France vs Germany Prediction & Picks - Men's Olympic Tournament

Olympics - Men's Olympic Tournament

France
8/8/24 11:30
Germany

Prediction:

 

France will win.

 

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 by Lou Aguila in Basketball Picks

France and Germany meet again on Thursday, but this time, the stakes are higher and the competition will be fiercer as both countries gun for a place in the gold medal match of men’s basketball at the 2024 Paris Olympics. France punched their ticket to the semifinals after properly executing a surgical game plan to knock down the previously unbeaten Canadian team. France head coach Vincent Collet abandoned the twin tower tandem of Victor Wembanyama and Rudy Gobert by benching the latter in favor of a smaller but more mobile lineup to match up with Canada’s athleticism and speed. The strategy made wonders for the host country as they stormed to a huge early lead before holding on to an 82-73 win. After sweeping the group stages with a 3-0 slate, Germany sustained its dominance into the knockout stages as they put away Giannis Antetokounmpo and Greece with relative ease, 76-63. Germany showed out on defense, slowing down the pace of the game to hold Greece to just 63 points.

France vs Germany Form

France and Germany Latest Matches

France
France Latest matches
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Aug 6, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

France
82 :  73
Canada

Aug 2, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

France
71 :  85
Germany

Jul 30, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Japan
90 :  94
France

Jul 27, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

France
78 :  66
Brazil

Sep 2, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Ivory Coast
77 :  87
France

Aug 31, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

France
82 :  55
Iran
W L W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 6, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

France
82 :  73
Canada

Aug 2, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

France
71 :  85
Germany

Jul 27, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

France
78 :  66
Brazil

Aug 31, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

France
82 :  55
Iran

Aug 27, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

France
86 :  88
Latvia

Sep 14, 2022 - EuroBasket

France
93 :  85
Italy
W L L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 30, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Japan
90 :  94
France

Sep 2, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Ivory Coast
77 :  87
France

Aug 29, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Lebanon
79 :  85
France

Aug 25, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Canada
95 :  65
France

Sep 18, 2022 - EuroBasket

Wsf1
88 :  76
France

Sep 16, 2022 - EuroBasket

Poland
54 :  95
France
Germany
Germany Latest matches
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Aug 6, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Germany
76 :  63
Greece

Aug 2, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

France
71 :  85
Germany

Jul 30, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Brazil
73 :  86
Germany

Jul 27, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Germany
97 :  77
Japan

Feb 25, 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Bulgaria
67 :  62
Germany

Feb 22, 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Germany
85 :  61
Montenegro
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Aug 6, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Germany
76 :  63
Greece

Jul 27, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Germany
97 :  77
Japan

Feb 22, 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Germany
85 :  61
Montenegro

Sep 10, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Germany
83 :  77
Serbia

Sep 6, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Germany
81 :  79
Latvia

Sep 3, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Germany
100 :  71
Slovenia
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Aug 2, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

France
71 :  85
Germany

Jul 30, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Brazil
73 :  86
Germany

Feb 25, 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Bulgaria
67 :  62
Germany

Sep 8, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

USA
111 :  113
Germany

Aug 27, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Australia
82 :  85
Germany

Sep 7, 2022 - EuroBasket

Hungary
71 :  106
Germany

France against Germany : Head to Head (H2H)

France

0 %

Germany

100 %

Aug 2, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

France
71 :  85
Germany

Sep 1, 2022 - EuroBasket

France
63 :  76
Germany

France - Germany: Form Analysis

France is averaging 81.3 points and 31.4 boards in the tournament. They generated 74.68 ball possession per 40 minutes, though their 7.4 assists per turnover is among worst in the tourney. After letting Germany and Japan score over 80 points, France upped its defensive work in the quarterfinals. They smothered Canada to just 73 points on 37.9 field goal shooting. Germany is scoring 86 points per game in the tournament, and at the same time, putting the clamps on their opponent. They have held all their opponents under 80 points while keeping their field goal shooting below 40%.

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Players list

France
France
V. Wembanyama N. Batum Goalkeeper

I. Cordinier

F. Ntilikina

Forward

G. Yabusele

Germany
Germany
D. Theis J. Voigtmann Goalkeeper

D. Schroder

A. Obst

Forward

F. Wagner

Substitutes

France
France
R. Gobert Goalkeeper

N. De Colo

M. Strazel

E. Fournier

A. Albicy

B. Coulibaly

Forward

M. Lessort

Germany
Germany
M. Wagner J. Thiemann Goalkeeper

N. Weiler-Babb

I. Bonga

M. Lo

Forward

O. Da Silva

N. Giffey

France & Germany Squad Analysis

France is expected to utilize a small ball lineup against Germany; therefore, it’s unlikely Rudy Gobert will play major minutes in this match. Victor Wembanyama leads France across three major stats department, averaging 14.5 points, 11.0 rebounds and 3.5 assists. Also, watch out for Guerschon Yabusele to deliver another solid game for France after dropping 22 points on Canada. Germany will lean on the playmaking Dennis Schroder and Franz Wagner to lead the way in this win-or-go-home match. Schroder averages 18.0 points and 8.8 assists per game in the tourney, while Wagner tops his team in scoring with 20.8 points per game.

France - Germany Key Points

  1. Germany clobbered Greece 76-73 in QF
  2. France stuns previously undefeated Canada 82-73 in QF.
  3. Germany has held their opponent under 80 points in the tournament.
  4. Victor Wembanyama scored 14 points in group stage game vs, Germany

Our France vs Germany Prediction

France dominated the head-to-head series with Germany 62-10, but their European neighbors obliterated them in the group stage, 85-71. This will be a lot tighter game than their previous match in the group stages, so expect numerous lead changes in this match. It’s definitely hard to pick a winner, but I feel that France’s coaching staff will devise another strategy to catch Germany off guard. Moreover, home-court advantage is going to be more of a factor in this match; don’t be surprised if France gets favorable calls from the officials. Our betting prediction for Germany vs. France: Bet on France to win, +170, at BetMGM.

Prediction:

 

France will win.

 

France vs Germany - Other Interesting Picks

Total UNDER 156.5

Odds -115

Again, this will be a physical, low-scoring ball game where every possession counts. Germany has been successful in slowing down the pace, dissecting their opponents’ defense in half-court sets. I think France will beat Germany in their own game this time around with sharper execution of their offense. Our betting prediction for Germany vs. France: Bet on the Total UNDER 156.5 points, -115, at Caesars Sportsbook.

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Victor Wembanyama Under 17.5 points

Odds -115

Like they did against Greece, Germany is going to slow down the pace, limiting shot attempts for France and Wembanyama. The Spurs big man still put up 14 points and 12 boards in the loss to Germany, though he did it on a 45% field goal shooting. Wembanyama was also held down to 20% shooting in their win over Canada. Bet on Victor Wembanyama to score UNDER 17.5 points, -115, at DraftKings.

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

France vs Germany Picks