Genoa vs Atalanta Prediction & Picks - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

Genoa
12/21/25 14:45
Atalanta

Prediction:

 

More than 2.5 goals

+104
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 by Erik Gibbs in Serie A Picks

Genoa approach this Sunday's Serie A fixture against Atalanta still deeply involved in the relegation battle, but their recent league form has clearly shifted the tone of their season. After failing to register a single win in their opening nine matches, Genoa made a managerial change in late October, and the impact has been evident in their results. Over the following six league fixtures, Genoa went unbeaten, collecting three wins and two draws and showing a level of competitiveness that had been absent earlier in the campaign. That run allowed them to climb off the bottom of the table and into 16th place, where they now sit on 14 points from 15 matches.

During this stretch, Genoa demonstrated improved attacking output, scoring multiple goals in several matches, while also showing greater resilience in tight situations. Victories against Hellas Verona and Udinese, both by narrow margins, highlighted a growing ability to protect leads. Even when their unbeaten run ended, Genoa remained competitive, pushing league leaders Inter Milan hard in a narrow home defeat. While a heavy Coppa Italia loss to Atalanta exposed lingering weaknesses, Genoa's league trajectory suggests a team growing in belief, particularly when playing at home.

Atalanta enter the match positioned in mid-table, a reflection of an inconsistent Serie A campaign so far. With 19 points from 15 matches, their record shows an even spread of wins, draws, and losses, underlining the lack of sustained momentum. Recent league performances have followed a familiar pattern, with positive results often followed by setbacks. A home win over Cagliari helped stabilize their position after a disappointing defeat away to Verona earlier in the month.

Strong victories against higher-ranked opponents earlier in the season showed Atalanta's potential, but defensive lapses and dropped points have prevented a climb up the standings. Away from home, results have been particularly uneven, with limited success since early autumn. Despite this, Atalanta remain active in cup competitions and have shown an ability to raise their level outside the league. Overall, they arrive as the higher-ranked side on paper, but one still searching for consistency in Serie A play.

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Genoa vs Atalanta Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
12
Atalanta
Atalanta
19 15 4 7 4 1
16
Genoa
Genoa
14 15 3 5 7 -7

Genoa and Atalanta Latest Matches

Genoa
Genoa Latest matches
D D W L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Dec 14, 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
1 :  2
Inter Milan

Dec 8, 2025 - Serie A

Udinese
1 :  2
Genoa

Dec 3, 2025 - Coppa Italia

Atalanta
4 :  0
Genoa

Nov 29, 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
2 :  1
Hellas Verona

Nov 22, 2025 - Serie A

Cagliari
3 :  3
Genoa

Nov 9, 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
2 :  2
Fiorentina
L D L D W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Dec 14, 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
1 :  2
Inter Milan

Nov 29, 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
2 :  1
Hellas Verona

Nov 9, 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
2 :  2
Fiorentina

Oct 29, 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  2
Cremonese

Oct 19, 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  0
Parma

Sep 29, 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  3
Lazio
L L W D L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Dec 8, 2025 - Serie A

Udinese
1 :  2
Genoa

Dec 3, 2025 - Coppa Italia

Atalanta
4 :  0
Genoa

Nov 22, 2025 - Serie A

Cagliari
3 :  3
Genoa

Nov 3, 2025 - Serie A

Sassuolo
1 :  2
Genoa

Oct 26, 2025 - Serie A

Torino FC
2 :  1
Genoa

Oct 5, 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  1
Genoa
Atalanta
Atalanta Latest matches
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Dec 13, 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  1
Cagliari

Dec 9, 2025 - Champions League

Atalanta
2 :  1
Chelsea

Dec 6, 2025 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
3 :  1
Atalanta

Dec 3, 2025 - Coppa Italia

Atalanta
4 :  0
Genoa

Nov 30, 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  0
Fiorentina

Nov 26, 2025 - Champions League

Eintracht Frankfurt
0 :  3
Atalanta
D L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Dec 13, 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  1
Cagliari

Dec 9, 2025 - Champions League

Atalanta
2 :  1
Chelsea

Dec 3, 2025 - Coppa Italia

Atalanta
4 :  0
Genoa

Nov 30, 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  0
Fiorentina

Nov 9, 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
0 :  3
Sassuolo

Oct 28, 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  1
AC Milan
D L W L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Dec 6, 2025 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
3 :  1
Atalanta

