PGA Tour Picks & Predictions
PGA Tour Format and Predictions
The PGA Tour has long been the pinnacle of the golfing world. The best players on the planet compete on the PGA Tour, which holds several high-profile golf tournaments throughout the year.
Starting each year in January, the PGA Tour hosts a different tournament almost every week, all the way up until November. Events take place across the USA, and tournaments are also held in Mexico and Bermuda. In 2026, there’s even an event in Japan.
Each time there’s an event on the horizon, you’ll find free info and betting tips from the golf experts at SportyTrader, so don’t forget to check out our PGA Tour predictions.
Beginner Bettors - How does the PGA Tour work?
If you’re new to the PGA Tour, then you may be a little confused, but don’t worry, it’s easy to get the hang of.
The PGA Tour is the number one golf tour in the world. It comprises several different tournaments, all of which are played over four days.
Typical PGA Tour events follow the stroke-play system, meaning that players record the number of shots taken on each hole. There are no handicaps. Each player plays 18 holes on the first day and then 18 holes on the second day. After the second day, players who have not achieved a good enough score will be cut from the event. The remaining players then play 18 holes for a third time, followed by a fourth 18-hole round. At the end of the fourth round, the player with the lowest score is crowned the winner of the tournament. Each tournament has only one winner.
Now that you know how the PGA Tour works, you’re ready to start sinking your teeth into some picks!
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2026 PGA Tour Events
Throughout 2026, from January all the way up until late November, there’s a tournament almost every week. Here are some of the more notable PGA Tour events to look out for in 2026:
- January 22-25 - The American Express (Won by Scottie Scheffler)
- January 29-February 1 - Farmers Insurance Open (Won by Justin Rose)
- February 5-8 - Phoenix Open (Won by Chris Gotterup)
- February 19-22 - Genesis Invitational (Won by Jacob Bridgeman)
- March 5-8 - Arnold Palmer Invitational (Won by Akshay Bhatia)
- March 12-15 - The Players (Won by Cameron Young)
- March 19-22 - Valspar Championship (Won by Matt Fitzpatrick)
- March 26-29 - Houston Open
- April 2-5 - Valero Texas Open
- April 16-19 - RBC Heritage
- April 30-May 3 - Miami Championship
- May 7-10 - Truist Championship
- May 21-24 - The CJ Cup Byron Nelson
- May 28-31 - Charles Schwab Challenge
- June 4-7 - Memorial Tournament
- June 25-28 - Travelers Championship
- July 2-5 - John Deere Classic
- July 9-15 - Genesis Scottish Open
- July 30-August 2 - Rocket Classic
- August 13-16 - Fedex St. Jude Championship
- August 20-23 - BMW Championship
- August 27-30 - Tour Championship
- October 8-11 - Baycurrent Classic
- October 22-25 - Butterfield Bermuda Championship
- October 29-November 1 - Mexico Championship
PGA Tour Golf Betting Markets
If you’re new to golf betting, then you’ll want to know a little more about the type of golf bets that you can place.
Here are the most common bet types:
- Outright Winner - you bet on a player to win the event
- Top 5 Finish - you bet on a player to finish in the top 5
- Top 10 Finish - you bet on a player to finish in the top 10
- Top 20 Finish - you bet on a player to finish in the top 20
- Top 30 Finish - you bet on a player to finish in the top 30
- To Make the Cut - you bet on a player to make the cut after the first two days
- First Round Leader - you bet on a player to finish the first round as the leading scorer
- Player A vs Player B - you bet on one player to shoot a better score than another player
How to Make Expert Picks for the PGA Tour?
There is no right or wrong way when it comes to making PGA Tour golf picks, while everybody is different, but here a few basics that will leave you nicely positioned to make solid picks:
- Consider course suitability
- Consider previous course form
- Look into relevant strokes-gained stats
- Avoid recency bias
- Shop around for the best odds
- Hedge/split your bets
- Have a staking plan
- Be patient
Consider course suitability
Golf is a sport where not every player is suited to every course. Some players thrive when the course demands a more accurate approach, such as Pebble Beach, while others thrive when the course favors distance, such as Quail Hollow.
When betting on the PGA Tour, it’s a good idea to get an idea of what sort of course preference a player has. Doing so will help you to identify whether or not a certain player is a good course fit ahead of a particular tournament.
