Boston Red Sox vs Houston Astros Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Travis Pulver | in MLB Picks
The Houston Astros (13-21, 5-13 Away) will try to make it two in a row against the Red Sox (13-20, 6-9 Home) today when they meet in Game Three of their weekend series at Fenway Park in Boston, MA. First Pitch for this American League battle is scheduled for 1:35 p.m. EST with coverage provided by MLB.TV.
Starting pitcher Spencer Arrighetti had another solid outing yesterday (five innings, five hits, one earned run). The Astros got out to a 6-0 lead before the Red Sox finally responded with a win in the bottom of the fifth. Boston was able to tack on two more but fell short in the end.
Ranger Suarez is scheduled to take the mound to start the day. Overall, he is having a solid season with a 2-2 record across six starts, a 3.09 ERA, and a 0.94 WHIP. However, he seems to be having an all-or-nothing type of season so far. He either throws really well and goes deep into a game (6+ innings in three of his last four starts and 8+ in two).
It appears that the Astros are going with a bullpen day on the mound. Cody Bolton is listed as the starter, but he has yet to go past 4 1/3 innings across four appearances and was pulled after one inning in his last two (April 12, April 30). He has a 5.79 ERA and 1.71 WHIP.
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Boston Red Sox vs Houston Astros Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
18
|
0.482 | 85 | 41 | 44 |
|
24
|
0.432 | 81 | 35 | 46 |
Boston Red Sox and Houston Astros Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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2/6 (33%)
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3/6 (50%)
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3/6 (50%)
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1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
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3/6 (50%)
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Boston Red Sox against Houston Astros : Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
83 %
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Boston Red Sox - Houston Astros Key Points
- The all-time series between Boston and Houston is tied, 54-54.
- In 64 at-bats vs. Suarez, the Astros lineup has hit .328 (21-64) with two home runs and five RBI.
- Boston has struggled to generate runs of late with 17 scored over the last week (six games); Houston, on the other hand, has recorded 31 over the last week (six games).
- Betting Public: 40% of moneyline tickets and 23% of the handle are on the Astros.
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Our Boston Red Sox vs Houston Astros Prediction
I totally get why the public does not want to bet on the Astros. If the Astros are indeed going with a bullpen day, Houston’s pen happens to have the worst ERA in baseball (6.48), has a high WHIP (1.69), and OBA (.268). But the lineup has been killing the ball of late, while the Red Sox are struggling to score. Houston’s pen is a concern, but the lineup is hitting well and facing a pitcher they have beaten before. With plus-money odds, the Astros ML is a solid value play.
Our Houston vs. Boston Pick: Astros ML
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
