Cleveland Guardians vs Houston Astros Prediction & Picks - MLB

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Cleveland Guardians
4/21/26 18:10
Houston Astros

Prediction:

 

Cleveland ML

-142
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 by Travis Pulver | in MLB Picks

The Houston Astros (9-15, 2-9 Away) will try to make it two in a row on the road for the first time this season when they face the Guardians on Tuesday, April 21, at Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH. First Pitch is scheduled for 6:10 p.m. EST with coverage provided by MLB.TV.

For Houston, the struggle has been all too real. Prior to Monday’s 9-2 win over the Guardians in Cleveland, the Astros had gone 1-9 in road games. The win also brought their current losing streak to an end at four in a row. If they are going to make it two in a row, they’ll need something they haven’t seen much of all season— quality pitching out of the bullpen.

The ERA for the 'pen has been 6.0+, but just recently dropped back below 6.00 to 5.66, the highest for a bullpen in baseball to date and the only one over 5.00. Ryan Weiss is set to start the day on the mound for Houston. He has a 6.75 ERA, and opponents have been hitting .254 with a 2.05 WHIP.

Cleveland is scheduled to start Parker Messick. Messick has had a solid season to date, having gone 3-0 in four starts with a 1.05 ERA and a .78 WHIP.  


 

Cleveland Guardians vs Houston Astros Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
12 Cleveland Guardians
0.518 83 43 40
18 Houston Astros
0.482 85 41 44

Cleveland Guardians and Houston Astros Latest Matches

Cleveland Guardians
Cleveland Guardians Latest matches
L W L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Apr 20, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
2 :  9
Houston Astros

Apr 19, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
8 :  4
Baltimore Orioles

Apr 18, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
4 :  2
Baltimore Orioles

Apr 17, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
4 :  6
Baltimore Orioles

Apr 16, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
4 :  2
Baltimore Orioles

Apr 15, 2026 - MLB

St. Louis Cardinals
5 :  3
Cleveland Guardians
W W L W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Apr 20, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
2 :  9
Houston Astros

Apr 19, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
8 :  4
Baltimore Orioles

Apr 18, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
4 :  2
Baltimore Orioles

Apr 17, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
4 :  6
Baltimore Orioles

Apr 16, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
4 :  2
Baltimore Orioles

Apr 8, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
10 :  2
Kansas City Royals
L W L W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Apr 15, 2026 - MLB

St. Louis Cardinals
5 :  3
Cleveland Guardians

Apr 14, 2026 - MLB

St. Louis Cardinals
6 :  5
Cleveland Guardians

Apr 13, 2026 - MLB

St. Louis Cardinals
3 :  9
Cleveland Guardians

Apr 12, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
13 :  1
Cleveland Guardians

Apr 11, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
0 :  6
Cleveland Guardians

Apr 10, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
11 :  5
Cleveland Guardians
Houston Astros
Houston Astros Latest matches
W L L L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Apr 20, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
2 :  9
Houston Astros

Apr 19, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
5 :  7
St. Louis Cardinals

Apr 18, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
5 :  7
St. Louis Cardinals

Apr 17, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
4 :  9
St. Louis Cardinals

Apr 16, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
2 :  3
Colorado Rockies

Apr 15, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
3 :  1
Colorado Rockies
W W L L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Apr 19, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
5 :  7
St. Louis Cardinals

Apr 18, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
5 :  7
St. Louis Cardinals

Apr 17, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
4 :  9
St. Louis Cardinals

Apr 16, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
2 :  3
Colorado Rockies

Apr 15, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
3 :  1
Colorado Rockies

Apr 14, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
7 :  6
Colorado Rockies
L L L L L W
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Apr 20, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
2 :  9
Houston Astros

Apr 13, 2026 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
6 :  2
Houston Astros

Apr 12, 2026 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
6 :  1
Houston Astros

Apr 11, 2026 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
8 :  7
Houston Astros

Apr 10, 2026 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
9 :  6
Houston Astros

Apr 8, 2026 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
9 :  1
Houston Astros

Cleveland Guardians against Houston Astros : Head to Head (H2H)

Cleveland Guardians

50 %

Houston Astros

50 %

Apr 20, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
2 :  9
Houston Astros

Jul 9, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
2 :  4
Cleveland Guardians

Jul 8, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
6 :  10
Cleveland Guardians

Jul 7, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
5 :  7
Cleveland Guardians

Jun 6, 2025 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
2 :  4
Houston Astros

Sep 28, 2024 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
3 :  4
Houston Astros

Cleveland Guardians - Houston Astros Key Points

  1. Houston leads the all-time series vs. Cleveland, 52-49.
  2. Cleveland is 13-11 ATS (run line) so far this season; Houston is 9-15.
  3. The OVER is 12-12 for Cleveland this season and 17-7 for Houston.
  4. Betting Public: 74% of moneyline tickets, but only 33% of the handle is on the Guardians.

Our Cleveland Guardians vs Houston Astros Prediction

In a way, I can understand why there is more money on the Astros to win. After yesterday's offensive explosion, it is easy to believe they can have another such performance today. However, Cleveland starter Parker Messick is having a great season and has been hard to hit. Houston appears to be going with a bullpen day, which is not encouraging since the Astros bullpen has the highest ERA in baseball. However, the Guardians' lineup has not been very productive this season. So, while I think Cleveland will win, I am not confident they can cover the run line.

Our Houston vs. Cleveland Pick: Guardians ML

Prediction:

 

Cleveland ML

-142
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Cleveland Guardians vs Houston Astros Picks