Hoffenheim vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Prediction & Picks - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Mikaella McIntosh | in Bundesliga Picks
Hoffenheim and Mainz go head-to-head this Saturday at PreXero Arena, where both will be looking to get back into the swing of league action. I have to say, considering the recent form of both, the market is underestimating the away side, and I particularly like the parlay ‘Tie or Mainz and Over 1.5 Goals’ ahead of kickoff.
After such a strong first half of the season, which built a fantastic foundation for a top-four place, Hoffenheim have started to show signs of disorder recently, and are in their worst form of the season, winning just one out of their last six fixtures.
In contrast, Mainz are in very sturdy form of late - one of the best in the whole league - and have been very consistent, not enduring a single defeat in their last seven matches. Doing so has allowed them to crawl up into 11th place, and any points here will put them level with Union Berlin in 9th.
We shouldn’t underestimate the power of momentum, and looking at each side of this fixture, it’s easy to tell who has an edge coming into this game, despite their league rankings.
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Hoffenheim vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
61 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | +13 |
|
10
|
40 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | -9 |
Hoffenheim and 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Mar 20, 2026 - Bundesliga
Mar 14, 2026 - Bundesliga
Mar 7, 2026 - Bundesliga
Feb 28, 2026 - Bundesliga
Feb 21, 2026 - Bundesliga
Feb 14, 2026 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Mar 14, 2026 - Bundesliga
Feb 28, 2026 - Bundesliga
Feb 14, 2026 - Bundesliga
Jan 31, 2026 - Bundesliga
Jan 17, 2026 - Bundesliga
Jan 14, 2026 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Mar 20, 2026 - Bundesliga
Mar 7, 2026 - Bundesliga
Feb 21, 2026 - Bundesliga
Feb 8, 2026 - Bundesliga
Jan 27, 2026 - Bundesliga
Jan 24, 2026 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Mar 22, 2026 - Bundesliga
Mar 19, 2026 - Conference League
Mar 15, 2026 - Bundesliga
Mar 12, 2026 - Conference League
Mar 7, 2026 - Bundesliga
Feb 28, 2026 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Mar 22, 2026 - Bundesliga
Mar 19, 2026 - Conference League
Mar 7, 2026 - Bundesliga
Feb 20, 2026 - Bundesliga
Feb 7, 2026 - Bundesliga
Jan 24, 2026 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Mar 15, 2026 - Bundesliga
Mar 12, 2026 - Conference League
Feb 28, 2026 - Bundesliga
Feb 13, 2026 - Bundesliga
Jan 31, 2026 - Bundesliga
Jan 17, 2026 - Bundesliga
Hoffenheim against 1 Fsv Mainz 05 : Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
33 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Nov 21, 2025 - Bundesliga
Apr 12, 2025 - Bundesliga
Dec 1, 2024 - Bundesliga
Apr 13, 2024 - Bundesliga
Nov 26, 2023 - Bundesliga
Mar 4, 2023 - Bundesliga
Hoffenheim against 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 1 - 3 - 2
Formation : 3 - 3 - 2 - 2
Substitutes
L. Philipp
DefenderR. Hranac
K. Akpoguma
MidfielderC. Campbell
M. Damar
L. Avdullahu
M. Moerstedt
A. Kramaric
I. Bebou
L. Riess
DefenderK. Potulski
M. Leitsch
MidfielderL. Maloney
W. Boving
S. Kawasaki
N. Veratschnig
A. Sieb
N. Weiper
Missing players
K. Machida
V. Gendrey
ForwardA. Hlozek
R. Zentner
DefenderS. Bell
A. Hanche Olsen
A. Caci
MidfielderN. Amiri
D. Gleiber
ForwardB. Hollerbach
S. Katompa Mvumpa
Most goals and assists
Hoffenheim
1 Fsv Mainz 05
A. Kramaric
(14 Goals)
N. Amiri
(12 Goals)
B. Toure
(8 Assists)
B. Hollerbach
(3 Assists)
,
D. da Costa
(3 Assists)
, 
S. Becker
(3 Assists)
Hoffenheim - 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Key Points
- Mainz have not lost a game in their last seven (two competitions).
- The reverse fixture finished in a 1-1 tie, with lots of great chances.
- Hoffenheim have only won one in their last six (two competitions).
- Hoffenheim haven’t won in their last three home games, conceding five goals in their most recent.
- Mainz have won or tied four out of their last five on the road (all competitions).
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Our Hoffenheim vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Prediction
The home side conceded five goals, netting three themselves, on home turf last time out in a friendly against a second-tier team, whilst also conceding lots recently in general. Die Kraichgauer are without a clean sheet in their last six, totalling 16 goals. Hoffenheim have recently hosted two teams of lesser quality to their current opposition, Wolfsburg and St Pauli, where they haven’t been able to hold onto a win.
Therefore, a positive result is definitely possible for a thriving Mainz side, especially seeing their excellent wins over Frankfurt, away at Leipzig and tying at Leverkusen, as well as putting away multiple goals in each of their last three on the bounce.
Our Hoffenheim vs Mainz Pick: Tie or Mainz and Over 1.5 Goals.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
