Miami Marlins vs Houston Astros Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Miami Marlins
8/5/25 18:40
Houston Astros

Prediction:

 

The Astros -1.5 Runs

+144
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 by Lou Aguila | in MLB Picks

Coming off a convincing win in Game 1, the Houston Astros will enter the second game of their series with the Miami Marlins on Tuesday as a valuable underdog pick at +144.

The Astros extended their winning streak against the Marlins to six games with a dominant 8-2 win on Monday, snapping a three-game losing streak. It took a collective effort from the Astros’ batting lineup to thwart the previously streaking Marlins, who had put together a five-game win streak before Monday’s ballgame. Relief pitcher Jason Alexander dazzled in a starting role, holding the Marlins scoreless through six innings. He allowed three hits and one walk with six strikeouts.

The loss was the Marlins' first in six games, sending them back below .500 at 55-56. Miami, which is pitching a 4.60 ERA in its last five games, surrendered the second-most runs in this stretch, just below the 12 runs it conceded in a 13-12 slugfest against the New York Yankees on August 1.

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Miami Marlins vs Houston Astros Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
12 Houston Astros
0.537 162 87 75
19 Miami Marlins
0.488 162 79 83

Miami Marlins and Houston Astros Latest Matches

Miami Marlins
Miami Marlins Latest matches
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Aug 4, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
2 :  8
Houston Astros

Aug 3, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
7 :  3
New York Yankees

Aug 2, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
2 :  0
New York Yankees

Aug 1, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
13 :  12
New York Yankees

Jul 30, 2025 - MLB

St. Louis Cardinals
0 :  2
Miami Marlins

Jul 29, 2025 - MLB

St. Louis Cardinals
0 :  5
Miami Marlins
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Aug 4, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
2 :  8
Houston Astros

Aug 3, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
7 :  3
New York Yankees

Aug 2, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
2 :  0
New York Yankees

Aug 1, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
13 :  12
New York Yankees

Jul 23, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
3 :  2
San Diego Padres

Jul 22, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  3
San Diego Padres
W W L L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 30, 2025 - MLB

St. Louis Cardinals
0 :  2
Miami Marlins

Jul 29, 2025 - MLB

St. Louis Cardinals
0 :  5
Miami Marlins

Jul 28, 2025 - MLB

St. Louis Cardinals
7 :  1
Miami Marlins

Jul 27, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
3 :  2
Miami Marlins

Jul 26, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
4 :  7
Miami Marlins

Jul 25, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
1 :  5
Miami Marlins
Houston Astros
Houston Astros Latest matches
W W L L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 4, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
2 :  8
Houston Astros

Aug 3, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
6 :  1
Houston Astros

Aug 2, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
7 :  3
Houston Astros

Aug 1, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
2 :  1
Houston Astros

Jul 30, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
9 :  1
Washington Nationals

Jul 29, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
7 :  4
Washington Nationals
L L L L W W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jul 30, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
9 :  1
Washington Nationals

Jul 29, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
7 :  4
Washington Nationals

Jul 28, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
1 :  2
Washington Nationals

Jul 27, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
1 :  7
Athletics

Jul 26, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
1 :  5
Athletics

Jul 25, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
3 :  15
Athletics
W W L L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 4, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
2 :  8
Houston Astros

Aug 3, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
6 :  1
Houston Astros

Aug 2, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
7 :  3
Houston Astros

Aug 1, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
2 :  1
Houston Astros

Jul 23, 2025 - MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks
3 :  4
Houston Astros

Jul 22, 2025 - MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks
1 :  3
Houston Astros

Miami Marlins against Houston Astros : Head to Head (H2H)

Miami Marlins

50 %

Houston Astros

50 %

Aug 4, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
2 :  8
Houston Astros

Jul 9, 2024 - MLB

Houston Astros
4 :  3
Miami Marlins

Mar 18, 2024 - MLB Spring Training

Miami Marlins
6 :  5
Houston Astros

Aug 14, 2023 - MLB

Miami Marlins
5 :  1
Houston Astros

Miami Marlins - Houston Astros Key Points

  1. Houston is 6-0 SU in its last 6 games against Miami.
  2. Houston is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games against an opponent in the National League.
  3. The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games against Houston.
  4. The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games against an opponent in the American League.
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Our Miami Marlins vs Houston Astros Prediction

Expect the Houston Astros to sustain their dominance over the Marlins, regardless of which pitcher they send to the mound on Tuesday.

Houston is 6-0 SU in its last 6 games against Miami and 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against the team. The Marlins won by at least two runs in four of their last six wins vs. the Marlins.

The Marlins will pin their hope on Cal Quantrill (4-1, 2.92 ERA) to end their losing streak against Houston, but it’s also worth mentioning that he surrendered 6 runs the last time he pitched against the Astros in 2024, back when he was still with the Colorado Rockies.

Here’s how you can turn $100 into $575 by betting on a simple 2-game parlay at DraftKings.

Lock in on the Astros -1.5 Runs and the Over 8.5 runs in a 2-game parlay. A $100 bet on this parlay pays $475 on DraftKings. Houston is averaging 7.62 runs per game in their last three meetings vs. the Marlins. Miami will do everything possible to improve its two-run output in Game 2, raising the chances of another high-scoring ballgame on Tuesday.

Our betting prediction for the Houston Astros vs. the Miami Marlins: the Astros -1.5 Runs.

Prediction:

 

The Astros -1.5 Runs

+144
$200 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Miami Marlins vs Houston Astros Picks