Germany vs Finland Prediction & Picks - EuroBasket

Europe - EuroBasket

Germany
9/3/25 13:30
Finland

Prediction:

 

Finland (+13.5) cover the spread

-115
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 by Paul Tamayo in EuroBasket Picks

Finland takes on Germany on Thursday, September 4, at the Tampere Deck Arena in Finland. 

This is shaping up to be one of the biggest games in the group stages. Both Finland and Germany have advanced to the Round of 16, but they still want to build momentum moving forward. 

Germany have won their last four games against Finland, including two in the 2023 World Cup Qualifiers and most recently, their matchup during the 2023 World Cup. It also helps that the Germans have been undefeated in four games in this year's EuroBasket. 

Germany is also fresh off a dominant 120-57 victory over Great Britain. Tristan Da Silva led all scorers with 25 points built on 5-7 shooting from three-point territory. Veteran guard Dennis Schroder added 19 points and 5 assists, while Franz Wagner produced a double-double performance of 18 points and 10 assists.

Meanwhile, the hosts Finland snapped their three-game winning streak with a close 81-78 loss to Lithuania. The Finnish offense struggled in the second and third quarters, and their comeback in the final period fell short.

Lauri Markkanen and Mikael Jantunen led Finland with 19 points apiece. They have a good opportunity to bounce back in Thursday's game against Germany.

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Germany vs Finland Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L Series
1
Germany
Germany
8 4 4 0 4
3
Finland
Finland
7 4 3 1 -1

Germany and Finland Latest Matches

Germany
Germany Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Sep 1, 2025 - EuroBasket

Great Britain
57 :  120
Germany

Aug 30, 2025 - EuroBasket

Germany
107 :  88
Lithuania

Aug 29, 2025 - EuroBasket

Sweden
83 :  105
Germany

Aug 27, 2025 - EuroBasket

Germany
106 :  76
Montenegro

Aug 23, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Spain
78 :  95
Germany

Aug 21, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Germany
106 :  105
Spain
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 1, 2025 - EuroBasket

Great Britain
57 :  120
Germany

Aug 29, 2025 - EuroBasket

Sweden
83 :  105
Germany

Aug 23, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Spain
78 :  95
Germany

Aug 16, 2025 - Basketball Supercup

Serbia
91 :  81
Germany

Aug 15, 2025 - Basketball Supercup

Turkiye
71 :  73
Germany

Aug 10, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Slovenia
70 :  80
Germany
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Aug 30, 2025 - EuroBasket

Germany
107 :  88
Lithuania

Aug 27, 2025 - EuroBasket

Germany
106 :  76
Montenegro

Aug 21, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Germany
106 :  105
Spain

Aug 8, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Germany
103 :  89
Slovenia

Feb 20, 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Germany
95 :  76
Montenegro

Nov 22, 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Germany
72 :  73
Sweden
Finland
Finland Latest matches
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 1, 2025 - EuroBasket

Lithuania
81 :  78
Finland

Aug 30, 2025 - EuroBasket

Finland
85 :  65
Montenegro

Aug 29, 2025 - EuroBasket

Great Britain
79 :  109
Finland

Aug 27, 2025 - EuroBasket

Finland
93 :  90
Sweden

Aug 21, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Poland
87 :  106
Finland

Aug 17, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Finland
97 :  88
Poland
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 1, 2025 - EuroBasket

Lithuania
81 :  78
Finland

Aug 29, 2025 - EuroBasket

Great Britain
79 :  109
Finland

Aug 21, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Poland
87 :  106
Finland

Aug 11, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Belgium
74 :  92
Finland

Aug 8, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Belgium
62 :  105
Finland

Feb 21, 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Serbia
105 :  95
Finland
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Aug 30, 2025 - EuroBasket

Finland
85 :  65
Montenegro

Aug 27, 2025 - EuroBasket

Finland
93 :  90
Sweden

Aug 17, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Finland
97 :  88
Poland

Feb 24, 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Finland
83 :  77
Denmark

Nov 24, 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Finland
64 :  81
Georgia

Aug 31, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Finland
100 :  77
Cape Verde

Germany against Finland : Head to Head (H2H)

Aug 29, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Finland
75 :  101
Germany

Germany - Finland Key Points

  1. Germany is coming off a 120-57 victory against Great Britain.
  2. Finland is coming off an 81-78 loss to Lithuania.
  3. Germany is undefeated in four games.
  4. Finland's Lauri Markkanen is averaging 29.0 points.
Up to $300 to bet on Germany - Finland! 

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Our Germany vs Finland Prediction

Finland is coming off a painful three-point loss to Lithuania, but they still have the home court advantage against Germany on Thursday. After all, Lauri Markkanen is still averaging 29.0 points this tournament.

Germany remains undefeated in four games so far, a testament to their excellent roster depth and chemistry this year. They're still the favorites against Finland, but this might be their most difficult game yet. Our prediction for the Finland vs Germany match is: Finland (+13.5) cover the spread.

Prediction:

 

Finland (+13.5) cover the spread

-115
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Germany vs Finland Picks
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