Cincinnati Reds vs Houston Astros Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Lou Aguila | in MLB Picks
The Cincinnati Reds are shaping up to be a solid option at -125 moneyline, with starter Andrew Abottt looking to carry over his fine form from his last start into the series finale against the Houston Astros on Sunday.
Momentum:
The Houston Astros split the first two games with the Cincinnati Reds, breezing through to a 10-0 win in Game 1 before coming out flat in a 1-3 loss in Game 2. At 16-24, the Astros sit in fourth place in the American League West standings, 5.5 games behind the current pacesetters, the Athletics (21-18).
The Cincinnati Reds ended an 8-game losing streak following their Game 2 win on Saturday. After giving up 10 earned runs in the series opener, the Reds got a big boost from starter Chase Burns, who has lowered his ERA to 2.11 after giving up one earned run over six innings.
The Matchup:
The Reds have won 7 of the last 10 meetings with the Astros. Over their last three faceoffs, Houston has averaged 5.67 runs per game and held the Reds to 1.00 runs per game.
Starting Pitchers:
Astros RHP Kai-Wei Teng (1-2, 2.35 ERA): In his first mound appearance this season. Teng surrendered two earned runs over 3.0 innings in a 3-5 loss to the Baltimore Orioles on April 28.
Reds LHP Andrew Abbott (1-2, 5.13 ERA): Abbott delivered his best performance of the season, giving up zero runs through 5.2 innings in a 2-3 loss to the Chicago Cubs on May 5.
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Cincinnati Reds vs Houston Astros Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
18
|
0.482 | 85 | 41 | 44 |
|
20
|
0.481 | 81 | 39 | 42 |
Cincinnati Reds and Houston Astros Latest Matches
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
May 9, 2026 - MLB
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
May 9, 2026 - MLB
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Apr 30, 2026 - MLB
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Apr 26, 2026 - MLB
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
May 7, 2026 - MLB
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
May 9, 2026 - MLB
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May 3, 2026 - MLB
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
May 6, 2026 - MLB
May 5, 2026 - MLB
May 4, 2026 - MLB
Apr 26, 2026 - MLB
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Apr 24, 2026 - MLB
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
May 9, 2026 - MLB
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Apr 30, 2026 - MLB
Cincinnati Reds against Houston Astros : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
May 9, 2026 - MLB
May 8, 2026 - MLB
May 11, 2025 - MLB
Sep 5, 2024 - MLB
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Cincinnati Reds - Houston Astros Key Points
- Houston is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games on the road.
- Houston is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games against Cincinnati.
- Cincinnati is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Houston.
- Andrew Abbott pitched 5.2 scoreless innings in his last start.
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Our Cincinnati Reds vs Houston Astros Prediction
Banking on another strong start from Andrew Abbott, the Cincinnati Reds will find a way to hack out a close win over the Houston Astros in Game 3.
Abbott, who threw 5.2 scoreless innings against the Chicago Cubs in his last start, should feel more confident coming into Sunday’s series finale against the Astros, a team he blanked for six innings almost three years ago.
Houston’s recent batting numbers against left-handed pitchers don’t inspire confidence, as the Astros are only batting .179 and averaging 3.2 runs per game against left-handed pitchers over the last five games. The Reds’ offense might be in a slump right now, but lucky for them, they will always have a better chance to score a run against Houston than any team in the MLB. Houston owns the worst ERA (5.56) and WHIP (1.59) in baseball.
Our betting prediction for the Houston Astros vs. the Cincinnati Reds: The Reds will win
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