Pittsburgh Pirates vs Houston Astros Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
6/5/25 18:40
Houston Astros

Prediction:

 

The Pirates +1.5 Runs

-130
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 by Lou Aguila | in MLB Picks

The Houston Astros seek their third win in four games in Game 3 of their series against the Pittsburgh Pirates on Thursday at PNC Park.

After blanking the Pirates 3-0 in the series opener, the Astros got a dose of their own medicine in the next game as the home team responded with a 3-0 win of their own. Houston’s offense is in a dreadful form recently, averaging 1.9 runs per game on a .206 batting average. The Astros have also posted a 4.09 ERA in their last 5 games, which is significantly higher than their 3.59 ERA this season.

The Pirates have won 2 of their last 4 games, but Wednesday’s victory over the Astros showcased the ridiculous pitching upside they have in their hands. Mike Burrows threw for 5.1 innings, allowing zero runs and five hits with 6 strikeouts. As a team, Pittsburgh has pitched a 2.51 ERA and 0.84 WHIP over the last five games.

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Pittsburgh Pirates vs Houston Astros Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
12 Houston Astros
0.537 162 87 75
26 Pittsburgh Pirates
0.438 162 71 91

Pittsburgh Pirates and Houston Astros Latest Matches

Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates Latest matches
W L W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jun 4, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  0
Houston Astros

Jun 3, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
0 :  3
Houston Astros

Jun 1, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
6 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

May 31, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
0 :  5
Pittsburgh Pirates

May 30, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
3 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

May 27, 2025 - MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks
6 :  9
Pittsburgh Pirates
W W W L L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jun 4, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  0
Houston Astros

Jun 3, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
0 :  3
Houston Astros

May 25, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
5 :  6
Milwaukee Brewers

May 23, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
6 :  5
Milwaukee Brewers

May 21, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  1
Cincinnati Reds

May 11, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
4 :  3
Atlanta Braves
L L W L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jun 1, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
6 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

May 31, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
0 :  5
Pittsburgh Pirates

May 30, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
3 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

May 27, 2025 - MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks
6 :  9
Pittsburgh Pirates

May 26, 2025 - MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks
5 :  0
Pittsburgh Pirates

May 18, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
1 :  0
Pittsburgh Pirates
Houston Astros
Houston Astros Latest matches
W W L W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jun 4, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  0
Houston Astros

Jun 3, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
0 :  3
Houston Astros

May 30, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
2 :  1
Tampa Bay Rays

May 29, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
3 :  13
Tampa Bay Rays

May 27, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
11 :  1
Athletics

May 25, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
5 :  3
Seattle Mariners
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

May 30, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
2 :  1
Tampa Bay Rays

May 29, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
3 :  13
Tampa Bay Rays

May 27, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
11 :  1
Athletics

May 25, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
5 :  3
Seattle Mariners

May 14, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
4 :  3
Kansas City Royals

May 13, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
2 :  1
Kansas City Royals
W L W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jun 4, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  0
Houston Astros

Jun 3, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
0 :  3
Houston Astros

May 21, 2025 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
8 :  4
Houston Astros

May 19, 2025 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
3 :  4
Houston Astros

May 15, 2025 - MLB

Texas Rangers
1 :  0
Houston Astros

May 7, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
1 :  9
Houston Astros

Pittsburgh Pirates against Houston Astros : Head to Head (H2H)

Pittsburgh Pirates

60 %

Houston Astros

40 %

Jun 4, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  0
Houston Astros

Jun 3, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
0 :  3
Houston Astros

Jul 31, 2024 - MLB

Houston Astros
5 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

Jul 30, 2024 - MLB

Houston Astros
2 :  6
Pittsburgh Pirates

Jul 29, 2024 - MLB

Houston Astros
3 :  5
Pittsburgh Pirates

Pittsburgh Pirates - Houston Astros Key Points

  1. Houston is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games.
  2. Houston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh.
  3. Pittsburgh is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Houston.
  4. Pittsburgh is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games played in June.
Up to $250 to bet on Pittsburgh Pirates - Houston Astros! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Caesars Sportsbook

Our Pittsburgh Pirates vs Houston Astros Prediction

Why you should bet on the Pirates to cover +1.5 runs (Win $100 on a $130 Bet): The Pirates are fielding Mitch Keller (2.90 ERA) to counter Astros’ ace Framber Vasquez, who has powered the Astros to victory in his last five starts. On paper, the Astros look like an attractive pick to win or even cover a -1.5 run spread. However, Houston is averaging 1.9 runs per game over their last five games and 2.67 runs per game in their last 3 meetings with the Pirates. It also doesn’t help that the Astros' bullpen carries a 10.89 ERA in their last 5 games, making them susceptible to late-game rallies. Still, I think the Astros are going to grind out a win in this one, but again by the slightest margin.

Our betting prediction for the Houston Astros vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: the Pirates +1.5 runs

Prediction:

 

The Pirates +1.5 Runs

-130
$250 offered for betting!

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Pittsburgh Pirates vs Houston Astros Picks