Lithuania vs Greece Prediction & Picks - EuroBasket

Europe - EuroBasket

Lithuania
9/9/25 14:00
Greece

Prediction:

 

Greece will win

-298
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 by Lou Aguila | in EuroBasket Picks

After dropping 37 points against Israel in the round of 16 of the 2025 EuroBasket, Giannis Antetokounmpo looks to lead Greece again in their quarterfinal showdown with Lithuania, which features a plethora of talented big men.

DraftKings offers a payout of $235 for a $100 bet if Giannis Antetokounmpo, who is averaging 30.0 points in the continental basketball event, scores at least 35 points against Jonas Valanciunas-led Lithuania.

Current Form:

Greece barged into the quarterfinal round of the 2025 EuroBasket after outlasting Israel 84-79 in the round of 16. Antetokounmpo carried the whole of Greece on his back, powering through with 37 points and 10 rebounds. Greece, who led by as many as 14 points, shot 49 percent from the floor and outrebounded the Israelis 45-30.

Lithuania punched their ticket to the quarterfinal stage of the EuroBasket following an 88-79 win over the host nation, Latvia. The win propelled Lithuania back to the final 8 of the EuroBasket after losing to Spain, 94-102 OT, at the 2022 EuroBasket. Arnas Velicka scored a team-high 21 points while Deividis Sirvydis and Azoulas Tubilis scored 18 points each to help Lithuania overcome Kristaps Porzingis’ monster double-double of 34 points and 19 rebounds. The Lithuanians shot 49 percent from the floor and hounded Latvia to 40 percent field goal shooting. Lithuania also dominated the glass, outrebounding Latvia 32-22.

Up to $350 to bet on Lithuania - Greece! 

Limited Offer. Currently at FanDuel

Lithuania vs Greece Form

Lithuania and Greece Latest Matches

Lithuania
Lithuania Latest matches
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 6, 2025 - EuroBasket

Lithuania
88 :  79
Latvia

Sep 3, 2025 - EuroBasket

Lithuania
74 :  71
Sweden

Sep 1, 2025 - EuroBasket

Finland
78 :  81
Lithuania

Aug 30, 2025 - EuroBasket

Lithuania
88 :  107
Germany

Aug 29, 2025 - EuroBasket

Lithuania
94 :  67
Montenegro

Aug 27, 2025 - EuroBasket

Great Britain
70 :  94
Lithuania
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 6, 2025 - EuroBasket

Lithuania
88 :  79
Latvia

Sep 3, 2025 - EuroBasket

Lithuania
74 :  71
Sweden

Aug 30, 2025 - EuroBasket

Lithuania
88 :  107
Germany

Aug 29, 2025 - EuroBasket

Lithuania
94 :  67
Montenegro

Aug 22, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Lithuania
96 :  83
Iceland

Aug 20, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Lithuania
81 :  84
Turkiye
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 1, 2025 - EuroBasket

Finland
78 :  81
Lithuania

Aug 27, 2025 - EuroBasket

Great Britain
70 :  94
Lithuania

Aug 14, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Latvia
105 :  109
Lithuania

Aug 7, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Turkiye
70 :  91
Lithuania

Sep 9, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Latvia
98 :  63
Lithuania

Sep 3, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

USA
104 :  110
Lithuania
Greece
Greece Latest matches
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 7, 2025 - EuroBasket

Greece
84 :  79
Israel

Sep 4, 2025 - EuroBasket

Spain
86 :  90
Greece

Sep 2, 2025 - EuroBasket

Greece
77 :  80
Bosnia & Herzegovina

Aug 31, 2025 - EuroBasket

Georgia
53 :  94
Greece

Aug 30, 2025 - EuroBasket

Cyprus
69 :  96
Greece

Aug 28, 2025 - EuroBasket

Greece
75 :  66
Italy
W W L W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 7, 2025 - EuroBasket

Greece
84 :  79
Israel

Sep 2, 2025 - EuroBasket

Greece
77 :  80
Bosnia & Herzegovina

Aug 28, 2025 - EuroBasket

Greece
75 :  66
Italy

Aug 24, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Greece
77 :  92
France

Aug 22, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Greece
76 :  74
Italy

Aug 20, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Greece
104 :  86
Latvia
L W L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 4, 2025 - EuroBasket

Spain
86 :  90
Greece

Aug 31, 2025 - EuroBasket

Georgia
53 :  94
Greece

Aug 30, 2025 - EuroBasket

Cyprus
69 :  96
Greece

Aug 6, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Germany
76 :  63
Greece

Aug 2, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Australia
71 :  77
Greece

Jul 30, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Spain
84 :  77
Greece

Lithuania against Greece : Head to Head (H2H)

Lithuania

100 %

Greece

0 %

Sep 1, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Lithuania
92 :  67
Greece

Players list

Lithuania
Lithuania
D. Sirvydis M. Blazevic J. Valanciunas

A. Velicka

G. Radzevicius

Greece
Greece

K. Sloukas

T. Dorsey

G. Antetokounmpo

K. Papanikolaou

D. Mitoglou

Substitutes

Lithuania
Lithuania
L. Birutis

M. Normantas

R. Jokubaitis

I. Sargiunas

T. Sedekerskis

A. Tubelis

R. Giedraitis

Greece
Greece

V. Toliopoulos

D. Katsivelis

G. Larentzakis

P. Kalaitzakis

K. Antetokounmpo

T. Antetokounmpo

A. Samodurov

Lithuania - Greece Key Points

  1. Greece defeated Israel 84-79 in the round of 16 at the 2025 EuroBasket.
  2. Greece was led by Giannis Antetokounmpo, who recorded 37 points and 10 rebounds vs. Israel.
  3. Lithuania defeated Latvia 88-79 in the round of 16 at the 2025 EuroBasket.
  4. Lithuania is 3-4 head-to-head with Greece.
Up to $350 to bet on Lithuania - Greece! 

Limited Offer. Currently at FanDuel

Our Lithuania vs Greece Prediction

Lithuania and Greece are both traditional basketball powerhouses with a rich history of success at the European and world levels. In this particular matchup, I am leaning towards the Greeks only because they have a do-it-all juggernaut who can impact the outcome of the game immensely. Giannis is averaging 30.0 points per game in this tournament and has just exploded for 37 points against Israel. Although Lithuania has several talented big men in their roster, including NBA veteran Jonas Valanciunas, none of them possesses the mobility and athleticism to contain a freak of nature like Giannis.

no mistake, Greece will not have an easy time in this showdown with Lithuania, which has the depth and experience in a high-leverage match. As a matter of fact, Lithuania is trending as a solid bet to cover +7.0 points on DraftKings because they will not allow Greece to blow them out if they are to lose this match. Still, having Giannis playing at his prime is such a luxury a team can have in a win-or-go-home situation. Giannis understands that this is probably the last chance he will have a legitimate shot at a EuroBasket title since he will be 34 by the time the next continental tournament takes place. Judging by the staggering numbers he has pumped up in this tourney, Antetokounmpo means business, and it’s a scary sight for the remaining team in this competition.

Our betting prediction for Greece vs. Lithuania: Greece will win

Prediction:

 

Greece will win

-298
$350 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Lithuania vs Greece Picks