Frances Tiafoe vs Jannik Sinner Prediction & Picks - ATP Miami
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by Bradley Gibbs | in ATP Miami Picks
The world number two, who yesterday extended his own record for the most consecutive sets won at ATP 1000 events to 28, will once again be in action at the Miami Open on Thursday. Faced with the task of trying to stop Sinner is Frances Tiafoe, who has previously beaten the Italian, though that was a few years ago. Can the man from the US raise his game and cause a huge upset? I seriously doubt it.
Tiafoe has been playing well in Maimi, there's no doubt about that, but he's had some tough matches ahead of this one, being pushed to three sets by both Atmane and Mensik, so it's easy to assume that he'll have less than a full tank, which cannot be said for Sinner, who has breezed through to the semis. The man who won this event in 2024 looks all set to reach the final and I'll be betting on him to get there off the back of winning by a comfortable margin.
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Frances Tiafoe vs Jannik Sinner Form
Frances Tiafoe and Jannik Sinner Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Mar 24, 2026 - ATP Miami
Mar 23, 2026 - ATP Miami
Mar 21, 2026 - ATP Miami
Mar 10, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
Mar 8, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
Mar 6, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
Mar 24, 2026 - ATP Miami
Mar 23, 2026 - ATP Miami
Mar 21, 2026 - ATP Miami
Mar 15, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
Mar 14, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
Mar 12, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
Frances Tiafoe against Jannik Sinner : Head to Head (H2H)
20 %
80 %
Aug 19, 2024 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Oct 27, 2023 - ATP Vienna
Oct 30, 2021 - ATP Vienna
Nov 5, 2019 - Next Gen ATP Finals
Oct 18, 2019 - ATP European Open
Frances Tiafoe - Jannik Sinner Key Points
- When the pair last met, Jannik Sinner won in straight sets.
- Jannik Sinner has won each of his last two matches against Frances Tiafoe in straight sets.
- Frances Tiafoe has had to play three sets in each of his last two matches.
- Jannik Sinner comes into this match off the back of two easy straight-set wins and should be fresher than his opponent.
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Our Frances Tiafoe vs Jannik Sinner Prediction
When these two players last met, back in 2024, Sinner didn't quite have enough in the tank to beat Tiafoe by a six-game margin, despite winning in straight sets, but that was back in 2024. The Italian is now a better player, while he should be very fresh ahead of this match, winning each of his three matches in Miami so far with ease.
In contrast, Tiafoe has been involved in a couple of three-set battles, which means that he may not be as fresh as he could be, which is not ideal ahead of a match against Sinner, who should have more than enough quality to pull away from his opponent in style.
Our Frances Tiafoe vs Jannik Sinner Pick: Jannik Sinner -5.5 Game Handicap.
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