rangers while coming through with explosive offensive bursts at times.
On paper, Rangers RHP Jack Leiter seems to be the superior starting pitcher because of his 4.61 ERA this season. Jason Alexander, who sports a 7.61 ERA, blanked Minnesota through five innings in his first start of the season. Moreover, Alexander held the Rangers to one earned run over 4.2 innings in Houston’s 6-3 win on September 15, 2025.
Alexander and Leiter will likely put up solid numbers in these stints, keeping the scores low before the bullpen from both squads takes over. Once the Rangers' relief pitchers come, the Astros should get the upper hand by testing the Rangers’ shaky bullpen that has posted a 4.32 ERA over the last five games.
In addition, Houston’s offense has become more reliable lately, averaging 5.0 runs per game on a .229 BA over their last 5 games. The Rangers average 2.8 runs on a .216 BA in their last five games.
Our betting prediction for the Houston Astros vs. the Texas Rangers: The Astros will win
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