Greece vs Spain Prediction & Picks - EuroBasket

Europe - EuroBasket

Greece
9/4/25 14:30
Spain

Prediction:

 

Spain (+7.5) cover the spread

-104
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 by Paul Tamayo in EuroBasket Picks

Spain takes on Greece on Friday, September 5, at the Spyros Kyprianou Arena in Cyprus. 

Spain owns the FIBA head-to-head advantage over Greece, 13-4. Most recently, the Spaniards carved out an 84-77 win over the Greeks during the 2024 Olympics. 

Moreover, Spain has added motivation in Friday's game, as a win will see them through to the knockout stages in Riga. With a 2-2 record, they're currently in a three-way tie with Bosnia and Herzegovina and Georgia. 

Spain is coming off a 67-63 loss to Italy. They established an early lead, even leading the game by six points at halftime. But their offense sputtered in the second half, and they let the Italians escape. Santi Aldama produced a double-double performance of 19 points and 10 rebounds, while Segio De Larrea added 15 markers. 

Meanwhile, Greece has booked tickets to the Round of 16, although it's still unsure who their opponent will be. They're coming off an 80-77 loss to Bosnia and Herzegovina, a game that Giannis Antetokounmpo sat out.

Kostas Sloukas led the Greeks' charge with 15 points and 8 assists, while Tyler Dorsey fired four treys on his way to 14 markers. The other double-digit scorer for Greece is Kostas Papanikolaou, who put up 11 points on 50% shooting.

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Greece vs Spain Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L Series
1
Greece
Greece
7 4 3 1 -1
3
Spain
Spain
6 4 2 2 -1

Greece and Spain Latest Matches

Greece
Greece Latest matches
W L W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 2, 2025 - EuroBasket

Bosnia & Herzegovina
80 :  77
Greece

Aug 31, 2025 - EuroBasket

Greece
94 :  53
Georgia

Aug 30, 2025 - EuroBasket

Greece
96 :  69
Cyprus

Aug 28, 2025 - EuroBasket

Italy
66 :  75
Greece

Aug 24, 2025 - International Friendly Games

France
92 :  77
Greece

Aug 22, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Italy
74 :  76
Greece
W W W L W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 2, 2025 - EuroBasket

Bosnia & Herzegovina
80 :  77
Greece

Aug 28, 2025 - EuroBasket

Italy
66 :  75
Greece

Aug 24, 2025 - International Friendly Games

France
92 :  77
Greece

Aug 22, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Italy
74 :  76
Greece

Aug 20, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Latvia
86 :  104
Greece

Aug 14, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Montenegro
61 :  69
Greece
W L L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 31, 2025 - EuroBasket

Greece
94 :  53
Georgia

Aug 30, 2025 - EuroBasket

Greece
96 :  69
Cyprus

Feb 21, 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Greece
93 :  89
Czechia

Nov 21, 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Greece
72 :  73
Great Britain

Aug 6, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Greece
63 :  76
Germany

Aug 2, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Greece
77 :  71
Australia
Spain
Spain Latest matches
L L L W W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 2, 2025 - EuroBasket

Spain
63 :  67
Italy

Aug 31, 2025 - EuroBasket

Cyprus
47 :  91
Spain

Aug 30, 2025 - EuroBasket

Bosnia & Herzegovina
67 :  88
Spain

Aug 28, 2025 - EuroBasket

Spain
69 :  83
Georgia

Aug 23, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Spain
78 :  95
Germany

Aug 21, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Germany
106 :  105
Spain
L W L L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 31, 2025 - EuroBasket

Cyprus
47 :  91
Spain

Aug 30, 2025 - EuroBasket

Bosnia & Herzegovina
67 :  88
Spain

Aug 21, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Germany
106 :  105
Spain

Aug 14, 2025 - International Friendly Games

France
75 :  67
Spain

Aug 7, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Czechia
73 :  87
Spain

Aug 5, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Portugal
76 :  74
Spain
W L L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Sep 2, 2025 - EuroBasket

Spain
63 :  67
Italy

Aug 28, 2025 - EuroBasket

Spain
69 :  83
Georgia

Aug 23, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Spain
78 :  95
Germany

Aug 16, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Spain
73 :  78
France

Feb 20, 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Spain
66 :  83
Latvia

Nov 22, 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Spain
76 :  72
Slovakia

Greece against Spain : Head to Head (H2H)

Jul 30, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Greece
77 :  84
Spain

Greece - Spain Key Points

  1. Spain is coming off a 67-63 loss to Italy.
  2. Greece is coming off an 80-77 loss to Bosnia and Herzegovina.
  3. Spain needs a win to advance to the Round of 16.
  4. Greece has a record of 3-1.
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Our Greece vs Spain Prediction

Spain, the defending champions of EuroBasket, needs another win to advance to the knockout stages. They're currently on a three-way tie, but a win over Greece on Friday will see them through.

Look for Santi Aldama and the Hernangomez brothers to turn it up a notch on Friday. However, the Greeks would want to build momentum heading to Riga, despite having already advanced to the Round of 16. Our prediction for the Spain vs Greece match is: Spain (+7.5) cover the spread.

Prediction:

 

Spain (+7.5) cover the spread

-104
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Greece vs Spain Picks
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