Boston Red Sox vs Houston Astros Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Stephen Abiola | in MLB Picks
Boston Red Sox (12-19) and Houston Astros (12-20) will begin their three-game series on Friday night at Fenway Park. The Red Sox are coming off a 2-1 series loss against the Blue Jays, winning the series opener 5-0 on Monday before collapsing in their last two matches. They looked out of depth in those losses, scoring just a single run while giving up 11. Boston will aim to win and improve on their last-place position in the AL East.
Houston Astros aren’t doing any better in the AL West this season. They’re fourth in the division, 5.5 games behind the Athletics. The ‘Stros have been uninspiring on the road this season, losing 12 of their 16 assignments. They’re coming off a 2-1 series loss on the road against Baltimore Orioles, winning their last match 11-5. This result proved why the Astros are among the top batting teams in the league, even though their pitching staff has been the weak link.
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Boston Red Sox vs Houston Astros Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
18
|
0.482 | 85 | 41 | 44 |
|
24
|
0.432 | 81 | 35 | 46 |
Boston Red Sox and Houston Astros Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Apr 29, 2026 - MLB
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Apr 30, 2026 - MLB
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1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Apr 26, 2026 - MLB
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Apr 30, 2026 - MLB
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Boston Red Sox against Houston Astros : Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
83 %
Apr 1, 2026 - MLB
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Boston Red Sox - Houston Astros Key Points
- The total runs went over 8.5 in five of the last six Houston Astros matches.
- The total runs went over 8.5 in four of the last six Houston Astros away games.
- The total runs went over in 10 of the last 12 Houston Astros matches.
- The total runs went over 8.5 in five of the last six Boston Red Sox vs Houston Astros clashes
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Our Boston Red Sox vs Houston Astros Prediction
Oddsmakers are predicting a very tight contest tonight, with both sides at -115 odds. The Red Sox will be keen to maximize their home advantage to start this series with a win. Despite losing to the Astros in five of their last six meetings, the Red Sox won in their last three meetings at Fenway Park. However, we’ll make a safer choice tonight by backing the total points to exceed the line. Both teams are experiencing pitching issues, with the Astros sitting at the bottom of the league with a 6.08 ERA. The Red Sox are doing slightly better with a 4.25 ERA. The hosts will hand Jackson Bennett his first start this season, whereas the ‘Stros will start Mike Burrows (1-3, 6.25 ERA). These stats suggest we could be in for a high-scoring game.
Our prediction for Boston Red Sox vs Houston Astros: Over 8.5 runs.
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