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by Stephen Abiola in WNBA Picks
Phoenix Mercury (4-1) versus Golden State Valkyries (2-2) is an exciting Western Conference matchup at Footprint Center. The Mercury have been sizzling hot, starting the campaign with back-to-back wins before suffering a setback against the Storm. However, they showed excellent resilience to recover from the 7-point defeat to win against the Mystics and the Sky at home. This superb form has seen them move just a game behind the untouchable Minnesota Lynx.
Golden State Valkyries, meanwhile, marked their league debut with a 17-point loss to the Sparks. However, the expansion side bounced back with two straight wins against the Mystics and the Sparks before the Liberty gave them a 25-point blowout. The defending champions bullied the newcomers from start to finish, as they did against weaker sides. Golden State must quickly learn from the rude “welcome aboard” moment and win ‘big’ games to add confidence to the team.
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Golden State Valkyries vs Phoenix Mercury Form
Table
Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2
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0.667 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
5
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0.286 | 7 | 2 | 5 | -4 |
Golden State Valkyries and Phoenix Mercury Latest Matches

2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Jun 1, 2025 - WNBA
May 29, 2025 - WNBA
May 27, 2025 - WNBA
May 23, 2025 - WNBA
May 21, 2025 - WNBA
May 16, 2025 - WNBA
1/3 (33%)
2/3 (67%)
Jun 1, 2025 - WNBA
May 21, 2025 - WNBA
May 16, 2025 - WNBA
1/3 (33%)
2/3 (67%)
May 29, 2025 - WNBA
May 27, 2025 - WNBA
May 23, 2025 - WNBA

3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jun 3, 2025 - WNBA
Jun 1, 2025 - WNBA
May 30, 2025 - WNBA
May 27, 2025 - WNBA
May 25, 2025 - WNBA
May 23, 2025 - WNBA
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
May 30, 2025 - WNBA
May 27, 2025 - WNBA
May 25, 2025 - WNBA
May 21, 2025 - WNBA
May 17, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 19, 2024 - WNBA
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Jun 3, 2025 - WNBA
Jun 1, 2025 - WNBA
May 23, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 25, 2024 - WNBA
Sep 22, 2024 - WNBA
Sep 17, 2024 - WNBA
Substitutes


Golden State Valkyries - Phoenix Mercury Key Points
- The Mercury won their last four matches at home.
- The Mercury are 4-1 in their last five matches.
- The point total went under in the last five Golden State games.
- The point total went under in five of the last seven Phoenix games.
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Our Golden State Valkyries vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction
This is the first time Phoenix and Golden State are locking horns during the 2025 regular season. These sides already met during the preseason, with the Valkyries picking up a morale-boosting 79-84 win at the Footprint Center. However, Phoenix is the better team now, scoring an average of 80.4 PPG, whereas the Valkyries average 73 PPG. The Mercury also has the best defense in the league, averaging 74.6 PAPG, whereas the eighth-placed Valkyries average 81.5 PAPG. Note that the Valkyries didn’t cover the spread in their two losses this season.
Our prediction for Phoenix Mercury vs Golden State Valkyries: Phoenix Mercury for the win.
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