Felix Auger Aliassime vs Titouan Droguet Prediction & Picks - ATP Montpellier
ATP - ATP Montpellier
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by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks
Fresh off a two-set demolition of Arthur Fils, Felix Auger-Aliassime of Canada enters the final four of the 2026 ATP Montpellier as a clear-cut betting favorite at -440 against Titouan Droguet of France on Saturday.
Recommended Pick: Felix Auger-Aliassime -4.5 Games
Potential Payout: $250for every $100 Bet (+150).
Current Form:
Auger-Aliassime needed only one hour and 8 minutes to dispatch Arthur Fils 6-4, 6-2. The No.1 seed at Montpellier showed why he’s the man to beat in this indoor hard-court event as he surgically tore Fils apart in their first-ever career meeting on the ATP Tour.
Auger-Aliassime, who also eliminated three-time Grand Slam winner Stan Wawrinka 6-4, 7-6 in the second round, drilled 12 aces and won 93 percent of his first balls to hold all 9 service games. He also picked up three break-point conversions against Fils, who played his first tournament since returning from a stress fracture back injury that sidelined him for five months.
A qualifier in this tournament, Droguet looks to take his fairy tale run to the championship match. The 24-year-old Droguet outgunned Tallon Griekspoor of the Netherlands 7-6, 7-6 to arrange a semifinal duel with the No.1 seed. Averaging 15.8 aces per match in Montpellier, Droguet held all his serves by firing 21 aces and winning 83 percent of his first serves. He now has an 8-10 record against the ATP top-100, though it will be the first time he will play a legit top-10 player on Friday.
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Felix Auger Aliassime vs Titouan Droguet Form
Felix Auger Aliassime and Titouan Droguet Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Feb 6, 2026 - ATP Montpellier
Feb 5, 2026 - ATP Montpellier
Jan 5, 2026 - United Cup
Jan 4, 2026 - United Cup
Nov 15, 2025 - ATP London - Queen's
Nov 14, 2025 - ATP Finals
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Feb 6, 2026 - ATP Montpellier
Feb 5, 2026 - ATP Montpellier
Feb 3, 2026 - ATP Montpellier
Feb 2, 2026 - ATP Montpellier
Feb 1, 2026 - ATP Montpellier
Jan 13, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Felix Auger Aliassime - Titouan Droguet Key Points
- Titouan Droguet is winning 83 percent of his first serves at the 2026 Montpellier.
- Titouan Droguet is averaging 15.8 aces per match at the 2026 Montpellier.
- Felix Auger-Aliassime has a 52.8 percent win rate in semifinal matches.
- Felix Auger-Aliassime owns a 70 percent win rate in indoor hard-court matches.
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Our Felix Auger Aliassime vs Titouan Droguet Prediction
I am picking Felix Auger-Aliassime to beat Titouan Droquet convincingly 6-4, 6-3. Droguet managed to beat decent players such as Aleksandar Kovacevic and Tallon Griekspoor, but these players are not as good as the world’s No.8 seed and top-seed Auger-Aliassime.
There’s a reason why the Canadian is one of the most feared indoor players on the tour. Aside from an impressive 70 percent win rate in this playing condition, all 7 of Auger-Aliassime’s ATP titles were won indoors.
The 24-year-old Droguet certainly deserves respect for getting this far into the tournament, but he must understand that he needs to play the match of his life in order to take down arguably the best indoor tennis player on the tour outside the Sincaraz duopoly.
Our betting prediction for Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Titouan Droguet: Felix Auger-Aliassime -4.5 Games
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
