Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Prediction & Picks - NBA
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by Lou Aguila | in NBA Picks
The Rockets are in a great position to cover a -9.5-point handicap in Thursday’s match with the starless Golden State Warriors at Toyota Center.
Current Form:
The Rockets will try to capture their fifth win in six games when they host the Warriors to begin a two-game home stand. The Rockets (38-22) are currently trailing the Spurs (44-17) by 5.5 games in the Southwest Division standings. Kevin Durant has been on a tear in their last three games, scoring 40 points in a 113-108 win vs. the Magic, 32 in a 105-115 loss to the Heat, and 30 points in a 123-118 victory over the Wizards.
The Warriors suffered their third setback in their last four games after letting the LA Clippers come back from a 17-point deficit in a 101-114 loss. With Stephen Curry, Kristaps Porzingis, and Jimmy Butler out due to injuries, the Warriors banked on the role players to step up and lead them in games. Brandin Podziemski scored 22 points in the loss to the Clippers, while Gui Santos secured an NBA contract after averaging 14.3 points over the last 10 games.
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Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
0.634 | 82 | 52 | 30 | 1 |
|
20
|
0.451 | 82 | 37 | 45 |
Houston Rockets and Golden State Warriors Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Mar 2, 2026 - NBA
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Mar 2, 2026 - NBA
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Mar 2, 2026 - NBA
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Feb 22, 2026 - NBA
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Feb 25, 2026 - NBA
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Houston Rockets against Golden State Warriors : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
Nov 26, 2025 - NBA
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Players list
A. Thompson
T. Eason
J. Smith
K. Durant
B. Podziemski
D. Melton
G. Santos
D. Green
Substitutes
A. Holiday
J. Okogie
R. Sheppard
J. Green
I. Crawford
D. Finney-Smith
M. Moody
L. Cryer
W. Richard
P. Spencer
G. Payton II
M. Leons
Houston Rockets - Golden State Warriors Key Points
- Houston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games.
- Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
- Golden State is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games.
- Golden State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games against Houston.
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Our Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Prediction
Fearless Forecast: The Rockets blow out the Warriors 124-108
The Rockets should get the job done against the severely undermanned Warriors. They won by only four points, 104-100, in their first meeting this season on November 26, but the Warriors had Stephen Curry and Jimmy Butler in this game. Curry and Butler combined for 35 points in the low-scoring ballgame. Without these two stars on Thursday, the Warriors face a near-impossible task of matching the Rockets’ firepower and defensive might. Golden State is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games, while Houston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games.
Our betting prediction for the Golden State Warriors vs. the Houston Rockets: The Rockets -9.5 points.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.