Gilbert Burns vs Michael Morales Prediction & Picks - UFC Fight Night

UFC - UFC Fight Night

Gilbert Burns
5/17/25 20:00
Michael Morales

Prediction:

 

Michael Morales to win by decision.

+1300
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 by Stephen Abiola | in UFC Picks

Gilbert Burns (22-8-0) and Michael Morales (17-0-0) will square off at UFC Apex in Las Vegas on Saturday night. In this fight card, former welterweight title challenger Burns will look to maintain his top 10 ranking in the franchise against the undefeated Morales. “Durinho” is currently No. 8 in the official UFC rankings and will be looking to bounce back from his defeat against Sean Brady in November last year. Following this loss, Burns fell from No. 6 to No. 8 in the rankings.

Meanwhile, Michael Morales is largely considered one of the hottest prospects in the UFC. He joined the franchise in September 2021 after winning a contract via a unanimous decision victory over Nikolay Veretennikov on a DWCS fight card. He hasn’t looked back since then, going on a five-fight winning streak, including three wins via KO/TKO. He’ll undoubtedly be eager to protect this record against Gilbert Burns.

Gilbert Burns - Michael Morales Key Points

  1. Gilbert Burns lost four of his last six UFC fights.
  2. Three of the last four Gilbert Burns defeats have been via decision.
  3. Michael Morales won his last six UFC fights.
  4. The total rounds went over 2.5 in four of the last six Morales fights.

Our Gilbert Burns vs Michael Morales Prediction

The 38-year-old Gilbert Burns will enter this fight as the +540 betting underdog. This fight allows him to show the UFC world he’s still an elite in the welterweight division. We expect him to give the young hotshot a tough battle after lasting at least three rounds in his last three defeats. 

As for Morales, defeating the more experienced Burns will show that he belongs in the top 10 of the division. He’s the better striker in this matchup, averaging 5.42 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy of 48%. A win in this bout could position him as one of the UFC welterweight elites. 

Our prediction for Gilbert Burns vs Michael Morales: Michael Morales to win by decision.

Prediction:

 

Michael Morales to win by decision.

+1300
$1500 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Gilbert Burns vs Michael Morales Picks