Finland vs Germany Prediction & Picks - EuroBasket

Europe - EuroBasket

Finland
9/3/25 13:30
Germany

Prediction:

 

Finland (+13.5) cover the spread

-115
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 by Paul Tamayo | in EuroBasket Picks

Finland takes on Germany on Thursday, September 4, at the Tampere Deck Arena in Finland. 

This is shaping up to be one of the biggest games in the group stages. Both Finland and Germany have advanced to the Round of 16, but they still want to build momentum moving forward. 

Germany have won their last four games against Finland, including two in the 2023 World Cup Qualifiers and most recently, their matchup during the 2023 World Cup. It also helps that the Germans have been undefeated in four games in this year's EuroBasket. 

Germany is also fresh off a dominant 120-57 victory over Great Britain. Tristan Da Silva led all scorers with 25 points built on 5-7 shooting from three-point territory. Veteran guard Dennis Schroder added 19 points and 5 assists, while Franz Wagner produced a double-double performance of 18 points and 10 assists.

Meanwhile, the hosts Finland snapped their three-game winning streak with a close 81-78 loss to Lithuania. The Finnish offense struggled in the second and third quarters, and their comeback in the final period fell short.

Lauri Markkanen and Mikael Jantunen led Finland with 19 points apiece. They have a good opportunity to bounce back in Thursday's game against Germany.

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Finland vs Germany Form

Table

Teams % P W L Series
1 Germany
10 5 5 0 5
3 Finland
8 5 3 2

Finland and Germany Latest Matches

Finland
Finland Latest matches
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 1, 2025 - EuroBasket

Finland
78 :  81
Lithuania

Aug 30, 2025 - EuroBasket

Montenegro
65 :  85
Finland

Aug 29, 2025 - EuroBasket

Finland
109 :  79
Great Britain

Aug 27, 2025 - EuroBasket

Sweden
90 :  93
Finland

Aug 21, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Finland
106 :  87
Poland

Aug 17, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Poland
88 :  97
Finland
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 1, 2025 - EuroBasket

Finland
78 :  81
Lithuania

Aug 29, 2025 - EuroBasket

Finland
109 :  79
Great Britain

Aug 21, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Finland
106 :  87
Poland

Aug 11, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Finland
92 :  74
Belgium

Aug 8, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Finland
105 :  62
Belgium

Sep 2, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Finland
90 :  75
Venezuela
L L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 30, 2025 - EuroBasket

Montenegro
65 :  85
Finland

Aug 27, 2025 - EuroBasket

Sweden
90 :  93
Finland

Aug 17, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Poland
88 :  97
Finland

Aug 31, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Cape Verde
77 :  100
Finland

Aug 29, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Germany
101 :  75
Finland

Aug 27, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Japan
98 :  88
Finland
Germany
Germany Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Sep 1, 2025 - EuroBasket

Germany
120 :  57
Great Britain

Aug 30, 2025 - EuroBasket

Lithuania
88 :  107
Germany

Aug 29, 2025 - EuroBasket

Germany
105 :  83
Sweden

Aug 27, 2025 - EuroBasket

Montenegro
76 :  106
Germany

Aug 23, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Germany
95 :  78
Spain

Aug 21, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Spain
105 :  106
Germany
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 1, 2025 - EuroBasket

Germany
120 :  57
Great Britain

Aug 29, 2025 - EuroBasket

Germany
105 :  83
Sweden

Aug 23, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Germany
95 :  78
Spain

Aug 16, 2025 - Basketball Supercup

Germany
81 :  91
Serbia

Aug 15, 2025 - Basketball Supercup

Germany
73 :  71
Turkiye

Aug 10, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Germany
80 :  70
Slovenia
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Aug 30, 2025 - EuroBasket

Lithuania
88 :  107
Germany

Aug 27, 2025 - EuroBasket

Montenegro
76 :  106
Germany

Aug 21, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Spain
105 :  106
Germany

Aug 8, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Slovenia
89 :  103
Germany

Aug 8, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

France
73 :  69
Germany

Aug 2, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

France
71 :  85
Germany

Finland against Germany : Head to Head (H2H)

Finland

0 %

Germany

100 %

Aug 29, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Germany
101 :  75
Finland

Players list

Finland
Finland
L. Markkanen

S. Salin

E. Maxhuni

M. Jantunen

E. Valtonen

Germany
Germany
D. Theis

D. Schroder

A. Obst

I. Bonga

F. Wagner

Substitutes

Finland
Finland
A. Madsen

M. Little

A. Gustavson

J. Grandison

I. Seppala

O. Nkamhoua

Germany
Germany
L. Kratzer J. Thiemann

M. Lo

J. Hollatz

T. da Silva

O. Da Silva

Finland - Germany Key Points

  1. Germany is coming off a 120-57 victory against Great Britain.
  2. Finland is coming off an 81-78 loss to Lithuania.
  3. Germany is undefeated in four games.
  4. Finland's Lauri Markkanen is averaging 29.0 points.
Up to $350 to bet on Finland - Germany! 

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Our Finland vs Germany Prediction

Finland is coming off a painful three-point loss to Lithuania, but they still have the home court advantage against Germany on Thursday. After all, Lauri Markkanen is still averaging 29.0 points this tournament.

Germany remains undefeated in four games so far, a testament to their excellent roster depth and chemistry this year. They're still the favorites against Finland, but this might be their most difficult game yet. Our prediction for the Finland vs Germany match is: Finland (+13.5) cover the spread.

Prediction:

 

Finland (+13.5) cover the spread

-115
$350 offered for betting!

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