Minnesota Twins vs Houston Astros Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Minnesota Twins
5/18/26 19:40
Houston Astros

Prediction:

 

Over 9.5 points

-110
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 by Erik Gibbs | in MLB Picks

The Minnesota Twins take on the Houston Astros to night to kick off an intriguing three-game series at Target Field. Minnesota enters this matchup holding a 21-26 record, currently sitting third in the American League Central. The Twins have been a balanced but somewhat inconsistent group, splitting their most recent ten games while outscoring their opponents by a narrow four-run margin. Their lineup has shown flashes of formidable power, ranking sixth in the American League with a collective .384 slugging percentage, though they are still searching for a sustained winning formula to climb above the .500 mark. This upcoming homestand represents a crucial opportunity for them to build momentum in front of their home fans, where they currently hold a perfectly even 13-13 record.

Conversely, the Astros arrive in Minneapolis mired in a deeply frustrating campaign. Houston stands at 19-29, placing them fourth in the American League West after a challenging opening stretch to the season. The team has particularly faltered away from home, stumbling to a dismal 7-15 road record. Despite these overall struggles, Houston still possesses a dangerous offensive baseline, maintaining a .250 team batting average that ranks fourth-best in MLB, suggesting that their underlying ability to string hits together remains intact.

Minnesota Twins vs Houston Astros Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
16 Minnesota Twins
0.495 97 48 49
20 Houston Astros
0.48 98 47 51

Minnesota Twins and Houston Astros Latest Matches

Minnesota Twins
Minnesota Twins Latest matches
W L W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

May 17, 2026 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
5 :  4
Milwaukee Brewers

May 16, 2026 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
1 :  2
Milwaukee Brewers

May 15, 2026 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
2 :  3
Milwaukee Brewers

May 14, 2026 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
9 :  1
Miami Marlins

May 13, 2026 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
5 :  9
Miami Marlins

May 12, 2026 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
3 :  0
Miami Marlins
W L W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

May 17, 2026 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
5 :  4
Milwaukee Brewers

May 16, 2026 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
1 :  2
Milwaukee Brewers

May 15, 2026 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
2 :  3
Milwaukee Brewers

May 14, 2026 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
9 :  1
Miami Marlins

May 13, 2026 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
5 :  9
Miami Marlins

May 12, 2026 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
3 :  0
Miami Marlins
W L L L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

May 10, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
4 :  5
Minnesota Twins

May 9, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
1 :  2
Minnesota Twins

May 8, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
6 :  4
Minnesota Twins

May 7, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
7 :  5
Minnesota Twins

May 6, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
15 :  2
Minnesota Twins

May 5, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
3 :  11
Minnesota Twins
Houston Astros
Houston Astros Latest matches
L W L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

May 17, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
0 :  8
Texas Rangers

May 16, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
4 :  1
Texas Rangers

May 15, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
2 :  0
Texas Rangers

May 14, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
3 :  8
Seattle Mariners

May 13, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
4 :  3
Seattle Mariners

May 12, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
2 :  10
Seattle Mariners
L W L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

May 17, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
0 :  8
Texas Rangers

May 16, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
4 :  1
Texas Rangers

May 15, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
2 :  0
Texas Rangers

May 14, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
3 :  8
Seattle Mariners

May 13, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
4 :  3
Seattle Mariners

May 12, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
2 :  10
Seattle Mariners
L W W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

May 10, 2026 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
5 :  0
Houston Astros

May 9, 2026 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
3 :  1
Houston Astros

May 8, 2026 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
0 :  10
Houston Astros

May 3, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
1 :  3
Houston Astros

May 2, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
3 :  6
Houston Astros

May 1, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
3 :  1
Houston Astros

Minnesota Twins against Houston Astros : Head to Head (H2H)

Minnesota Twins

50 %

Houston Astros

50 %

Apr 5, 2025 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
6 :  1
Houston Astros

Apr 3, 2025 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
2 :  5
Houston Astros

Jul 6, 2024 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
9 :  3
Houston Astros

Jun 1, 2024 - MLB

Houston Astros
5 :  2
Minnesota Twins

Oct 10, 2023 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
1 :  9
Houston Astros

Oct 8, 2023 - MLB

Houston Astros
2 :  6
Minnesota Twins
Minnesota Twins vs Houston Astros Picks

Minnesota Twins - Houston Astros Key Points

  1. The Over is 13-6-1 in the Twins' last 20 games after a win
  2. The Over is 17-10-1 in the Astros' last 28 games after a loss
  3. The Twins are 12-8 ATS in their last 20 games after a win
  4. The Astros are 12-16 ATS in their last 28 games after a loss

Our Minnesota Twins vs Houston Astros Prediction

Houston continues to be absolutely decimated by a relentless wave of health issues. Star second baseman Jose Altuve is sidelined with a side injury, joining a crowded trainer's room that already includes former Twin Carlos Correa, catcher Yainer Diaz, Joey Loperfido, and shortstop Jeremy Pena. Offensively, Yordan Alvarez has been carrying the heavy load, launching three home runs with a pair of doubles while collecting ten hits across his most recent appearances, while third baseman Isaac Paredes has provided steady production with four homers and 18 runs batted in.

On the mound, Houston will rely on Tatsuya Imai, who hopes to lower an elevated 9.24 ERA. For the Twins, centerpiece outfielder Byron Buxton is day-to-day with hip soreness but has been vital when active, anchoring Minnesota with 15 home runs and 23 RBIs. Austin Martin has also provided a major spark, racking up 11 hits and three doubles recently. Minnesota's pitching staff is missing key arms, however, as Taj Bradley and ace Pablo Lopez are among those sidelined. The Twins will start Kendry Rojas, who features an impressive 2.45 ERA. Given the extensive absences plaguing the visitors and their clear struggles outside their own stadium, the home side holds the distinct upper hand to secure a victory. Our prediction for Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros: Over 9.5 runs.

Prediction:

 

Over 9.5 points

-110
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