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Genoa vs AC Milan Prediction & Picks - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

Genoa
5/5/25 14:45
AC Milan

Prediction:

 

Milan to win and under 2.5 goals

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 by Simon Day in Serie A Picks

AC Milan travel to Genoa on Monday night knowing that victory is essential if they are to retain hopes of qualifying for next season's European competitions. With four games remaining, Sergio Conceicao's side are six points off the top six, so in all likelihood they would need to win all of their remaining games to have any chance of bridging the gap to the European places. 

Fortunately for Milan, their opponents on Monday night have very little to play for. Genoa did look to be in relegation trouble during the first half of the campaign, but thanks to a series of much improved displays under new manager Patrick Viera, they have moved into a comfortable mid table position. Defence has been the key ingredient of the Genoa revival, and Viera's side have now conceded just two goals in their last seven Serie A matches. 

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Genoa vs AC Milan Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
9
AC Milan
AC Milan
54 34 15 9 10 15
13
Genoa
Genoa
39 34 9 12 13 -12

Genoa and AC Milan Latest Matches

Genoa
Genoa Latest matches
W L W D L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Apr 27, 2025 - Serie A

Como 1907
1 :  0
Genoa

Apr 23, 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  2
Lazio

Apr 13, 2025 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
0 :  0
Genoa

Apr 4, 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
1 :  0
Udinese

Mar 29, 2025 - Serie A

Juventus
1 :  0
Genoa

Mar 14, 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
2 :  1
Lecce
W W D W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Apr 23, 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  2
Lazio

Apr 4, 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
1 :  0
Udinese

Mar 14, 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
2 :  1
Lecce

Mar 2, 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
1 :  1
Empoli

Feb 17, 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
2 :  0
Venezia

Jan 27, 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
2 :  0
Monza
D L D L D L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

Apr 27, 2025 - Serie A

Como 1907
1 :  0
Genoa

Apr 13, 2025 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
0 :  0
Genoa

Mar 29, 2025 - Serie A

Juventus
1 :  0
Genoa

Mar 7, 2025 - Serie A

Cagliari
1 :  1
Genoa

Feb 22, 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
1 :  0
Genoa

Feb 8, 2025 - Serie A

Torino FC
1 :  1
Genoa
AC Milan
AC Milan Latest matches
D D W L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Apr 27, 2025 - Serie A

Venezia
0 :  2
AC Milan

Apr 23, 2025 - Coppa Italia

Inter Milan
0 :  3
AC Milan

Apr 20, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
0 :  1
Atalanta

Apr 11, 2025 - Serie A

Udinese
0 :  4
AC Milan

Apr 5, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  2
Fiorentina

Apr 2, 2025 - Coppa Italia

AC Milan
1 :  1
Inter Milan
D L W D D L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Apr 20, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
0 :  1
Atalanta

Apr 5, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  2
Fiorentina

Apr 2, 2025 - Coppa Italia

AC Milan
1 :  1
Inter Milan

Mar 15, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  1
Como 1907

Mar 2, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  2
Lazio

Feb 18, 2025 - Champions League

AC Milan
1 :  1
Feyenoord
L W L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Apr 27, 2025 - Serie A

Venezia
0 :  2
AC Milan

Apr 23, 2025 - Coppa Italia

Inter Milan
0 :  3
AC Milan

Apr 11, 2025 - Serie A

Udinese
0 :  4
AC Milan

Mar 30, 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  1
AC Milan

Mar 8, 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
2 :  3
AC Milan

Feb 27, 2025 - Serie A

Bologna
2 :  1
AC Milan

Genoa against AC Milan : Head to Head (H2H)

Genoa

0 %

Draw

33 %

AC Milan

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.67
Total goals
33%
BTTS
0.67
Goals scored (Team 1)
2
Goals scored (Team 2)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

Dec 15, 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
0 :  0
Genoa

May 5, 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
3 :  3
Genoa

Oct 7, 2023 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  1
AC Milan

Apr 15, 2022 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  0
Genoa

Jan 13, 2022 - Coppa Italia

AC Milan
3 :  1
Genoa

Dec 1, 2021 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  3
AC Milan

AC Milan v Genoa last Lineups

Genoa

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

1
N. Leali
53
L. Kasa
22
J. Vasquez
4
K. De Winter
69
H. Ahanor
73
P. Masini
32
M. Frendrup
3
A. Martin
15
B. Norton Cuffy
2
M. Thorsby
21
J. Ekhator
10
R. Leao
90
T. Abraham
11
C. Pulisic
19
T. Hernandez
14
T. Reijnders
29
Y. Fofana
20
A. Jimenez
31
S. Pavlovic
46
M. Gabbia
23
F. Tomori
16
M. Maignan

Formation : 3 - 4 - 3

AC Milan

Missing players

Genoa
Genoa
Defender

A. Matturro

Midfielder

H. Cuenca

R. Malinovskyi

F. Miretti

J. Onana

Forward

C. Ekuban

AC Milan
AC Milan
Defender

Emerson

Forward

L. Jovic

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Genoa
CD Huachipato AC Milan
Top Goalscorer
Italy A. Pinamonti (8 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
USA C. Pulisic (14 Goals)
Best assists
Spain A. Martin (4 Assists)
Best assists
Portugal R. Leao (9 Assists) , 
USA C. Pulisic (9 Assists)

Genoa and AC Milan Stats in Serie A

Genoa
Genoa
AC Milan
AC Milan
26%
Victories
44%
35%
Draw
26%
38%
Defeats
29%
2.06
Total goals per match
2.68
0.85
Goals scored per match
1.56
1.21
Goals conceded per match
1.12
32%
Over 2.5
59%
68%
Under 2.5
41%
41%
BTTS
56%
32%
No goals conceded
35%

Genoa - AC Milan Key Points

  1. Milan have won their last 3 away matches without conceding a goal
  2. There have been under 2.5 goals in 6 of Genoa's last 7 matches
  3. Milan have gone 11 away matches without a draw
  4. Genoa have scored just 29 Serie A goals in 34 games this season
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Our Genoa vs AC Milan Prediction

Milan have been excellent on the road in recent weeks, so we are predicting Sergio Conceicao's men to make four away wins on the spin. Genoa have also been playing well over the last month, but they came unstuck against Lazio in their last home game and we just don't think they have the quality to compete with the top teams in Serie A. Given those factors, plus the home side's superb defensive record, we are predicting Milan to win a low scoring contest. Our prediction for Genoa vs AC Milan is: Milan to win and under 2.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Milan to win and under 2.5 goals

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Genoa vs AC Milan Picks
Up to $250 to bet on Genoa - AC Milan! 

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