Heart Of Midlothian FC vs Sturm Graz Prediction & Picks - Champions League

Europe - Champions League

Heart Of Midlothian FC
7/28/26 14:45
Sturm Graz

Prediction:

 

Hearts to Score Over 1.5 Goals

-150
$150 offered for betting!

New customers only | Commercial content | 21+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Bradley Gibbs | in Champions League Picks

On Tuesday, it's time to make amends for Wouter Vrancken's men, who came unstuck in Austria last week. As Hearts take on Sturm Graz at Tynecastle Park, the visitors will be looking to get over the line having done most of the hard work already, holding a commanding 4-0 lead after the first leg. A quick glance at the first-leg result suggests that the Austrians were hugely dominant in that first leg, but that's not really the case. What they were is far more clinical than their Scottish counterparts, who created as much but lacked end product. 

Given that they are four goals down ahead of this second leg, the hosts are going to struggle to go through, especially as the front-footed approach that they're now forced to take will lead to them being exposed on the break. However, from a betting point of view, it's definitely worth betting on Vrancken's men to notch a couple of goals, which is something that they should've done in the first leg. 

Heart Of Midlothian FC vs Sturm Graz Form

Heart Of Midlothian FC and Sturm Graz Latest Matches

Heart Of Midlothian FC
Heart Of Midlothian FC Latest matches
W D W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Jul 21, 2026 - Champions League

Sturm Graz
4 :  0
Heart Of Midlothian FC

Jul 17, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Heart Of Midlothian FC
2 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

May 16, 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Celtic
3 :  1
Heart Of Midlothian FC

May 13, 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Heart Of Midlothian FC
3 :  0
Falkirk

May 9, 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
1 :  1
Heart Of Midlothian FC

May 4, 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Heart Of Midlothian FC
2 :  1
Rangers
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jul 17, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Heart Of Midlothian FC
2 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

May 13, 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Heart Of Midlothian FC
3 :  0
Falkirk

May 4, 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Heart Of Midlothian FC
2 :  1
Rangers

Apr 11, 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Heart Of Midlothian FC
3 :  1
Motherwell

Mar 21, 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Heart Of Midlothian FC
1 :  0
Dundee FC

Feb 28, 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Heart Of Midlothian FC
1 :  0
Aberdeen
L D W D L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jul 21, 2026 - Champions League

Sturm Graz
4 :  0
Heart Of Midlothian FC

May 16, 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Celtic
3 :  1
Heart Of Midlothian FC

May 9, 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
1 :  1
Heart Of Midlothian FC

Apr 26, 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Hibernian
1 :  2
Heart Of Midlothian FC

Apr 5, 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Livingston
2 :  2
Heart Of Midlothian FC

Mar 14, 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Kilmarnock
1 :  0
Heart Of Midlothian FC
Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz Latest matches
L D W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Jul 24, 2026 - ÖFB Cup

Seekirchen
0 :  3
Sturm Graz

Jul 21, 2026 - Champions League

Sturm Graz
4 :  0
Heart Of Midlothian FC

Jul 15, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Sturm Graz
1 :  0
MKS Pogon Szczecin

Jul 8, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Sturm Graz
4 :  1
Kalsdorf

Jul 3, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Sturm Graz
2 :  2
FK Kosice

Jun 30, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Sturm Graz
2 :  6
LNZ Cherkasy
W L D W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
3 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Jul 21, 2026 - Champions League

Sturm Graz
4 :  0
Heart Of Midlothian FC

Jul 15, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Sturm Graz
1 :  0
MKS Pogon Szczecin

Jul 8, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Sturm Graz
4 :  1
Kalsdorf

Jul 3, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Sturm Graz
2 :  2
FK Kosice

Jun 30, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Sturm Graz
2 :  6
LNZ Cherkasy

Jun 26, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Sturm Graz
5 :  0
Mura Murska Sobota
W W D D W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jul 24, 2026 - ÖFB Cup

Seekirchen
0 :  3
Sturm Graz

May 10, 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga

Hartberg
2 :  4
Sturm Graz

May 3, 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga

Salzburg
1 :  1
Sturm Graz

Apr 19, 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga

LASK Linz
1 :  1
Sturm Graz

Apr 5, 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga

Rapid Wien
0 :  2
Sturm Graz

Mar 15, 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga

Austria Vienna
2 :  5
Sturm Graz

Heart Of Midlothian FC against Sturm Graz : Head to Head (H2H)

Heart Of Midlothian FC

0 %

Draw

0 %

Sturm Graz

100 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4
Total goals
0%
BTTS
0
Goals scored
4
Goals conceded
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

Jul 21, 2026 - Champions League

Sturm Graz
4 :  0
Heart Of Midlothian FC
Heart Of Midlothian FC vs Sturm Graz Picks

Heart Of Midlothian FC and Sturm Graz Stats in Champions League

Heart Of Midlothian FC
Heart Of Midlothian FC
Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz
0%
Wins
100%
100%
Losses
0%
0%
Draws
0%
4
Average goals per match
4
0
Goals scored per match
4
4
Goals conceded per match
0
0%
Under 2.5 goals
0%
100%
Over 2.5 goals
100%
0%
No goals conceded
100%
0%
Both score
0%

Heart Of Midlothian FC - Sturm Graz Key Points

  1. During the first leg, Hearts matched their opponents for shots on target.
  2. In the first leg of this UCL qualifier, Hearts fired off no less than 19 shots.
  3. Tuesday's hosts also registered an encouraging 1.96 expected goals during the first leg.
  4. In all competitions, the visitors have conceded two or more goals in five of their last ten games.
  5. The hosts have scored two or more in each of their last three competitive home games.

Our Heart Of Midlothian FC vs Sturm Graz Prediction

As the stats above show, Tuesday's visitors weren't exactly full value for their 4-0 win in the first leg. Sure, they offered plenty going forward, but so did the team about to play in front of a home crowd. Having created plenty in the first leg, so much so that they could've easily scored a couple of goals, Hearts look generously priced to do some damage at Tynecastle Park, where they have a strong record of scoring multiple goals, doing so in each of their last three competitive home games. 

Our Hearts vs Sturm Graz Picks: Hearts to Score Over 1.5 Goals.

Prediction:

 

Hearts to Score Over 1.5 Goals

-150
$150 offered for betting!

A Welcome Bonus for Heart Of Midlothian FC vs Sturm Graz!

DraftKings Bonus

Looking to place a bet on Heart Of Midlothian FC vs Sturm Graz? For this Champions League match, DraftKings will treat you to an exclusive offer: $150 in bonus bets, no promo code needed! Take advantage while you still can!

$150 in bonus bets for Heart Of Midlothian FC vs Sturm Graz!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.