Kansas City Royals vs Houston Astros Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Kansas City Royals
6/14/26 14:10
Houston Astros

Prediction:

 

Under 8.5 Total Runs

-102
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 by Matt Lowrimore | in MLB Picks

To round out the week, a full 15-game MLB slate is scheduled for Sunday, which will include an American League matchup between the Kansas City Royals and the Houston Astros. Let’s take a look at the match statistics and predictions for this game between the Royals and Astros. 

Houston enters this game still trying to establish themselves in the AL West. As it stands, the Astros are in fourth place in the division. Looking to inch closer to .500, Houston is scheduled to start Spencer Arrighetti, who has a record of 7-1 and an ERA of 2.21. Note that Arrighetti has been excellent on the road, which suggests that he could limit an average Royals’ offense.

As for Kansas City, they enter this game well under .500 and are currently in last place in the AL Central. Starting this game for the Royals will be Stephen Kolek, who has a record of 3-1 and an ERA of 3.14. The good news is that Kolek has been lights out at home this season, which further suggests that this game will be a pitchers’ duel.

Kansas City Royals vs Houston Astros Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
22 Houston Astros
0.451 71 32 39
27 Kansas City Royals
0.4 70 28 42

Kansas City Royals and Houston Astros Latest Matches

Kansas City Royals
Kansas City Royals Latest matches
W W W L L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jun 12, 2026 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
8 :  10
Houston Astros

Jun 11, 2026 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
2 :  4
Texas Rangers

Jun 10, 2026 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
4 :  6
Texas Rangers

Jun 9, 2026 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
5 :  3
Texas Rangers

Jun 7, 2026 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
5 :  6
Kansas City Royals

Jun 6, 2026 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
2 :  3
Kansas City Royals
L L W L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Jun 12, 2026 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
8 :  10
Houston Astros

Jun 11, 2026 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
2 :  4
Texas Rangers

Jun 10, 2026 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
4 :  6
Texas Rangers

Jun 9, 2026 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
5 :  3
Texas Rangers

May 27, 2026 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
0 :  7
New York Yankees

May 26, 2026 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
1 :  15
New York Yankees
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jun 7, 2026 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
5 :  6
Kansas City Royals

Jun 6, 2026 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
2 :  3
Kansas City Royals

Jun 5, 2026 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
5 :  3
Kansas City Royals

Jun 4, 2026 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
6 :  8
Kansas City Royals

Jun 3, 2026 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
2 :  5
Kansas City Royals

Jun 2, 2026 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
4 :  3
Kansas City Royals
Houston Astros
Houston Astros Latest matches
W L W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jun 12, 2026 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
8 :  10
Houston Astros

Jun 10, 2026 - MLB

Los Angeles Angels
3 :  2
Houston Astros

Jun 9, 2026 - MLB

Los Angeles Angels
10 :  1
Houston Astros

Jun 8, 2026 - MLB

Los Angeles Angels
4 :  5
Houston Astros

Jun 7, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
0 :  5
Athletics

Jun 6, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
13 :  2
Athletics
L W L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jun 7, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
0 :  5
Athletics

Jun 6, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
13 :  2
Athletics

Jun 5, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
5 :  1
Athletics

Jun 4, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
1 :  5
Pittsburgh Pirates

Jun 3, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
11 :  9
Pittsburgh Pirates

Jun 2, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
6 :  10
Pittsburgh Pirates
W W W L L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jun 12, 2026 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
8 :  10
Houston Astros

Jun 10, 2026 - MLB

Los Angeles Angels
3 :  2
Houston Astros

Jun 9, 2026 - MLB

Los Angeles Angels
10 :  1
Houston Astros

Jun 8, 2026 - MLB

Los Angeles Angels
4 :  5
Houston Astros

May 28, 2026 - MLB

Texas Rangers
1 :  5
Houston Astros

May 27, 2026 - MLB

Texas Rangers
3 :  4
Houston Astros

Kansas City Royals against Houston Astros : Head to Head (H2H)

Kansas City Royals

33 %

Houston Astros

67 %

Jun 12, 2026 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
8 :  10
Houston Astros

May 14, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
4 :  3
Kansas City Royals

May 13, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
2 :  1
Kansas City Royals

May 12, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
5 :  7
Kansas City Royals

Apr 27, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
3 :  7
Houston Astros

Apr 26, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
2 :  0
Houston Astros

Kansas City Royals - Houston Astros Key Points

  1. Spencer Arrighetti has an ERA of 2.21 this season
  2. Spencer Arrighetti has an ERA of 2.20 on the road this season
  3. Stephen Kolek has an ERA of 3.14 this season
  4. Stephen Kolek has an ERA of 1.80 at home this season

Our Kansas City Royals vs Houston Astros Prediction

The Royals are the small favorite in this game; however, the under looks to be the best betting option. This goes back to the home/away splits for the scheduled starting pitchers. More specifically, Arrighetti has made six away starts this season and has allowed 10 runs (eight earned) over 32.2 innings.

Kolek, on the other hand, has made three home starts this season, where he has allowed five runs (four earned) over 20.0 innings. The offenses for both teams have shown the ability to score a big number, but with the starters having allowed minimal damage this season, our Kansas City Royals vs Houston Astros prediction is: Under 8.5 Total Runs.

Prediction:

 

Under 8.5 Total Runs

-102
$200 offered for betting!

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Kansas City Royals vs Houston Astros Picks