Freiburg vs Bayern Munich Prediction & Picks - Bundesliga

Germany - Bundesliga

Freiburg
4/4/26 09:30
Bayern Munich

Prediction:

 

Yuito Suzuki 1+ Shots on Target

+145
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 by Mikaella McIntosh | in Bundesliga Picks

This Saturday, Freiburg continue to battle for the European slots in a tough assignment against table-toppers Bayern. The hosts are big outsiders in this game, but I am drawn to Freiburg’s number 10, Yuito Suzuki, to register a shot on target. 

The Freiburg forwards are highly priced considering they’re on home soil, likely due to the fact they’re playing Bayern. But, looking at their track record when hosting the top teams, they have actually thrived when playing on the break. In said games, well, in the two he’s made an appearance, the Japanese was a threat, producing a total of six shots.

Moreover, Freiburg are returning home after a 1-2 win last time out, as well as basking in a 5-1 UEL victory the last time they played here at Europa-Park Stadion, where they also recently put three goals past Leverkusen. 

There’s no need to go into Bayern’s formidable form this season, but they have actually been conceding quite a few goals recently, whilst also allowing two from Freiburg in the reverse fixture - where Suzuki performed exceptionally, creating three shots with one hitting the net.

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Freiburg vs Bayern Munich Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 Bayern Munich
89 34 28 5 1 +86
7 Freiburg
47 34 13 8 13 -6

Freiburg and Bayern Munich Latest Matches

Freiburg
Freiburg Latest matches
L D L L W W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Mar 22, 2026 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
1 :  2
Freiburg

Mar 19, 2026 - Europa League

Freiburg
5 :  1
Genk

Mar 15, 2026 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
0 :  1
Union Berlin

Mar 12, 2026 - Europa League

Genk
1 :  0
Freiburg

Mar 7, 2026 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
3 :  3
Bayer Leverkusen

Mar 1, 2026 - Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt
2 :  0
Freiburg
W W W D L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Mar 19, 2026 - Europa League

Freiburg
5 :  1
Genk

Mar 15, 2026 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
0 :  1
Union Berlin

Mar 7, 2026 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
3 :  3
Bayer Leverkusen

Feb 22, 2026 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
2 :  1
Mönchengladbach

Feb 7, 2026 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
1 :  0
Werder Bremen

Jan 25, 2026 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
2 :  1
Köln
L D L L L W
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Mar 22, 2026 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
1 :  2
Freiburg

Mar 12, 2026 - Europa League

Genk
1 :  0
Freiburg

Mar 1, 2026 - Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt
2 :  0
Freiburg

Feb 14, 2026 - Bundesliga

Hoffenheim
3 :  0
Freiburg

Feb 10, 2026 - DFB Pokal

Hertha Berlin
1 :  1
Freiburg

Feb 1, 2026 - Bundesliga

Stuttgart
1 :  0
Freiburg
Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich Latest matches
W W W D W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
3.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Mar 21, 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
4 :  0
Union Berlin

Mar 18, 2026 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
4 :  1
Atalanta

Mar 14, 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
1 :  1
Bayern Munich

Mar 10, 2026 - Champions League

Atalanta
1 :  6
Bayern Munich

Mar 6, 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
4 :  1
Mönchengladbach

Feb 28, 2026 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
2 :  3
Bayern Munich
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
3.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Mar 21, 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
4 :  0
Union Berlin

Mar 18, 2026 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
4 :  1
Atalanta

Mar 6, 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
4 :  1
Mönchengladbach

Feb 21, 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
3 :  2
Eintracht Frankfurt

Feb 11, 2026 - DFB Pokal

Bayern Munich
2 :  0
Leipzig

Feb 8, 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
5 :  1
Hoffenheim
W D W W W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Mar 14, 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
1 :  1
Bayern Munich

Mar 10, 2026 - Champions League

Atalanta
1 :  6
Bayern Munich

Feb 28, 2026 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
2 :  3
Bayern Munich