Nov 26, 2025 - Champions League

Eintracht Frankfurt
0 :  3
Atalanta

Nov 22, 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
3 :  1
Atalanta

Nov 5, 2025 - Champions League

Marseille
0 :  1
Atalanta

Nov 1, 2025 - Serie A

Udinese
1 :  0
Atalanta

Oct 25, 2025 - Serie A

Cremonese
1 :  1
Atalanta

Genoa against Atalanta : Head to Head (H2H)

Genoa

0 %

Draw

17 %

Atalanta

83 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.67
Total goals
50%
BTTS
0.67
Goals scored (Team 1)
3
Goals scored (Team 2)
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5

Dec 3, 2025 - Coppa Italia

Atalanta
4 :  0
Genoa

May 17, 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
2 :  3
Atalanta

Oct 5, 2024 - Serie A

Atalanta
5 :  1
Genoa

Feb 11, 2024 - Serie A

Genoa
1 :  4
Atalanta

Oct 22, 2023 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  0
Genoa

Mar 13, 2022 - Serie A

Atalanta
0 :  0
Genoa

Atalanta v Genoa last Lineups

Genoa

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

1
N. Leali
27
A. Marcandalli
34
S. Otoa
22
J. Vasquez
15
B. Norton-Cuffy
32
M. Frendrup
17
R. Malinovskyi
77
M. Ellertsson
3
A. Martin
9
V. Carvalho
29
L. Colombo
11
A. Lookman
9
G. Scamacca
17
C. De Ketelaere
47
L. Bernasconi
13
Ederson
15
M. De Roon
77
D. Zappacosta
23
S. Kolasinac
19
B. Djimsiti
3
O. Kossounou
29
M. Carnesecchi

Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2

Atalanta

Missing players

Genoa
Genoa
Goalkeeper

E. Lysionok

B. Siegrist

Defender

L. Ostigard

Midfielder

M. Cornet

H. Cuenca

J. Onana

Forward

J. Messias

Atalanta
Atalanta
Defender

M. Bakker

R. Bellanova

B. Djimsiti

O. Kossounou

Forward

A. Lookman

K. Sulemana

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Genoa
CD Huachipato Atalanta
Top Goalscorer
Norway L. Ostigard (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Italy G. Scamacca (6 Goals)
Best assists
Spain A. Martin (2 Assists)
Ghana C. Ekuban (2 Assists)
Best assists
Montenegro N. Krstovic (3 Assists)
Belgium C. De Ketelaere (3 Assists)

Genoa and Atalanta Stats in Serie A

Genoa
Genoa
Atalanta
Atalanta
20%
Victories
27%
33%
Draw
47%
47%
Defeats
27%
2.6
Total goals per match
2.47
1.07
Goals scored per match
1.27
1.53
Goals conceded per match
1.2
67%
Over 2.5
40%
33%
Under 2.5
60%
67%
BTTS
67%
13%
No goals conceded
20%

Genoa - Atalanta Key Points

  1. The Over is 5-0 in Genoa's last 5 games
  2. The Over is 4-1 in Atalanta's last 5 games
  3. Genoa are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games
  4. Atalanta are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games
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Our Genoa vs Atalanta Prediction

Genoa's recent upturn has been supported by the influence of Ruslan Malinovskyi, who has contributed goals and assists since arriving in midfield. His set-piece delivery and shooting from distance have directly impacted results during the unbeaten run. In attack, Vitinha has produced tangible returns, scoring key goals and helping improve Genoa's overall scoring output in recent matches.

For Atalanta, Gianluca Scamacca has delivered decisive individual results, including a two-goal performance against Cagliari that secured all three points. Ademola Lookman continues to contribute through goals and assists, offering pace and directness in advanced areas.

Genoa's improved home form suggests they can remain competitive, but Atalanta's greater attacking depth gives them a slight edge. A narrow away win or a draw appears the most likely outcome, with a 1–1 scoreline or a 2–1 Atalanta victory fitting the balance of form. Our prediction for Genoa vs. Atalanta: Over 2.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

More than 2.5 goals

+104
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Genoa vs Atalanta Picks