Genoa vs Napoli Prediction & Picks - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

Genoa
2/7/26 12:00
Napoli

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5

+148
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 by Erik Gibbs | in Serie A Picks

Genoa and Napoli match up this Saturday as teams who have lived in very different parts of the Serie A table during the season. Genoa's record has included a high draw count and a relatively low win total, which usually indicates a side that can stay in games but struggles to turn balance into three points. That profile often shows up in close scorelines, where one late moment decides the outcome. Genoa have also had matches where they score but still concede enough to lose, reinforcing the sense that their margins are thin.

Napoli's results point to a stronger points pace, driven by a higher win count than most of the mid-table cluster. They have looked like a team that can manage games to the finish line, especially when they score first. Even without detailing individual performances, their overall record suggests they have been more reliable at converting good spells into wins. That tends to travel well, even in fixtures where the home side tries to slow the game down.

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Genoa vs Napoli Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2 Napoli
76 38 23 7 8 +22
16 Genoa
41 38 10 11 17 -10

Genoa and Napoli Latest Matches

Genoa
Genoa Latest matches
D D W D W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jan 30, 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
3 :  2
Genoa

Jan 25, 2026 - Serie A

Genoa
3 :  2
Bologna

Jan 18, 2026 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  0
Genoa

Jan 12, 2026 - Serie A

Genoa
3 :  0
Cagliari

Jan 8, 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  1
Genoa

Jan 3, 2026 - Serie A

Genoa
1 :  1
Pisa SC
W L L D W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jan 25, 2026 - Serie A

Genoa
3 :  2
Bologna

Jan 12, 2026 - Serie A

Genoa
3 :  0
Cagliari

Jan 3, 2026 - Serie A

Genoa
1 :  1
Pisa SC

Dec 21, 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  1
Atalanta

Dec 14, 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
1 :  2
Inter Milan

Nov 29, 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
2 :  1
Hellas Verona
L W L D D L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jan 30, 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
3 :  2
Genoa

Jan 18, 2026 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  0
Genoa

Jan 8, 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  1
Genoa

Dec 29, 2025 - Serie A

Roma
3 :  1
Genoa

Dec 8, 2025 - Serie A

Udinese
1 :  2
Genoa

Dec 3, 2025 - Coppa Italia

Atalanta
4 :  0
Genoa
Napoli
Napoli Latest matches
D W D L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jan 31, 2026 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  1
Fiorentina

Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League

Napoli
2 :  3
Chelsea

Jan 25, 2026 - Serie A

Juventus
3 :  0
Napoli

Jan 20, 2026 - Champions League

FC Copenhagen
1 :  1
Napoli

Jan 17, 2026 - Serie A

Napoli
1 :  0
Sassuolo

Jan 14, 2026 - Serie A

Napoli
0 :  0
Parma
W D D W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jan 31, 2026 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  1
Fiorentina

Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League

Napoli
2 :  3
Chelsea

Jan 17, 2026 - Serie A

Napoli
1 :  0
Sassuolo

Jan 14, 2026 - Serie A

Napoli
0 :  0
Parma

Jan 7, 2026 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  2
Hellas Verona

Dec 22, 2025 - Italian Super Cup

Napoli
2 :  0
Bologna
L W W D D L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Jan 25, 2026 - Serie A

Juventus
3 :  0
Napoli

Jan 20, 2026 - Champions League

FC Copenhagen
1 :  1
Napoli

Jan 11, 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
2 :  2
Napoli

Jan 4, 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  2
Napoli

Dec 28, 2025 - Serie A

Cremonese
0 :  2
Napoli

Dec 14, 2025 - Serie A

Udinese
1 :  0
Napoli

Genoa against Napoli : Head to Head (H2H)

Genoa

0 %

Draw

50 %

Napoli

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.17
Total goals
83.33%
BTTS
1.17
Goals scored
2
Goals conceded
83.33%
Over 2.5
16.67%
Under 2.5

Oct 5, 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  1
Genoa

May 11, 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  2
Genoa

Dec 21, 2024 - Serie A

Genoa
1 :  2
Napoli

Feb 17, 2024 - Serie A

Napoli
1 :  1
Genoa

Sep 16, 2023 - Serie A

Genoa
2 :  2
Napoli

May 15, 2022 - Serie A

Napoli
3 :  0
Genoa

Genoa against Napoli Lineups: Starting 11

Genoa

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

16
J. Bijlow
27
A. Marcandalli
5
L. Ostigard
22
J. Vasquez
15
B. Norton-Cuffy
32
M. Frendrup
17
R. Malinovskyi
77
M. Ellertsson
3
A. Martin
29
L. Colombo
9
V. Carvalho
19
R. Hojlund
20
E. Elmas
26
A. Vergara
37
L. Spinazzola
8
S. Mctominay
68
S. Lobotka
3
M. Gutierrez
5
J. Jesus
4
A. Buongiorno
13
A. Rrahmani
1
A. Meret

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Napoli

Substitutes

Genoa
Genoa
Goalkeeper

D. Sommariva

N. Leali

Defender

S. Otoa

N. Zatterstrom

S. Sabelli

Midfielder

J. Onana

P. Masini

R. Malinovskyi 74'

Amorim

M. Cornet

V. Carvalho 89'

Forward

J. Messias

A. Martin 74'

J. Ekhator

C. Ekuban

L. Colombo 64'

Napoli
Napoli
Goalkeeper

V. Milinkovic-Savic

N. Contini

Defender

M. Olivera

Giovane 77'

S. Beukema

A. Buongiorno 60'

Midfielder

V. Prisco

A. Santos

E. De Chiara

Forward

Giovane

S. Mctominay 46'

R. Lukaku

Missing players

Genoa
Genoa
Goalkeeper

B. Siegrist

Napoli
Napoli
Defender

G. Di Lorenzo

P. Mazzocchi

Midfielder

F. Anguissa

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Genoa
CD Huachipato Napoli
Top Goalscorer
Italy L. Colombo (7 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Denmark R. Hojlund (12 Goals)
Best assists
Spain A. Martin (4 Assists)
Best assists
Brazil Giovane (6 Assists)

Genoa - Napoli Key Points

  1. The Over is 3-2 in Napoli's last 5 games
  2. The Over is 3-2 in Genoa's last 5 games
  3. Napoli are 2-2-1 ATS in their last 5 games
  4. Genoa are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games
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Our Genoa vs Napoli Prediction

Genoa's league scoring has been led by Lorenzo Colombo, who tops their Serie A goals list this season. Their supporting production has been more dispersed, which can be fine, but it can also leave them reliant on one forward converting a high percentage of chances.

Napoli's top league scorers have been more clustered, with Rasmus Højlund leading the team in Serie A goals and Scott McTominay also contributing heavily in the scoring column. That balance matters in tight away matches because it reduces predictability around where the next goal comes from.

A neutral prediction leans Napoli because their season-long results show a stronger ability to win, rather than merely compete. Genoa's pathway is clear: keep the game low-event, keep the first half level, and force Napoli into frustration. If that plan fails early, Napoli have enough scoring sources to widen the gap. The most likely script is Napoli edging it by a goal, with Genoa needing near-perfect efficiency to flip it. Our prediction for Genoa vs. Napoli: Over 2.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5

+148
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Genoa vs Napoli Picks