Tampa Bay Rays vs Houston Astros Prediction & Picks - MLB

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Tampa Bay Rays
5/19/25 19:05
Houston Astros

Prediction:

 

Houston ML

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 by Travis Pulver | in MLB Picks

The Houston Astros are starting the week off with a three-game series vs. the Tampa Bay Rays. First for Game 1 at George M. Steinbrenner Field is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. EST today.

Houston played to a series split in Arlington, going 2-2 vs. the Rangers. They closed the series out with a 4-3 win yesterday. Framber Valdez led the way pitching seven solid innings, giving up six hits and three earned runs. But Houston didn’t pull into the lead until a three-run homer from Isaac Paredes in the eighth inning. Tampa Bay comes home after going 3-3 on their recent road trip and dropping two of three to the Marlins in Miami.

Houston will give Colton Gordon the ball to start the day. Gordon will be making just his second start in the Big Leagues. His first came last week against Kansas City at home where he went 4 1/3 innings, giving up seven hits, three earned runs, two walks, and struck out three. With a bullpen that has the second-lowest ERA in baseball (2.71), the leash will probably be short. Tampa Bay is giving Ryan Pepiot the start. Pepiot is 2-5 on the season in nine starts with a 3.93 ERA and 1.29 WHIP.

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Tampa Bay Rays vs Houston Astros Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
12 Houston Astros
0.537 162 87 75
21 Tampa Bay Rays
0.475 162 77 85

Tampa Bay Rays and Houston Astros Latest Matches

Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay Rays Latest matches
L L W W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

May 14, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
3 :  1
Tampa Bay Rays

May 6, 2025 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
4 :  8
Philadelphia Phillies

May 4, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
5 :  7
Tampa Bay Rays

May 3, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
2 :  3
Tampa Bay Rays

May 2, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
3 :  0
Tampa Bay Rays

May 1, 2025 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
2 :  8
Kansas City Royals
L L L L L L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

6/6 (100%)

May 6, 2025 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
4 :  8
Philadelphia Phillies

May 1, 2025 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
2 :  8
Kansas City Royals

Apr 30, 2025 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
0 :  3
Kansas City Royals

Apr 29, 2025 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
1 :  3
Kansas City Royals

Apr 20, 2025 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
0 :  4
New York Yankees

Apr 18, 2025 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
0 :  1
New York Yankees
W W L W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 14, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
3 :  1
Tampa Bay Rays

May 4, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
5 :  7
Tampa Bay Rays

May 3, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
2 :  3
Tampa Bay Rays

May 2, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
3 :  0
Tampa Bay Rays

Apr 27, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
2 :  4
Tampa Bay Rays

Apr 25, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
0 :  1
Tampa Bay Rays
Houston Astros
Houston Astros Latest matches
W W L W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 15, 2025 - MLB

Texas Rangers
1 :  0
Houston Astros

May 14, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
4 :  3
Kansas City Royals

May 13, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
2 :  1
Kansas City Royals

May 12, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
5 :  7
Kansas City Royals

May 11, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
6 :  0
Cincinnati Reds

May 7, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
1 :  9
Houston Astros
W L W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 14, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
4 :  3
Kansas City Royals

May 13, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
2 :  1
Kansas City Royals

May 12, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
5 :  7
Kansas City Royals

May 11, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
6 :  0
Cincinnati Reds

Apr 30, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
4 :  7
Detroit Tigers

Apr 29, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
6 :  4
Detroit Tigers
W W L L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

May 15, 2025 - MLB

Texas Rangers
1 :  0
Houston Astros

May 7, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
1 :  9
Houston Astros

May 6, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
4 :  3
Houston Astros

May 4, 2025 - MLB

Chicago White Sox
5 :  4
Houston Astros

May 3, 2025 - MLB

Chicago White Sox
3 :  8
Houston Astros

Apr 27, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
3 :  7
Houston Astros

Tampa Bay Rays against Houston Astros : Head to Head (H2H)

Tampa Bay Rays

40 %

Houston Astros

60 %

Aug 13, 2024 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
2 :  3
Houston Astros

Aug 3, 2024 - MLB

Houston Astros
1 :  6
Tampa Bay Rays

Aug 2, 2024 - MLB

Houston Astros
3 :  2
Tampa Bay Rays

Jul 30, 2023 - MLB

Houston Astros
2 :  8
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 20, 2022 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
0 :  5
Houston Astros

Tampa Bay Rays - Houston Astros Key Points

  1. Tampa Bay leads the all-time series vs. Houston 50-46.
  2. Tampa Bay has not won a season series vs. Houston since 2020.
  3. Tampa Bay is 11-17 at home while Houston is 9-13 on the road.
  4. Betting Splits: 47% of moneyline tickets and 62% of the handle are on Houston.
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Our Tampa Bay Rays vs Houston Astros Prediction

It is really easy to overlook a minor league pitcher that you haven’t heard much (or anything) about. His first MLB start was not perfect, but he didn’t do bad either. During his time with the AAA club, Gordon was lights out (4-0 in eight starts with a 2.25 ERA). Pepiot, while he has pitched better than his record would indicate, the team lost five of his six starts. Tampa Bay is doing a better job at the plate than Houston over the last week, but between Gordon and the second-best bullpen in baseball, the Rays could be in for a long day. It will be a low-scoring game, and one that Houston should win.

Astros vs. Rays: Houston ML

Prediction:

 

Houston ML

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Tampa Bay Rays vs Houston Astros Picks