Grigor Dimitrov vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction & Picks - Rolex Paris Masters

ATP - Rolex Paris Masters

ATP 38 Bulgaria
Grigor Dimitrov
10/30/25 06:00
ATP 13 Russia
Daniil Medvedev

Prediction:

 

Daniil Medvedev -3.5 Games

-110
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 by Lou Aguila | in Rolex Paris Masters Picks

Grigor Dimitrov of Bulgaria will play fellow veteran Daniil Medvedev of Russia for the 12th time in Wednesday’s second-round battle at the 2025 Paris Masters.

Current Form:

Dimitrov made a triumphant return to the ATP Tour after scoring a straight-set victory over Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard in the first round, 6-7, 6-1. The Bulgarian was sidelined for several months after pulling his pectoral muscle in his fourth-round match with Jannik Sinner at the 2025 Wimbledon Open. Dimitrov’s participation in the ATP 1000 Paris Masters did not generate much traction since no one knew how well he would recover from such a devastating injury. With his emphatic win over Perricard, Dimitrov is officially back and could play a big factor in this tournament.

After his second-round flameout in Vienna, Medvedev targets another deep campaign at the Paris Masters, a tournament he ruled in 2020. Medvedev is 6-1 in his last 7 indoor matches and picked up an indoor title two weeks ago at the 2025 Almaty Open. Medvedev is 9-3 in indoor matches in 2025. Medvedev advanced to the second round with a straight-set win over Jaume Munar of Spain 6-1, 6-3.

Grigor Dimitrov vs Daniil Medvedev Form

Grigor Dimitrov and Daniil Medvedev Latest Matches

Grigor Dimitrov Latest matches
L L L W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Oct 27, 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
0 :  2
Grigor Dimitrov

Jul 7, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Jannik Sinner
abort
Grigor Dimitrov

Jul 5, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Grigor Dimitrov
3 :  0
Sebastian Ofner

Jul 3, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Grigor Dimitrov
3 :  1
Corentin Moutet

Jul 1, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Grigor Dimitrov
3 :  0
Yoshihito Nishioka

May 27, 2025 - ATP French Open

Ethan Quinn
abort
Grigor Dimitrov
Daniil Medvedev Latest matches
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Oct 28, 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters

Jaume Munar
0 :  2
Daniil Medvedev

Oct 23, 2025 - ATP Vienna

Daniil Medvedev
0 :  2
Corentin Moutet

Oct 22, 2025 - ATP Vienna

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  1
Nuno Borges

Oct 19, 2025 - Almaty Open

Corentin Moutet
1 :  2
Daniil Medvedev

Oct 18, 2025 - Almaty Open

James Duckworth
1 :  2
Daniil Medvedev

Oct 17, 2025 - Almaty Open

Fabian Marozsan
0 :  2
Daniil Medvedev

Grigor Dimitrov against Daniil Medvedev : Head to Head (H2H)

Grigor Dimitrov

33 %

Daniil Medvedev

67 %

Jul 7, 2024 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Grigor Dimitrov
- :  -
Daniil Medvedev

Mar 13, 2024 - ATP Indian Wells

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  0
Grigor Dimitrov

Nov 1, 2023 - Rolex Paris Masters

Grigor Dimitrov
2 :  1
Daniil Medvedev

Feb 18, 2023 - ATP Rotterdam

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  0
Grigor Dimitrov

Oct 29, 2022 - ATP Vienna

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  0
Grigor Dimitrov

Oct 13, 2021 - ATP Indian Wells

Daniil Medvedev
1 :  2
Grigor Dimitrov
Compare Grigor Dimitrov and Daniil Medvedev with our comparison tool.

Grigor Dimitrov - Daniil Medvedev Key Points

  1. Daniil Medvedev is 8-3 vs. Grigor Dimitrov in their head-to-head meeting.
  2. Daniil Medvedev is 9-3 in indoor matches in 2025.
  3. Grigor Dimitrov defeated Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 7-6, 6-1 in the first round of the 2025 Paris Masters.
  4. Grigor Dimitrov will be playing his second match since pulling his pectoral muscle at the 2025 Wimbledon Open.

Our Grigor Dimitrov vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction

Fearless Forecast: I am picking Daniil Medvedev to win and cover -3.5 games against Grigor Dimitrov. Medvedev has the momentum (6-1 in his last 7) and head-to-head edge (8-3) to really impose his will against Dimitrov, who will be playing only his second match after several months of inactivity. Dimitrov’s victory over a more physical Perricard is certainly impressive, but I don’t think he has the form to beat or even challenge the guy that defeated him 8 out of 11 times.

Our betting prediction for Grigor Dimitrov vs. Daniil Medvedev: Daniil Medvedev -3.5 Games

Prediction:

 

Daniil Medvedev -3.5 Games

-110
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Grigor Dimitrov vs Daniil Medvedev Picks