Detroit Tigers vs Houston Astros Prediction & Picks - MLB

Prediction published on 6/26/26, 3:29 PM  by Lou Aguila in MLB Picks

The Houston Astros and the Detroit Tigers will resume their series on Friday after another low-scoring series opener.

Caesars Sportsbooks sets the over/under at 8.0 runs in Game 2, risking the possibility of another defensive-oriented duel as these two teams have averaged a combined 5.0 runs per game over their last three meetings.

Current Form:

The Detroit Tigers absorbed another close loss in Game 1 of their series against the Houston Astros, 1-2. The Tigers, who suffered heartbreaking defeats in Game 2 (3-4) and Game 3 (2-4) against the New York Yankees, recorded five hits against the Astros, but it was Dillon Dinger’s solo homer in the 9th inning that gave Detroit its only run of the game. The Tigers are hitting .266 and averaging 3.3 runs over the last five games.

The Houston Astros have won their last three games and four of their last five. The Astros have lowered their ERA over the last five games to 2.15 after posting back-to-back games with one allowed run each. Houston is still three games below .500 at 40-43, but only trails the AL West leaders, the Seattle Mariners (41-41), by 1.5 games.

Starting Pitchers:

Astros RHP Spencer Arrighetti (7-3, 3.13 ERA) has allowed 13 earned runs over his last three starts. In his last outing against the Guardians, Arrighetti squandered 6 earned runs over six innings in a 1-8 blowout loss.

Tigers RHP Keider Montero (3-5, 3,68 ERA) has pitched to a 3.30 ERA over his last five starts. Montero, who recorded shutouts against the Chicago White Sox and Minnesota recently, continued to be unpredictable after surrendering three earned runs over seven innings in his June 21 start against the White Sox.

The Matchup: The total has gone UNDER in the last three meetings between these two teams. The Tigers and the Astros have averaged a combined 5.01 runs per game over their last three meetings.