Feb 14, 2026 - Bundesliga

Werder Bremen
0 :  3
Bayern Munich

Jan 31, 2026 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
2 :  2
Bayern Munich

Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League

PSV Eindhoven
1 :  2
Bayern Munich

Freiburg against Bayern Munich : Head to Head (H2H)

Freiburg

0 %

Draw

17 %

Bayern Munich

83 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.5
Total goals
50%
BTTS
0.83
Goals scored
2.67
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

Nov 22, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
6 :  2
Freiburg

Jan 25, 2025 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
1 :  2
Bayern Munich

Sep 1, 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
2 :  0
Freiburg

Mar 1, 2024 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
2 :  2
Bayern Munich

Oct 8, 2023 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
3 :  0
Freiburg

Apr 8, 2023 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
0 :  1
Bayern Munich
Freiburg vs Bayern Munich Picks

Freiburg against Bayern Munich Lineups: Starting 11

Freiburg

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
N. Atubolu
29
P. Treu
28
M. Ginter
3
P. Lienhart
30
C. Gunter
8
M. Eggestein
44
J. Manzambi
19
J. Beste
14
Y. Suzuki
7
D. Scherhant
9
L. Holer
7
S. Gnabry
14
L. Diaz
22
R. Guerreiro
42
L. Karl
8
L. Goretzka
6
J. Kimmich
20
T. Bischof
3
K. Min-jae
4
J. Tah
44
J. Stanisic
1
M. Neuer

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Bayern Munich

Substitutes

Freiburg
Freiburg
Goalkeeper

F. Muller

Defender

B. Ogbus

L. Holer 89'

A. Jung

L. Kubler

C. Gunter 65'

Midfielder

N. Hofler

P. Lienhart 89'

V. Grifo

Forward

I. Matanovic

J. Manzambi 78'

C. Irie

J. Beste 78'

M. Philipp

Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich
Goalkeeper

J. Urbig

Defender

D. Upamecano

A. Davies

K. Min-jae 87'

H. Ito

Midfielder

M. Cardozo

J. Musiala

S. Gnabry 65'

A. Pavlovic

L. Goretzka 56'

K. Laimer

J. Tah 56'

Forward

M. Olise

R. Guerreiro 56'

Missing players

Freiburg
Freiburg
Defender

M. Rosenfelder

Midfielder

D. Kyereh

Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich
Goalkeeper

S. Ulreich

Forward

H. Kane

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Freiburg
CD Huachipato Bayern Munich
Top Goalscorer
Croatia I. Matanovic (11 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England H. Kane (36 Goals)
Best assists
Italy V. Grifo (4 Assists)
Switzerland J. Manzambi (4 Assists)
Germany M. Ginter (4 Assists)
Best assists
France M. Olise (20 Assists)

Freiburg - Bayern Munich Key Points

  1. Yuito Suzuki has recorded nine shots in his last four starts for Freiburg, scoring twice.
  2. Suzuki created six shots in two home appearances against the top six.
  3. Freiburg are averaging an xG of 1.96 per home game against the top teams.
  4. Bayern have conceded goals in seven out of their last eight on the road.
  5. Suzuki created three shots, scoring one, in the first meeting away from home.
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Our Freiburg vs Bayern Munich Prediction

Freiburg’s new recruit is now well settled in the squad, playing a lot more frequently, in turn shooting very regularly; it’s rare for Suzuki to not have a goal attempt when he starts for Die Breisgau-Brasilianer. In fact, on home soil, Suzuki is one of two regular players shooting the most for Freiburg. 

With five goal attempts in his last two matches, converting one into a goal, as well as his three goal attempts recently against both Leverkusen and Stuttgart, and the same in the reverse fixture against Bayern, the attacking midfielder is very diligent in his work, and shows up in big games. This is definitely a bet worth taking. 

Our Freiburg vs Bayern Pick: Yuito Suzuki 1+ Shots on Target.

Prediction:

 

Yuito Suzuki 1+ Shots on Target

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$150 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.