Consider previous course form
Similar to the above, some players not only like a certain type of course, but some players have a great relationship with a specific course. For example, Tiger Woods loved to get down to business at Augusta National, where he won The Masters no fewer than seven times.
There are many examples of players who have thrived on multiple occasions at the same course, suggesting that, for whatever reason, the course is a great fit for their style of play, and this is always something to consider when trying to identify viable major championship picks.
Look into relevant strokes-gained stats
Strokes gained stats are very important as they tell you how a player is performing in a certain area in relation to everyone else. Understanding relevant strokes gained stats is essential.
For example, at a certain tournament, each of the last ten winners may all have done really well in terms of strokes gained: off-the-tee, so you’ll want to be looking for players who consistently perform well in this area.
A more precise example is TPC Sawgrass, home of the Players Championship, where strokes gained: approach is key.
Avoid recency bias
Sure, it’s often a positive for a player to be in form, but being in form isn’t everything, especially in golf. A player might have an outstanding tournament one week, but they may now be heading to a tournament that takes place on a course where they’ve historically struggled, a course that just doesn’t suit their game, making the fact that they’ve been in hot recent form far less relevant.
Shop around for the best odds
You should always ensure to shop around for the best odds. Don’t rush to take a price, without checking to see if there’s a bigger price available elsewhere, as there often will be. If you’re consistently failing to get the best odds, then you’re simply lowering your chances of long-term success as a golf bettor.
Hedge/split your bets
It’s crucial to be aware of the fact that golf betting is super hard, especially when it comes to finding the winner, so don’t be afraid to hedge your bets by betting on multiple players in one tournament. It’s also a good idea to split your bets on certain players, so instead of only betting on a player to win, you can also bet on the same player to finish ‘Top 5’, ‘Top 10’, or ‘Top 20’.
Have a staking plan
This is important for all types of betting, but when it comes to golf betting, a proper staking plan is critical.
Set aside an amount that you can afford to lose and have this as a golf betting bank. You should then only bet a small percentage of your overall bank on each event, say 1%-5%.
Be patient
Golf betting requires lots of patience, more so than if you’re betting on other sports. If you’re placing single bets on sports such as NFL, soccer or basketball, betting on game winners, goal lines or even scorers, it’s not unreasonable to expect a relatively high strike rate of 40-50%, but this won’t be the case with golf betting, especially if you’re betting on the tournament winner.
Finding the winner of a golf tournament is very hard, and it’s not uncommon for golf bettors to go through long losing spells when betting on tournament winners. Even if you’re betting on players to finish in the top ten, you can easily hit lengthy losing runs, so it’s important to remain patient and stick to your staking plan.
Avoid these PGA Tour betting mistakes
In addition to the pointers above, here are some mistakes to avoid when golf betting:
- Not having a clear staking plan
- Not taking the best available odds
- Being over reliant on recent form
- Not understanding course suitability
By avoiding these mistakes and understanding all of the above information, you’ll be well placed to make expert picks.
PGA Tour Picks: Statistics you should know
When making picks, consider the following PGA Tour statistics/trends:
2025 PGA Tour Season
(41 Non-Major Events)
- OWGR* Top 10 Winners: 11 of 41
- OWGR* Top 25 Winners: 19 of 41
- Odds Under +1000 Winners: 5 of 41
- Odds Under +2000 Winners: 11 of 41
Two-Season Performance
(84 Non-Major Events)
- OWGR* Outside Top 50 Winners: 49 of 84
- Odds Over +5000 Winners: 47 of 84
- Odds Under +1000 Winners: 14 of 84
What the above stats show is that we shouldn’t be afraid to look beyond the head of the betting market, or the top of the rankings, when it comes to regular PGA Tour events (not majors). Over the last few years, more than half of the PGA Tour events played (not majors) have been won by players with big odds and by players who were ranked outside of the top 50.
In Summary: Making Accurate PGA Tour Picks
We’ve covered all the key areas, so by now you should know exactly what the PGA Tour is, how it works and what to expect from a calendar point of view. You’re now ready to begin your PGA Tour picks journey.
By following the advice above, you’re well placed to make informed golf-betting decisions, but for extra help, you’ll always have the suggestions of our golf betting experts, who will be on hand to provide their best picks ahead of each PGA Tour tournament.
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