Philadelphia Phillies vs Houston Astros Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
9/10/26 13:05
Houston Astros

Prediction:

 

Phillies -1.5

+110
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 by Travis Pulver in MLB Picks

The Philadelphia Phillies (82-64, 41-33 Home) will try to make it two in a row when they host the Houston Astros (74-72, 37-34 Away) at Citizens Bank Park in the City of Brotherly Love today at 1:05 p.m. EST. Coverage will be provided by MLB.TV.

Both need a win to improve their standing in the race for their respective division races. Houston currently holds just a two-game lead over the Rangers in the AL West. Philadelphia, on the other hand, is three games back of the Atlanta Braves in the NL East.

To that end, the Astros are scheduled to give Christian Javier the start on the mound. He has gone 2-5 in 14 appearances (nine starts), posting a 5.98 ERA and a 1.55 WHIP. Teams are currently hitting .278 against him. He has not had his best stuff on the road, where he has a 6.65 ERA and a 1-3 record in seven appearances (four starts).

As for the Phillies, they’ll be sending Zach Wheeler to the mound to start the day. Wheeler is having a solid season, going 12-5 in 24 starts with a 3.23 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP. Teams have hit .209 against him. When pitching at home, he has gone 5-2 in 10 starts with a 3.05 ERA and a .192 OBA.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Houston Astros Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
6 Philadelphia Phillies
0.553 150 83 67
13 Houston Astros
0.5 150 75 75

Philadelphia Phillies and Houston Astros Latest Matches

Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia Phillies Latest matches
L W L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 9, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
11 :  7
Houston Astros

Sep 8, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
5 :  6
Houston Astros

Sep 7, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
1 :  0
Atlanta Braves

Sep 6, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
4 :  5
Atlanta Braves

Sep 5, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
4 :  2
Atlanta Braves

Sep 4, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
2 :  5
Atlanta Braves
L W L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 9, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
11 :  7
Houston Astros

Sep 8, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
5 :  6
Houston Astros

Sep 7, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
1 :  0
Atlanta Braves

Sep 6, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
4 :  5
Atlanta Braves

Sep 5, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
4 :  2
Atlanta Braves

Sep 4, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
2 :  5
Atlanta Braves
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 2, 2026 - MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks
1 :  0
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 1, 2026 - MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks
1 :  7
Philadelphia Phillies

Aug 31, 2026 - MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks
1 :  2
Philadelphia Phillies

Aug 30, 2026 - MLB

Los Angeles Angels
2 :  5
Philadelphia Phillies

Aug 29, 2026 - MLB

Los Angeles Angels
2 :  4
Philadelphia Phillies

Aug 28, 2026 - MLB

Los Angeles Angels
3 :  5
Philadelphia Phillies
Houston Astros
Houston Astros Latest matches
W W L L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 9, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
11 :  7
Houston Astros

Sep 8, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
5 :  6
Houston Astros

Sep 6, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
2 :  3
Arizona Diamondbacks

Sep 5, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
3 :  4
Arizona Diamondbacks

Sep 4, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
3 :  1
Arizona Diamondbacks

Sep 3, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
6 :  2
Chicago White Sox
L W W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 6, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
2 :  3
Arizona Diamondbacks

Sep 5, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
3 :  4
Arizona Diamondbacks

Sep 4, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
3 :  1
Arizona Diamondbacks

Sep 3, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
6 :  2
Chicago White Sox

Sep 2, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
2 :  0
Chicago White Sox

Sep 1, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
1 :  5
Chicago White Sox
W W L W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 9, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
11 :  7
Houston Astros

Sep 8, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
5 :  6
Houston Astros

Aug 30, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
3 :  6
Houston Astros

Aug 29, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
6 :  2
Houston Astros

Aug 28, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
1 :  3
Houston Astros

Aug 27, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
1 :  5
Houston Astros

Philadelphia Phillies against Houston Astros : Head to Head (H2H)

Philadelphia Phillies

17 %

Houston Astros

83 %

Sep 9, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
11 :  7
Houston Astros

Sep 8, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
5 :  6
Houston Astros

Jun 26, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
2 :  1
Philadelphia Phillies

Jun 25, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
2 :  0
Philadelphia Phillies

Jun 24, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
1 :  0
Philadelphia Phillies

Aug 28, 2024 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
0 :  10
Houston Astros
Philadelphia Phillies vs Houston Astros Picks

Philadelphia Phillies - Houston Astros Key Points

  1. Over the last three seasons, Houston has won five of eight against the Phillies.
  2. Philadelphia is 31-43 ATS (run line) at home this season; Houston has gone37-34 ATS (run line) on the road.
  3. The OVER is 39-30-5 for the Phillies at home and 35-30-6 for the Astros on the road.
  4. Betting Public: 82% of run line tickets and 97% of the handle are on the Phillies.

Our Philadelphia Phillies vs Houston Astros Prediction

Houston has competed with Philadelphia in recent years. They won Tuesday’s game 6-5 and were competitive in the loss yesterday (11-7). The lineup has done well against Wheeler, hitting .297 in 92 at-bats against him. But even if Houston can get to him, I’m afraid the Philly lineup will get to Javier even more. Philadelphia has been hitting .244 over the last week to Houston’s .260. But both generated 27 runs across six games. Javier has a solid history against the Phillies (.222 OBA), but there is nothing about him this season that tells me I should bet on him containing the Philadelphia lineup…so I’m not.

Our Houston vs. Philadelphia Pick: Phillies -1.5

Prediction:

 

Phillies -1.5

+110
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.