Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Zverev Prediction & Picks - ATP Miami
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by Bradley Gibbs | in ATP Miami Picks
One of Thursday's huge semi-finals at the Miami Open sees Francisco Cerundolo take on Alexander Zverev, and not for the first time. In fact, it's not even the first time that these two have met in 2026, clashing back in January at the Australian Open, where Zverev made light work of coming out on top. On a hard surface, the German has previously had complete control over his Argentine opponent, winning each of the three previous hard-court matches between the two, and that's not easy to ignore, let's be honest.
Can Cerundolo build on his recent momentum and seriously push the world number four? He is taking him on at the right time, but on a hard surface, this looks a big ask. Cerundolo simply isn't as effective on hard as he is on clay, while this arguably the German's best surface. As good as Cerundolo has been in recent times, the market seems to have slightly overreacted, making Zverev a decent bet to pick up his fourth hard-court win against this particular opponent.
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Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Zverev Form
Francisco Cerundolo and Alexander Zverev Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Mar 24, 2026 - ATP Miami
Mar 23, 2026 - ATP Miami
Mar 21, 2026 - ATP Miami
Mar 9, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
Mar 7, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
Feb 28, 2026 - ATP Santiago Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Mar 24, 2026 - ATP Miami
Mar 23, 2026 - ATP Miami
Mar 21, 2026 - ATP Miami
Mar 14, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
Mar 12, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
Mar 10, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
Francisco Cerundolo against Alexander Zverev : Head to Head (H2H)
60 %
40 %
Jan 25, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Nov 20, 2025 - Davis Cup
Apr 29, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Feb 14, 2025 - ATP Buenos Aires
Apr 30, 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Francisco Cerundolo - Alexander Zverev Key Points
- Alexander Zverev comes into this match having beaten a lower-ranked player in straight sets last time out.
- When these two met earlier in 2026, Alexander Zverev won in straight sets.
- Alexander Zverev has never lost to Francisco Cerundolo on a hard court.
- Alexander Zverev has never dropped a set against Francisco Cerundolo on hard courts.
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Our Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Zverev Prediction
As mentioned above, if this was on a clay court, Francisco Cerundolo would warrant serious respect. In fact, on clay, the Argentine may even be a narrow favorite, but on a hard surface, the story is different. Clearly, Alexander Zverev is the more accomplished hard-court player, while his hard-court record against Cerundolo is rather hard to ignore.
Given that the German defeated Cerundolo in straight sets at the Australian Open earlier this year, he looks ever so slightly leniently priced to win this without dropping a set.
Our Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Zverev Pick: Alexander Zverev to Win 2-0.
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