New York Mets vs Houston Astros Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Lou Aguila | in MLB Picks
An enticing pick at +150 to cover -1.5 runs, the Houston Astros will go for their fifth win in six games against the New York Mets in Game 1 of their series on Friday.
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The New York Mets have gone 2-3 in their last five games. After taking Game 1, 3-2, in the series against the Milwaukee Brewers, the Mets were blown out in the next two games: 1-8 in Game 2 and 2-8 in Game 3. Over the last five games, the Mets have sported a 4.96 ERA and averaged 3.4 runs per game.
The Houston Astros came away with the series win over the New York Yankees, blowing out the Bronx Bombers, 5-1, in the finale. The Astros have averaged 5.2 runs per game while holding a 5.52 ERA over their last five games.
Starting Pitchers: Mets RHP Christian Scott (4-3, 3.73 ERA) vs. Astros RHP (3-3, 3.51 ERA).
The Matchup: The Astros have won 4 of their last 5 games against the Mets.
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New York Mets vs Houston Astros Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
14
|
0.5 | 162 | 81 | 81 |
|
25
|
0.457 | 162 | 74 | 88 |
New York Mets and Houston Astros Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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3/6 (50%)
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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New York Mets against Houston Astros : Head to Head (H2H)
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Mar 21, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
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New York Mets - Houston Astros Key Points
- The Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
- The Astros are 29-28 in their road games against the spread
- The Mets are 24-30 in their road games against the spread
- The Mets are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
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Our New York Mets vs Houston Astros Prediction
Key Stats: Hunter Brown has posted a 3.62 ERA in his last five starts, while Christian Scott has powered the Mets to a 4-1 record in his last five starts, albeit posting a 5.19 ERA.
What to Expect: Brown outduels Scott to help the Astros outgun the Mets’ offense. The Mets might have gone 4-0 in Scott’s last four starts, but the pitcher has allowed 14 runs during that stretch.
Astros hitters are slugging .535 on breaking pitches against RHP this season, the third-highest mark in the league. Scott cannot afford to give the Astros’ sluggers, especially Yordan Alvarez, too many great looks at the ball because this Houston team can score big time when given too many chances.
Fearless Forecast: Astros 7, Mets 2
Our betting prediction for the Houston Astros vs. the New York Mets: The Astros -1.5 Runs
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